Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#333
Achievement Rating-12.5#327
Pace65.9#266
Improvement-1.3#242

Offense
Total Offense-10.7#346
First Shot-10.1#348
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#213
Layup/Dunks-3.9#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.1#346
Freethrows-2.1#310
Improvement+1.2#116

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#203
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#49
Layups/Dunks-0.8#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
Freethrows-3.5#342
Improvement-2.5#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.8% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.7% 85.8% 53.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.8% 4.8% 3.4%
First Round1.4% 1.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 31.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 157   Louisiana Monroe L 66-75 18%     0 - 1 -11.5 -9.2 -2.7
  Nov 10, 2018 133   @ St. Bonaventure L 36-67 7%     0 - 2 -26.0 -33.6 +9.3
  Nov 16, 2018 125   @ Boise St. L 53-70 6%     0 - 3 -11.0 -17.4 +6.4
  Nov 19, 2018 173   Sam Houston St. L 60-75 14%     0 - 4 -15.5 -15.6 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 81-68 77%     1 - 4 -6.9 -6.5 -1.3
  Nov 24, 2018 103   @ San Diego L 58-76 5%     1 - 5 -10.5 -11.6 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2018 115   @ San Diego St. L 44-87 5%     1 - 6 -36.3 -30.7 -0.8
  Nov 29, 2018 189   @ Santa Clara L 70-81 12%     1 - 7 -10.0 -0.8 -9.2
  Dec 08, 2018 161   @ Pepperdine L 66-69 9%     1 - 8 -0.4 -7.9 +7.6
  Dec 15, 2018 71   @ Murray St. L 57-74 3%     1 - 9 -7.3 -14.3 +7.6
  Dec 22, 2018 147   @ Central Michigan L 72-81 7%     1 - 10 -4.9 -2.5 -2.3
  Jan 05, 2019 346   @ Alabama A&M W 54-51 51%     2 - 10 1 - 0 -9.3 -17.8 +8.7
  Jan 07, 2019 320   @ Alabama St. L 57-59 32%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -9.3 -15.9 +6.4
  Jan 12, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 59-52 76%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -12.5 -13.6 +2.0
  Jan 14, 2019 342   Southern W 64-58 69%     4 - 11 3 - 1 -11.2 -11.2 +0.5
  Jan 19, 2019 265   @ Prairie View L 51-55 20%     4 - 12 3 - 2 -7.1 -17.7 +10.1
  Jan 21, 2019 228   @ Texas Southern L 65-75 16%     4 - 13 3 - 3 -11.4 -8.0 -3.7
  Jan 26, 2019 284   @ Grambling St. W 65-63 23%     5 - 13 4 - 3 -2.2 -2.6 +0.5
  Feb 02, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 61-57 79%     6 - 13 5 - 3 -16.4 -11.0 -4.8
  Feb 04, 2019 330   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 65-52 58%     7 - 13 6 - 3 -1.1 -6.6 +6.9
  Feb 09, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. L 52-66 58%     7 - 14 6 - 4 -28.0 -16.7 -13.7
  Feb 11, 2019 342   @ Southern L 67-76 49%     7 - 15 6 - 5 -20.7 -7.7 -13.4
  Feb 16, 2019 265   Prairie View L 66-79 37%     7 - 16 6 - 6 -21.7 -11.6 -9.9
  Feb 18, 2019 228   Texas Southern L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 23, 2019 284   Grambling St. L 62-64 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley W 66-63 60%    
  Mar 04, 2019 330   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 62-65 37%    
  Mar 07, 2019 346   Alabama A&M W 63-57 71%    
  Mar 09, 2019 320   Alabama St. W 64-63 54%    
Projected Record 10.0 - 19.0 9.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.5 6.8 1.2 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 3.2 12.0 2.2 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.8 14.9 6.6 0.1 24.3 5th
6th 0.7 8.8 20.5 12.0 0.6 42.6 6th
7th 1.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.2 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.9 10.6 23.8 30.1 22.6 9.3 1.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.7% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.2 1.6
11-7 9.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.6 8.7
10-8 22.6% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 1.1 21.5
9-9 30.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 1.1 29.0
8-10 23.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.6 23.2
7-11 10.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.4
6-12 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 3.8 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 1.6%