Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#157
Achievement Rating-1.1#183
Pace66.6#245
Improvement+0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#54
First Shot+4.6#51
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#59
Freethrows+2.8#23
Improvement+3.0#43

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#285
First Shot-3.6#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#245
Layups/Dunks+0.1#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#298
Freethrows+1.4#82
Improvement-2.8#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.6% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 73.7% 91.3% 66.6%
.500 or above in Conference 68.9% 89.3% 60.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 2.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.1% 1.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round7.1% 9.6% 6.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Away) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 333   @ Jackson St. W 75-66 82%     1 - 0 -0.3 +5.9 -5.7
  Nov 12, 2018 27   @ Texas L 55-65 8%     1 - 1 +5.7 -8.6 +14.0
  Nov 14, 2018 4   @ Michigan St. L 59-80 3%     1 - 2 +2.0 -4.4 +7.1
  Nov 23, 2018 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-79 80%     1 - 3 -14.5 +0.0 -14.5
  Nov 27, 2018 331   @ Northwestern St. W 80-52 80%     2 - 3 +19.3 +13.6 +8.7
  Dec 01, 2018 38   @ Mississippi L 60-83 11%     2 - 4 -9.2 -2.8 -8.0
  Dec 11, 2018 284   Grambling St. W 72-67 83%     3 - 4 -4.7 -1.3 -3.4
  Dec 15, 2018 274   Stephen F. Austin W 74-58 82%     4 - 4 +6.8 -1.1 +8.0
  Dec 18, 2018 322   Nicholls St. W 95-68 89%     5 - 4 +13.8 +10.9 +1.6
  Dec 21, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 80-63 94%     6 - 4 -0.8 +4.4 -4.6
  Dec 28, 2018 22   @ LSU L 69-81 7%     6 - 5 +5.1 +1.1 +4.2
  Jan 03, 2019 206   Arkansas Little Rock W 97-84 71%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +7.6 +21.2 -13.8
  Jan 05, 2019 259   Arkansas St. W 85-75 80%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +1.6 +8.3 -6.5
  Jan 10, 2019 128   @ Georgia Southern L 78-79 30%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +4.8 +2.5 +2.4
  Jan 12, 2019 131   @ Georgia St. L 73-74 31%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +4.5 +0.2 +4.3
  Jan 19, 2019 185   Louisiana W 99-95 67%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -0.3 +5.6 -6.5
  Jan 24, 2019 233   Troy W 75-69 76%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -1.2 -3.0 +1.9
  Jan 26, 2019 220   South Alabama L 72-78 73%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -12.1 +1.0 -13.5
  Jan 31, 2019 163   @ Coastal Carolina L 81-92 41%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -8.4 +14.9 -24.0
  Feb 02, 2019 191   @ Appalachian St. L 84-85 48%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -0.1 +11.6 -11.7
  Feb 06, 2019 131   Georgia St. W 82-76 51%     11 - 10 5 - 5 +6.0 +4.3 +1.4
  Feb 08, 2019 128   Georgia Southern W 88-79 50%     12 - 10 6 - 5 +9.3 +17.1 -7.5
  Feb 16, 2019 185   @ Louisiana L 76-83 46%     12 - 11 6 - 6 -5.8 +2.2 -8.0
  Feb 21, 2019 124   @ Texas St. L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 23, 2019 175   @ Texas Arlington L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 28, 2019 191   Appalachian St. W 83-78 68%    
  Mar 02, 2019 163   Coastal Carolina W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 07, 2019 259   @ Arkansas St. W 79-76 61%    
  Mar 09, 2019 206   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 77-76 50%    
Projected Record 15.1 - 13.9 9.1 - 8.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 1.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.3 5.7 0.6 8.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 10.4 3.8 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.7 12.3 10.9 0.5 24.5 5th
6th 0.0 7.3 13.8 1.4 22.5 6th
7th 1.2 10.2 2.3 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.0 3.6 2.6 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.9 0.2 3.3 9th
10th 0.6 0.7 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.6 0.1 0.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 1.5 8.5 21.0 29.9 25.2 11.6 2.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 25.3% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 2.3% 17.5% 17.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.9
11-7 11.6% 14.2% 14.2% 14.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.0 9.9
10-8 25.2% 8.5% 8.5% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.2 23.0
9-9 29.9% 6.1% 6.1% 15.1 0.2 1.3 0.3 28.1
8-10 21.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 20.2
7-11 8.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.7 0.1 0.2 8.2
6-12 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 1.1 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 13.7 1.3 37.3 56.0 5.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 0.8%