Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#343
Achievement Rating-15.1#336
Pace69.5#163
Improvement-0.1#187

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#339
First Shot-6.7#327
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#306
Layup/Dunks-7.6#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.3#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#348
Freethrows-0.1#186
Improvement+1.8#89

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#315
First Shot-4.2#301
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#287
Layups/Dunks-5.3#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
Freethrows+0.4#145
Improvement-1.9#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 39.1% 12.8% 39.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 26   @ Kansas St. L 41-56 1%     0 - 1 +0.7 -22.2 +22.2
  Nov 12, 2018 175   @ Samford L 60-74 8%     0 - 2 -12.0 -2.4 -11.3
  Nov 16, 2018 88   Missouri L 52-55 4%     0 - 3 +2.8 -13.4 +16.0
  Nov 17, 2018 109   Old Dominion L 47-65 6%     0 - 4 -13.9 -22.4 +8.3
  Nov 19, 2018 263   @ Eastern Kentucky L 81-100 16%     0 - 5 -22.2 -1.2 -18.8
  Nov 24, 2018 70   Belmont L 53-91 5%     0 - 6 -33.7 -25.6 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2018 111   @ Georgia L 51-84 4%     0 - 7 -26.2 -22.2 -2.2
  Dec 01, 2018 74   Hofstra L 52-78 6%     0 - 8 -22.1 -24.8 +3.2
  Dec 13, 2018 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 77-81 11%     0 - 9 -4.9 -1.0 -3.7
  Dec 15, 2018 329   Tennessee Tech W 73-68 50%     1 - 9 -9.1 +1.0 -9.8
  Dec 18, 2018 315   Elon L 67-76 42%     1 - 10 -21.0 -10.1 -11.1
  Dec 28, 2018 106   @ Georgia Tech L 57-87 4%     1 - 11 -23.0 -11.8 -10.1
  Jan 02, 2019 87   @ Yale L 65-92 3%     1 - 12 -18.5 -5.3 -11.9
  Jan 05, 2019 192   @ NJIT L 52-72 9%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -19.3 -18.3 -1.6
  Jan 09, 2019 251   Jacksonville L 70-90 28%     1 - 14 0 - 2 -28.0 -7.9 -18.3
  Jan 16, 2019 97   Liberty L 41-62 7%     1 - 15 0 - 3 -18.6 -26.7 +3.7
  Jan 19, 2019 221   Florida Gulf Coast L 59-72 23%     1 - 16 0 - 4 -19.2 -18.4 -0.4
  Jan 21, 2019 47   @ Lipscomb L 57-86 2%     1 - 17 0 - 5 -17.0 -9.9 -4.6
  Jan 24, 2019 322   @ North Alabama L 71-76 27%     1 - 18 0 - 6 -12.5 -4.8 -7.6
  Jan 30, 2019 218   North Florida W 81-64 23%     2 - 18 1 - 6 +10.8 -5.8 +14.3
  Feb 02, 2019 338   @ Stetson L 75-92 37%     2 - 19 1 - 7 -27.6 -4.0 -23.5
  Feb 06, 2019 251   @ Jacksonville L 73-82 14%     2 - 20 1 - 8 -11.6 +2.6 -14.0
  Feb 09, 2019 192   NJIT W 63-62 19%     3 - 20 2 - 8 -3.7 -2.7 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2019 218   @ North Florida L 57-80 11%     3 - 21 2 - 9 -23.8 -16.9 -6.6
  Feb 16, 2019 47   Lipscomb L 64-85 3%    
  Feb 20, 2019 322   North Alabama L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 23, 2019 221   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 64-77 10%    
  Feb 26, 2019 97   @ Liberty L 54-76 2%    
  Mar 01, 2019 338   Stetson W 73-71 59%    
Projected Record 4.2 - 24.8 3.2 - 12.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 1.6 0.1 1.7 6th
7th 32.8 30.5 2.8 0.0 66.1 7th
8th 6.0 11.1 0.1 17.3 8th
9th 13.8 0.9 14.7 9th
Total 19.8 44.8 30.6 4.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10 0.2% 0.2
5-11 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-12 30.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 30.6
3-13 44.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 44.8
2-14 19.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.8
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 19.3%