LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#270
Achievement Rating-7.7#281
Pace76.7#33
Improvement+0.5#168

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#256
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#111
Layup/Dunks+0.2#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement-0.3#206

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#263
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#254
Layups/Dunks-4.8#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#67
Freethrows-1.2#257
Improvement+0.8#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 11.8% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 18.8% 34.1% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 36.9% 67.7% 17.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.2% 2.8%
First Four8.7% 10.0% 7.8%
First Round5.4% 6.9% 4.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 38.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 154   Brown W 83-81 35%     1 - 0 -0.2 +5.0 -5.4
  Nov 13, 2018 286   @ Fairfield W 89-87 42%     2 - 0 -2.3 +12.6 -14.9
  Nov 18, 2018 61   San Francisco L 52-84 10%     2 - 1 -24.3 -18.8 -4.4
  Nov 20, 2018 304   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 87-92 47%     2 - 2 -10.5 +2.2 -12.2
  Nov 24, 2018 197   NJIT L 70-77 45%     2 - 3 -11.9 -5.1 -6.5
  Nov 29, 2018 293   Albany W 80-77 54%     3 - 3 -4.4 -4.8 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2018 235   Marist L 53-70 43%     3 - 4 -21.5 -21.3 -0.9
  Dec 08, 2018 310   @ St. Peter's W 74-58 49%     4 - 4 +10.0 +3.7 +6.8
  Dec 12, 2018 170   @ Stony Brook L 79-83 20%     4 - 5 -1.6 +7.7 -9.1
  Dec 21, 2018 336   Binghamton L 67-68 80%     4 - 6 -16.2 -17.2 +1.1
  Dec 30, 2018 226   @ Fordham W 60-57 31%     5 - 6 +1.8 -10.3 +12.2
  Jan 03, 2019 255   @ Sacred Heart L 75-79 37%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -6.7 -8.7 +2.4
  Jan 05, 2019 326   @ Bryant W 79-70 58%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +0.7 -5.5 +5.6
  Jan 10, 2019 240   St. Francis (PA) L 67-74 54%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -14.4 -18.2 +4.4
  Jan 12, 2019 272   Robert Morris W 80-73 61%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -2.1 +3.3 -5.6
  Jan 19, 2019 250   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-77 57%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -6.1 +0.0 -6.0
  Jan 21, 2019 262   St. Francis Brooklyn L 70-79 59%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -17.6 -3.9 -13.8
  Jan 24, 2019 327   @ Mount St. Mary's L 72-74 59%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -10.5 -0.2 -10.4
  Jan 26, 2019 305   @ Central Connecticut St. W 84-71 47%     9 - 10 4 - 4 +7.4 +0.3 +6.0
  Jan 31, 2019 250   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-80 36%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -5.5 -1.6 -3.9
  Feb 02, 2019 275   @ Wagner L 59-71 40%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -15.8 -12.8 -2.8
  Feb 07, 2019 327   Mount St. Mary's W 77-62 77%     10 - 12 5 - 6 +1.0 -2.3 +3.1
  Feb 09, 2019 275   Wagner L 65-68 62%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -12.3 -2.8 -9.8
  Feb 14, 2019 262   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 76-83 38%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -10.1 +0.8 -10.6
  Feb 16, 2019 255   Sacred Heart W 92-84 58%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -0.3 +0.5 -1.9
  Feb 21, 2019 272   @ Robert Morris L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 23, 2019 240   @ St. Francis (PA) L 77-81 33%    
  Feb 28, 2019 305   Central Connecticut St. W 80-75 68%    
  Mar 02, 2019 326   Bryant W 83-75 77%    
Projected Record 13.2 - 15.8 8.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.6 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.9 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 3.1 5.2 4th
5th 0.3 10.1 0.9 11.3 5th
6th 7.2 13.3 0.1 20.5 6th
7th 0.0 7.3 29.8 3.6 40.7 7th
8th 0.6 11.0 2.0 13.6 8th
9th 2.8 1.9 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 10th
Total 3.7 20.2 39.2 29.3 7.6 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 7.6% 15.8% 15.8% 15.9 0.1 1.1 6.4
9-9 29.3% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 3.8 25.5
8-10 39.2% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 3.8 35.4
7-11 20.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.7 19.5
6-12 3.7% 3.7
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 9.5 90.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 15.9 6.7 93.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9%
Lose Out 3.7%