Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#343
Achievement Rating-15.6#331
Pace69.5#189
Improvement-2.5#321

Offense
Total Offense-10.6#349
First Shot-10.6#348
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#166
Layup/Dunks-6.1#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-13.8#353
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement-2.2#326

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#275
First Shot-2.2#247
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#258
Layups/Dunks-4.8#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#196
Freethrows+2.8#42
Improvement-0.4#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.9% 5.5% 2.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.1% 38.2% 49.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 26   @ Kansas St. L 41-56 1%     0 - 1 +0.8 -17.4 +17.5
  Nov 12, 2018 189   @ Samford L 60-74 8%     0 - 2 -12.7 -5.1 -9.2
  Nov 16, 2018 83   Missouri L 52-55 4%     0 - 3 +3.1 -13.1 +16.0
  Nov 17, 2018 105   Old Dominion L 47-65 5%     0 - 4 -13.3 -19.3 +5.8
  Nov 19, 2018 274   @ Eastern Kentucky L 81-100 16%     0 - 5 -22.2 -3.3 -16.7
  Nov 24, 2018 88   Belmont L 53-91 7%     0 - 6 -35.2 -25.3 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2018 110   @ Georgia L 51-84 3%     0 - 7 -25.5 -19.5 -4.1
  Dec 01, 2018 119   Hofstra L 52-78 9%     0 - 8 -25.2 -25.5 +0.8
  Dec 13, 2018 192   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-75 8%    
  Dec 15, 2018 334   Tennessee Tech W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 18, 2018 304   Elon L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 28, 2018 74   @ Georgia Tech L 51-75 1%    
  Jan 02, 2019 101   @ Yale L 61-83 2%    
  Jan 05, 2019 200   @ NJIT L 58-73 9%    
  Jan 09, 2019 303   Jacksonville L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 16, 2019 108   Liberty L 57-73 8%    
  Jan 19, 2019 239   Florida Gulf Coast L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 21, 2019 71   @ Lipscomb L 63-87 1%    
  Jan 24, 2019 329   @ North Alabama L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 30, 2019 175   North Florida L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 02, 2019 338   @ Stetson L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 06, 2019 303   @ Jacksonville L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 09, 2019 200   NJIT L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 13, 2019 175   @ North Florida L 67-83 8%    
  Feb 16, 2019 71   Lipscomb L 66-84 6%    
  Feb 20, 2019 329   North Alabama W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 23, 2019 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-77 14%    
  Feb 26, 2019 108   @ Liberty L 54-76 3%    
  Mar 01, 2019 338   Stetson W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 4.6 - 24.4 3.5 - 12.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.3 8.0 7.3 1.9 0.1 0.0 19.6 7th
8th 0.4 5.3 12.0 8.0 1.8 0.1 0.0 27.5 8th
9th 3.7 10.8 12.8 6.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 34.6 9th
Total 3.7 11.2 18.1 20.6 17.9 13.2 8.1 4.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 55.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
9-7 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
8-8 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
7-9 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-10 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-11 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
4-12 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.9
3-13 20.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.6
2-14 18.1% 18.1
1-15 11.2% 11.2
0-16 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%