Kent St.
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#143
Achievement Rating+11.3#54
Pace70.0#181
Improvement+0.9#106

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#106
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#131
Layup/Dunks+0.6#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#137
Freethrows+4.0#18
Improvement+1.2#73

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot+0.1#169
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#251
Layups/Dunks-4.6#318
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#22
Freethrows-0.7#220
Improvement-0.3#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 8.7% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 3.4% 0.7%
Average Seed 12.1 11.3 12.3
.500 or above 82.7% 94.9% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.8% 70.6% 57.4%
Conference Champion 3.0% 5.4% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 2.7% 5.8%
First Four0.6% 1.9% 0.5%
First Round4.3% 7.6% 3.9%
Second Round0.8% 1.7% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 10.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 257   @ Cleveland St. W 83-79 65%     1 - 0 +1.7 +2.2 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2018 107   Liberty L 70-77 51%     1 - 1 -5.5 +0.1 -5.8
  Nov 18, 2018 345   Alcorn St. W 79-48 96%     2 - 1 +12.1 -1.8 +14.0
  Nov 20, 2018 352   Savannah St. W 104-84 97%     3 - 1 -1.3 +3.3 -7.9
  Nov 23, 2018 78   @ Vanderbilt W 77-75 23%     4 - 1 +11.5 +7.6 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2018 303   @ Detroit Mercy W 76-72 73%     5 - 1 -0.8 +0.8 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2018 277   Norfolk St. W 78-67 85%     6 - 1 +1.7 -2.3 +3.3
  Dec 08, 2018 142   Wright St. W 83-76 61%     7 - 1 +5.7 +14.3 -8.1
  Dec 15, 2018 35   @ Louisville L 68-81 11%    
  Dec 21, 2018 67   @ Oregon St. L 67-76 20%    
  Dec 28, 2018 265   Albany W 77-67 83%    
  Jan 05, 2019 202   Bowling Green W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 08, 2019 223   Western Michigan W 77-69 78%    
  Jan 12, 2019 183   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 15, 2019 152   @ Ohio L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 19, 2019 162   Northern Illinois W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 22, 2019 76   Toledo L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 25, 2019 23   Buffalo L 76-84 23%    
  Jan 29, 2019 223   @ Western Michigan W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 02, 2019 103   @ Ball St. L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 05, 2019 151   Miami (OH) W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 09, 2019 131   @ Akron L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 16, 2019 183   Eastern Michigan W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 19, 2019 173   @ Central Michigan L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 23, 2019 23   @ Buffalo L 73-87 10%    
  Feb 26, 2019 152   Ohio W 78-74 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 202   @ Bowling Green W 76-75 54%    
  Mar 05, 2019 151   @ Miami (OH) L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 08, 2019 131   Akron W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 17.3 - 11.7 9.1 - 8.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.1 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.8 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.3 5.3 2.0 0.1 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 0.7 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.0 7.9 10.8 12.9 14.0 13.5 11.5 8.6 5.8 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 55.8% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 28.4% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 66.9% 30.8% 36.1% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.2%
16-2 0.5% 50.5% 21.8% 28.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 36.7%
15-3 1.5% 34.7% 17.1% 17.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 21.2%
14-4 3.2% 20.9% 13.2% 7.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 8.9%
13-5 5.8% 13.1% 10.3% 2.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.0 3.1%
12-6 8.6% 8.4% 7.7% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.7%
11-7 11.5% 5.9% 5.7% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.2%
10-8 13.5% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 13.1 0.0%
9-9 14.0% 1.7% 1.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.8
8-10 12.9% 1.1% 1.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.7
7-11 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.7
6-12 7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 3.7% 1.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 95.3 1.0%