Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#202
Achievement Rating-7.4#260
Pace64.8#307
Improvement-1.1#253

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#202
First Shot-2.7#258
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#81
Layup/Dunks-4.1#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#231
Freethrows+0.4#150
Improvement-0.6#225

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#213
First Shot+3.7#59
After Offensive Rebounds-5.1#352
Layups/Dunks+3.7#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#191
Freethrows+2.1#74
Improvement-0.4#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.5% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 36.8% 42.0% 19.9%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 47.5% 34.4%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.4% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 9.6% 15.3%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round3.7% 4.3% 2.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 337   @ Jackson St. W 75-66 75%     1 - 0 -0.6 +5.3 -5.4
  Nov 12, 2018 46   @ Texas L 55-65 8%     1 - 1 +2.9 -6.0 +8.6
  Nov 14, 2018 7   @ Michigan St. L 59-80 2%     1 - 2 +0.3 -7.1 +8.0
  Nov 23, 2018 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-79 74%     1 - 3 -15.1 -2.1 -13.0
  Nov 27, 2018 346   @ Northwestern St. W 80-52 84%     2 - 3 +14.9 +11.8 +6.1
  Dec 01, 2018 65   @ Mississippi L 60-83 12%     2 - 4 -12.6 -6.0 -8.1
  Dec 11, 2018 288   Grambling St. W 75-67 76%    
  Dec 15, 2018 159   Stephen F. Austin W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 18, 2018 250   Nicholls St. W 73-67 70%    
  Dec 21, 2018 350   Coppin St. W 77-60 95%    
  Dec 28, 2018 53   @ LSU L 65-80 9%    
  Jan 03, 2019 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 05, 2019 291   Arkansas St. W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 10, 2019 134   @ Georgia Southern L 73-81 23%    
  Jan 12, 2019 108   @ Georgia St. L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 19, 2019 126   Louisiana L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 24, 2019 206   Troy W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 197   South Alabama W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 31, 2019 185   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 02, 2019 178   @ Appalachian St. L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 06, 2019 108   Georgia St. L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 08, 2019 134   Georgia Southern L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 126   @ Louisiana L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 21, 2019 142   @ Texas St. L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 23, 2019 252   @ Texas Arlington L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 28, 2019 178   Appalachian St. W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 02, 2019 185   Coastal Carolina W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 07, 2019 291   @ Arkansas St. W 73-71 56%    
  Mar 09, 2019 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 70-71 47%    
Projected Record 13.2 - 15.8 8.1 - 9.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.6 2.8 0.2 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.1 3.8 0.4 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.0 1.2 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.2 1.2 0.1 8.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.8 0.7 0.1 6.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.0 5.4 8.4 10.9 12.6 13.4 12.5 10.9 8.4 5.8 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 89.5% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 61.5% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 29.0% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.4% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 28.6% 27.4% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6%
16-2 0.3% 30.5% 30.1% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5%
15-3 0.8% 22.7% 22.5% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2%
14-4 2.0% 19.9% 19.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
13-5 3.6% 14.8% 14.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.0
12-6 5.8% 11.1% 11.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.2
11-7 8.4% 7.9% 7.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 7.8
10-8 10.9% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 10.4
9-9 12.5% 3.0% 3.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.1
8-10 13.4% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.1
7-11 12.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 10.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.8
5-13 8.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.4
4-14 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.3 96.0 0.0%