Kent St.
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#142
Achievement Rating+8.3#68
Pace70.0#152
Improvement+1.3#124

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#100
First Shot+1.0#154
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#58
Layup/Dunks-1.4#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#116
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement-0.6#219

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#193
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#219
Layups/Dunks-3.8#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#116
Freethrows+0.4#145
Improvement+1.9#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.3% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 96.6% 100.0% 94.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 4.3% 3.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Away) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 306   @ Cleveland St. W 83-79 76%     1 - 0 -1.7 -1.2 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2018 99   Liberty L 70-77 48%     1 - 1 -4.7 +0.2 -5.3
  Nov 18, 2018 349   Alcorn St. W 79-48 97%     2 - 1 +11.5 -1.1 +12.6
  Nov 20, 2018 348   Savannah St. W 104-84 96%     3 - 1 +1.9 +3.2 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2018 119   @ Vanderbilt W 77-75 32%     4 - 1 +8.5 +7.9 +0.6
  Nov 28, 2018 260   @ Detroit Mercy W 76-72 67%     5 - 1 +1.1 +2.5 -1.2
  Dec 01, 2018 261   Norfolk St. W 78-67 83%     6 - 1 +2.5 -2.3 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2018 141   Wright St. W 83-76 60%     7 - 1 +6.0 +15.5 -9.0
  Dec 15, 2018 16   @ Louisville L 70-83 7%     7 - 2 +5.2 +13.1 -9.1
  Dec 21, 2018 75   @ Oregon St. W 66-63 23%     8 - 2 +12.4 +6.3 +6.5
  Dec 28, 2018 293   Albany W 70-68 87%     9 - 2 -8.2 -4.3 -3.8
  Jan 05, 2019 100   Bowling Green L 64-86 48%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -19.8 -10.6 -8.1
  Jan 08, 2019 263   Western Michigan W 88-73 83%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +6.4 +6.1 -0.5
  Jan 12, 2019 149   @ Eastern Michigan L 61-95 41%     10 - 4 1 - 2 -30.0 -4.9 -27.6
  Jan 15, 2019 209   @ Ohio W 66-52 57%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +13.9 -1.2 +15.5
  Jan 19, 2019 150   Northern Illinois W 78-68 64%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +8.0 +4.9 +3.4
  Jan 22, 2019 67   Toledo W 87-85 40%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +6.4 +12.0 -5.8
  Jan 25, 2019 28   Buffalo L 79-88 21%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +1.1 +2.3 -0.2
  Feb 02, 2019 120   @ Ball St. W 83-80 32%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +9.4 +5.3 +3.8
  Feb 05, 2019 144   Miami (OH) W 70-67 61%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +2.0 -0.8 +2.9
  Feb 08, 2019 126   @ Akron L 53-72 34%     15 - 6 6 - 4 -13.0 -9.5 -4.4
  Feb 14, 2019 263   @ Western Michigan W 82-63 68%     16 - 6 7 - 4 +15.9 +15.2 +2.5
  Feb 16, 2019 149   Eastern Michigan W 71-58 63%     17 - 6 8 - 4 +11.4 +0.2 +11.6
  Feb 19, 2019 147   @ Central Michigan L 79-81 40%    
  Feb 23, 2019 28   @ Buffalo L 74-88 9%    
  Feb 26, 2019 209   Ohio W 75-68 76%    
  Mar 02, 2019 100   @ Bowling Green L 73-79 28%    
  Mar 05, 2019 144   @ Miami (OH) L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 08, 2019 126   Akron W 68-67 56%    
Projected Record 19.5 - 9.5 10.5 - 7.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.3 0.2 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 7.8 7.6 1.2 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 22.3 21.0 4.7 0.1 51.0 4th
5th 0.2 7.5 7.2 0.3 15.2 5th
6th 0.9 5.5 0.6 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 1.5 1.1 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.7 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.4 16.9 31.3 29.5 14.8 3.7 0.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 51.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.3% 9.8% 7.4% 2.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6%
13-5 3.7% 7.8% 7.7% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.4 0.2%
12-6 14.8% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 14.0 0.0%
11-7 29.5% 4.2% 4.2% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 28.3
10-8 31.3% 2.9% 2.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 30.4
9-9 16.9% 1.3% 1.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.7
8-10 3.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.0 0.1 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 11.4 4.0 56.0 36.0 4.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 5.9% 12.7 2.0 3.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 2.4% 12.0 0.8 0.8 0.8
Lose Out 1.9%