Kansas St.
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#25
Achievement Rating+17.4#18
Pace61.8#334
Improvement+4.5#27

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#78
First Shot+3.4#72
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#161
Layup/Dunks+0.2#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement+7.2#4

Defense
Total Defense+9.6#8
First Shot+7.8#12
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#26
Layups/Dunks+3.4#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#184
Freethrows+2.3#42
Improvement-2.7#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 26.8% 29.8% 11.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% 100.0% 99.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% 100.0% 99.6%
Average Seed 5.4 5.3 6.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 58.3% 63.8% 30.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round99.9% 100.0% 99.5%
Second Round69.5% 70.7% 62.9%
Sweet Sixteen30.0% 31.4% 23.1%
Elite Eight9.3% 9.7% 7.0%
Final Four2.9% 3.1% 2.1%
Championship Game0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Home) - 83.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 341   Kennesaw St. W 56-41 99%     1 - 0 -1.7 -21.0 +20.0
  Nov 12, 2018 297   Denver W 64-56 98%     2 - 0 -2.5 -17.6 +14.9
  Nov 16, 2018 277   Eastern Kentucky W 95-68 96%     3 - 0 +20.4 +7.3 +9.3
  Nov 18, 2018 132   Penn W 64-48 84%     4 - 0 +18.6 -4.1 +23.4
  Nov 19, 2018 89   Missouri W 82-67 76%     5 - 0 +20.8 +21.7 +0.7
  Nov 24, 2018 158   Lehigh W 77-58 92%     6 - 0 +16.5 -2.9 +18.9
  Dec 01, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 71-83 38%     6 - 1 +4.4 -1.0 +6.5
  Dec 08, 2018 96   @ Tulsa L 46-47 70%     6 - 2 +6.8 -18.0 +24.7
  Dec 15, 2018 131   Georgia St. W 71-59 89%     7 - 2 +12.0 -2.2 +14.2
  Dec 19, 2018 127   Southern Miss W 55-51 88%     8 - 2 +4.4 -12.4 +17.2
  Dec 22, 2018 119   Vanderbilt W 69-58 87%     9 - 2 +12.0 -2.5 +14.5
  Dec 29, 2018 139   George Mason W 59-58 90%     10 - 2 +0.1 -4.6 +4.8
  Jan 02, 2019 27   Texas L 47-67 62%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -9.8 -11.2 -2.8
  Jan 05, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 57-63 27%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +13.7 +0.1 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2019 105   West Virginia W 71-69 86%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +3.8 +5.7 -1.7
  Jan 12, 2019 12   @ Iowa St. W 58-57 29%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +20.0 +1.6 +18.5
  Jan 16, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma W 74-61 46%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +27.4 +18.8 +10.1
  Jan 19, 2019 37   TCU W 65-55 68%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +18.5 +6.7 +13.5
  Jan 22, 2019 9   Texas Tech W 58-45 46%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +27.2 +4.9 +24.1
  Jan 26, 2019 85   @ Texas A&M L 53-65 67%     15 - 5 -3.3 -12.9 +9.1
  Feb 02, 2019 86   @ Oklahoma St. W 75-57 67%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +26.6 +20.6 +9.5
  Feb 05, 2019 11   Kansas W 74-67 48%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +20.7 +7.8 +12.7
  Feb 09, 2019 33   @ Baylor W 70-63 45%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +21.5 +15.7 +7.0
  Feb 12, 2019 27   @ Texas W 71-64 41%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +22.7 +18.3 +5.7
  Feb 16, 2019 12   Iowa St. L 64-78 49%     19 - 6 9 - 3 -0.6 +5.0 -7.5
  Feb 18, 2019 105   @ West Virginia W 65-51 72%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +21.4 +6.4 +17.3
  Feb 23, 2019 86   Oklahoma St. W 68-58 84%    
  Feb 25, 2019 11   @ Kansas L 63-69 28%    
  Mar 02, 2019 33   Baylor W 65-61 67%    
  Mar 04, 2019 37   @ TCU L 65-66 46%    
  Mar 09, 2019 34   Oklahoma W 67-63 67%    
Projected Record 22.9 - 8.1 12.9 - 5.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 3.4 25.1 24.1 5.6 58.3 1st
2nd 0.6 12.1 10.9 23.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.5 8.2 0.4 12.1 3rd
4th 0.4 3.7 1.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.5 0.4 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.0 8.2 24.7 36.3 24.1 5.6 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 5.6    5.6
14-4 100.0% 24.1    17.3 6.7 0.2
13-5 69.1% 25.1    5.6 12.4 6.4 0.8
12-6 13.8% 3.4    0.1 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 58.3% 58.3 28.5 19.7 8.1 1.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 5.6% 100.0% 16.9% 83.1% 3.3 0.1 1.1 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 24.1% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 4.4 0.5 4.2 7.9 7.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 36.3% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 5.3 0.0 1.4 6.4 12.3 11.2 4.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 24.7% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 6.3 0.1 1.2 4.7 8.7 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 8.2% 99.7% 6.0% 93.7% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
10-8 1.0% 95.5% 4.9% 90.6% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.3%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 11.1% 88.9% 5.4 0.1 1.6 7.7 17.3 26.0 25.0 14.4 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 2.1 14.2 67.0 16.9 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 100.0% 3.1 22.1 53.1 21.8 2.9 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9% 100.0% 3.5 8.9 41.6 36.6 11.7 1.2
Lose Out 0.6% 92.6% 9.3 2.5 18.7 33.0 26.9 9.9 1.3 0.2