La Salle
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#258
Achievement Rating-21.0#347
Pace77.8#37
Improvement-0.5#216

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#213
First Shot-1.1#212
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#175
Layup/Dunks-5.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#108
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows+1.6#95
Improvement+0.4#137

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#292
First Shot-6.6#337
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#39
Layups/Dunks-4.5#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#50
Freethrows-8.1#353
Improvement-0.9#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.7
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.2% 7.6% 3.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.8% 31.6% 41.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Neutral) - 87.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 68   @ Temple L 67-75 8%     0 - 1 +2.1 -4.6 +7.2
  Nov 10, 2018 316   Lafayette L 76-77 75%     0 - 2 -13.5 -3.9 -9.7
  Nov 14, 2018 19   @ Florida L 69-82 3%     0 - 3 +3.4 +6.6 -3.1
  Nov 17, 2018 251   Drexel L 84-89 60%     0 - 4 -13.2 -1.0 -11.9
  Nov 22, 2018 46   Miami (FL) L 49-85 8%     0 - 5 -26.1 -24.1 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2018 48   Northwestern L 74-91 8%     0 - 6 -7.3 +1.3 -7.3
  Nov 25, 2018 117   Grand Canyon L 70-82 18%     0 - 7 -8.0 -6.9 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2018 27   Villanova L 78-85 8%     0 - 8 +2.7 +15.2 -13.1
  Dec 04, 2018 160   Bucknell L 79-92 40%     0 - 9 -16.0 -4.2 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2018 92   Penn L 65-83 22%     0 - 10 -15.3 -9.1 -5.5
  Dec 21, 2018 351   Alabama A&M W 79-67 88%    
  Jan 05, 2019 139   @ Massachusetts L 77-87 16%    
  Jan 09, 2019 80   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-80 8%    
  Jan 12, 2019 76   Saint Louis L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 16, 2019 279   George Washington W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 19, 2019 113   Rhode Island L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 23, 2019 250   @ Fordham L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 30, 2019 139   Massachusetts L 80-84 34%    
  Feb 02, 2019 172   @ Richmond L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 05, 2019 103   Saint Joseph's L 79-86 25%    
  Feb 10, 2019 170   @ George Mason L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 13, 2019 163   Duquesne L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 16, 2019 76   @ Saint Louis L 64-79 9%    
  Feb 20, 2019 152   @ St. Bonaventure L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 23, 2019 172   Richmond L 77-79 44%    
  Feb 27, 2019 81   Davidson L 72-81 21%    
  Mar 02, 2019 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-89 11%    
  Mar 06, 2019 70   @ Dayton L 68-84 8%    
  Mar 09, 2019 250   Fordham W 73-70 59%    
Projected Record 5.8 - 23.2 4.9 - 13.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.9 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.9 1.8 0.1 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 5.2 7.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 17.4 12th
13th 0.2 2.2 7.0 8.5 3.7 0.4 0.0 22.0 13th
14th 1.0 3.9 7.0 6.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 20.9 14th
Total 1.0 4.2 9.2 14.2 16.9 16.6 13.9 10.2 6.7 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 56.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 22.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 8.7% 8.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.7
8-10 6.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.7
7-11 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
4-14 16.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.9
3-15 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
2-16 9.2% 9.2
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%