Long Beach St.
Big West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#221
Achievement Rating-5.8#253
Pace77.6#24
Improvement-0.2#195

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#212
First Shot-0.2#188
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks-2.7#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#285
Freethrows+2.8#25
Improvement+2.2#77

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#239
First Shot-0.5#189
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#315
Layups/Dunks-0.5#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#168
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement-2.4#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 4.9% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.5% 13.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 2.1%
First Four3.8% 3.9% 3.6%
First Round3.3% 3.6% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 71.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 94   @ UCLA L 80-91 14%     0 - 1 -3.0 -0.5 -0.8
  Nov 12, 2018 54   @ Arizona St. L 58-90 9%     0 - 2 -20.5 -18.0 +2.3
  Nov 16, 2018 23   @ Mississippi St. L 51-79 4%     0 - 3 -10.9 -17.6 +8.1
  Nov 19, 2018 222   Iona W 86-85 50%     1 - 3 -2.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2018 114   Utah Valley L 72-87 24%     1 - 4 -11.0 -1.2 -9.6
  Nov 25, 2018 75   Oregon St. L 72-75 24%     1 - 5 +0.8 -0.8 +1.7
  Nov 28, 2018 78   @ USC L 65-75 13%     1 - 6 -1.0 -5.8 +5.1
  Dec 01, 2018 103   @ San Diego L 70-74 15%     1 - 7 +3.5 +2.6 +0.8
  Dec 05, 2018 279   Southern Utah W 82-71 72%     2 - 7 +1.6 -4.5 +4.7
  Dec 08, 2018 59   @ Fresno St. L 71-92 10%     2 - 8 -10.3 -1.9 -6.8
  Dec 10, 2018 187   @ Pacific L 68-74 33%     2 - 9 -4.8 -5.0 +0.3
  Dec 20, 2018 161   Pepperdine W 67-66 48%     3 - 9 -1.9 -5.2 +3.3
  Dec 22, 2018 178   Colorado St. W 64-61 52%     4 - 9 -0.9 -19.0 +17.9
  Dec 29, 2018 92   @ Stanford L 86-93 14%     4 - 10 +1.1 +11.4 -9.7
  Jan 12, 2019 207   UC Davis W 82-77 58%     5 - 10 1 - 0 -0.5 +7.1 -7.7
  Jan 16, 2019 107   @ UC Irvine W 80-70 16%     6 - 10 2 - 0 +17.2 +15.7 +1.8
  Jan 19, 2019 159   Cal St. Fullerton L 90-92 47%     6 - 11 2 - 1 -4.6 +0.3 -4.5
  Jan 23, 2019 276   @ Cal St. Northridge L 71-86 52%     6 - 12 2 - 2 -18.8 -6.4 -12.6
  Jan 26, 2019 172   UC Santa Barbara L 71-82 49%     6 - 13 2 - 3 -14.3 -2.3 -12.2
  Jan 31, 2019 160   @ Hawaii L 57-74 28%     6 - 14 2 - 4 -14.3 -15.7 +1.9
  Feb 02, 2019 107   UC Irvine L 80-82 31%     6 - 15 2 - 5 -0.3 +8.7 -9.0
  Feb 07, 2019 160   Hawaii L 70-77 48%     6 - 16 2 - 6 -9.8 -7.8 -1.6
  Feb 09, 2019 329   @ Cal Poly W 76-68 69%     7 - 16 3 - 6 -0.6 -6.1 +4.9
  Feb 13, 2019 159   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 82-85 27%     7 - 17 3 - 7 -0.1 +2.7 -2.5
  Feb 16, 2019 207   @ UC Davis L 73-77 37%     7 - 18 3 - 8 -4.0 +1.8 -5.8
  Feb 20, 2019 276   Cal St. Northridge W 86-80 72%    
  Feb 23, 2019 311   @ UC Riverside W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 28, 2019 172   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-76 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 329   Cal Poly W 77-66 85%    
  Mar 06, 2019 311   UC Riverside W 78-70 78%    
Projected Record 10.2 - 19.8 6.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 2.1 4th
5th 0.3 5.2 4.8 10.3 5th
6th 2.0 22.0 25.9 2.7 52.6 6th
7th 0.8 13.3 12.7 1.4 28.2 7th
8th 0.3 3.6 2.7 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.4 4.4 18.1 35.0 32.7 9.5 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 9.5% 6.6% 6.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 8.8
7-9 32.7% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 1.8 30.9
6-10 35.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 1.5 33.5
5-11 18.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.6 17.5
4-12 4.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.3
3-13 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.3 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 15.6 1.3 38.0 60.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.0%
Lose Out 0.4%