La Salle
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#193
Achievement Rating-3.4#211
Pace73.5#72
Improvement+5.9#11

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#232
First Shot+0.0#184
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#301
Layup/Dunks-3.9#305
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#63
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+1.6#101

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#176
First Shot-0.1#172
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#181
Layups/Dunks-3.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#11
Freethrows-3.8#346
Improvement+4.3#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 50.6% 79.4% 42.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 21.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 68   @ Temple L 67-75 14%     0 - 1 +1.7 -4.9 +7.2
  Nov 10, 2018 293   Lafayette L 76-77 78%     0 - 2 -11.2 -3.5 -7.7
  Nov 14, 2018 27   @ Florida L 69-82 6%     0 - 3 +2.6 +6.6 -3.9
  Nov 17, 2018 235   Drexel L 84-89 69%     0 - 4 -12.2 +0.0 -11.9
  Nov 22, 2018 56   Miami (FL) L 49-85 17%     0 - 5 -27.8 -24.7 +0.2
  Nov 23, 2018 63   Northwestern L 74-91 19%     0 - 6 -9.6 +2.7 -11.1
  Nov 25, 2018 104   Grand Canyon L 70-82 26%     0 - 7 -7.3 -7.6 +1.5
  Dec 01, 2018 17   Villanova L 78-85 9%     0 - 8 +5.7 +15.7 -10.7
  Dec 04, 2018 143   Bucknell L 79-92 46%     0 - 9 -14.0 -4.0 -8.4
  Dec 08, 2018 126   Penn L 65-83 41%     0 - 10 -17.6 -9.9 -7.0
  Dec 21, 2018 347   Alabama A&M W 80-57 89%     1 - 10 +7.7 -1.3 +7.7
  Dec 22, 2018 264   Towson W 57-51 65%     2 - 10 +0.0 -12.6 +13.3
  Jan 05, 2019 188   @ Massachusetts W 69-60 39%     3 - 10 1 - 0 +9.9 -7.1 +16.6
  Jan 09, 2019 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-69 10%     3 - 11 1 - 1 +6.0 -2.2 +8.5
  Jan 12, 2019 123   Saint Louis L 64-71 40%     3 - 12 1 - 2 -6.4 -5.3 -1.1
  Jan 16, 2019 255   George Washington L 56-59 73%     3 - 13 1 - 3 -11.2 -15.4 +4.0
  Jan 19, 2019 136   Rhode Island L 67-78 44%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -11.4 -6.9 -4.0
  Jan 23, 2019 236   @ Fordham W 73-71 49%     4 - 14 2 - 4 +0.2 +5.8 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2019 188   Massachusetts W 60-51 60%     5 - 14 3 - 4 +4.5 -8.9 +14.4
  Feb 02, 2019 179   @ Richmond W 66-58 36%     6 - 14 4 - 4 +9.7 -2.2 +12.6
  Feb 05, 2019 184   Saint Joseph's W 83-69 58%     7 - 14 5 - 4 +10.0 +15.5 -4.1
  Feb 10, 2019 132   @ George Mason L 76-84 24%     7 - 15 5 - 5 -2.7 +4.9 -7.4
  Feb 13, 2019 153   Duquesne W 73-72 50%     8 - 15 6 - 5 -1.1 -1.5 +0.4
  Feb 16, 2019 123   @ Saint Louis L 64-72 22%    
  Feb 20, 2019 144   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 23, 2019 179   Richmond W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 27, 2019 80   Davidson L 66-71 31%    
  Mar 02, 2019 184   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-76 36%    
  Mar 06, 2019 71   @ Dayton L 66-77 13%    
  Mar 09, 2019 236   Fordham W 71-66 70%    
Projected Record 10.6 - 19.4 8.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.9 3rd
4th 0.3 1.9 0.4 2.7 4th
5th 0.3 5.1 2.6 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 4.6 7.7 0.4 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.5 12.4 2.7 0.0 17.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 12.4 9.1 0.2 23.0 8th
9th 0.6 9.8 13.3 1.8 25.5 9th
10th 1.8 4.8 0.8 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 1.2 0.5 1.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.7 16.5 29.2 28.3 16.0 5.3 1.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 4.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 8.0% 8.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 1.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 5.3% 1.8% 1.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.2
10-8 16.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.1 0.1 15.8
9-9 28.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.1 0.1 28.1
8-10 29.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 29.1
7-11 16.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.4
6-12 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.4%