Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#141
Achievement Rating+0.5#164
Pace65.9#266
Improvement-2.2#284

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#187
First Shot+0.0#182
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#190
Layup/Dunks+1.2#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement-5.4#341

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#116
First Shot+1.1#137
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#80
Layups/Dunks+2.2#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#239
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement+3.2#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.4% 100.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.0% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.4% 8.4% 5.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 110   @ Wichita St. W 71-58 32%     1 - 0 +19.7 -1.5 +20.5
  Nov 11, 2018 168   Sam Houston St. W 76-69 68%     2 - 0 +4.1 +4.6 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2018 23   @ LSU L 67-74 9%     2 - 1 +10.0 +2.5 +7.3
  Nov 24, 2018 115   UNC Greensboro L 73-80 42%     2 - 2 -3.1 +3.4 -6.5
  Nov 26, 2018 246   @ Delaware L 71-75 66%     2 - 3 -6.3 +9.2 -16.3
  Dec 01, 2018 288   Houston Baptist W 85-78 86%     3 - 3 -2.9 +3.0 -6.1
  Dec 04, 2018 283   Prairie View W 82-68 86%     4 - 3 +4.5 +3.1 +1.0
  Dec 07, 2018 254   @ Stephen F. Austin W 96-93 68%     5 - 3 +0.3 +10.1 -10.1
  Dec 11, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 96-80 97%     6 - 3 -5.5 +15.8 -21.0
  Dec 15, 2018 190   @ Louisiana W 83-62 54%     7 - 3 +21.8 +6.4 +15.0
  Dec 22, 2018 275   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-68 85%     8 - 3 -4.2 -2.6 -1.6
  Dec 29, 2018 134   Southern Miss W 71-56 58%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +14.8 +3.8 +12.2
  Jan 03, 2019 133   @ North Texas L 59-63 37%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +1.3 -3.6 +4.5
  Jan 05, 2019 248   @ Rice L 66-78 66%     9 - 5 1 - 2 -14.4 -8.5 -6.1
  Jan 10, 2019 164   UAB W 64-53 68%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +8.2 -3.6 +13.0
  Jan 12, 2019 243   Middle Tennessee W 73-56 82%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +9.4 +5.9 +5.2
  Jan 17, 2019 109   @ Old Dominion L 63-64 32%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +5.8 -3.4 +9.1
  Jan 19, 2019 287   @ Charlotte L 40-55 73%     11 - 7 3 - 4 -19.5 -32.2 +11.2
  Jan 24, 2019 202   Marshall W 89-80 75%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +3.9 -1.7 +4.2
  Jan 26, 2019 121   Western Kentucky W 62-50 55%     13 - 7 5 - 4 +12.7 -2.1 +16.2
  Jan 31, 2019 176   @ Florida Atlantic L 61-69 50%     13 - 8 5 - 5 -6.0 -10.0 +3.8
  Feb 02, 2019 227   @ Florida International L 69-75 63%     13 - 9 5 - 6 -7.5 -4.7 -2.6
  Feb 09, 2019 134   @ Southern Miss L 71-73 37%     13 - 10 5 - 7 +3.2 -0.7 +3.9
  Feb 14, 2019 252   UTEP W 71-57 82%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +6.0 -5.6 +11.5
  Feb 16, 2019 135   Texas San Antonio W 74-72 59%    
Projected Record 14.6 - 10.4 6.6 - 7.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.6 21.3 21.9 8th
9th 5.9 27.6 33.5 9th
10th 17.0 9.5 26.5 10th
11th 16.3 0.0 16.3 11th
12th 0.7 0.7 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 40.6 59.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 59.4% 8.4% 8.4% 13.7 0.1 1.8 2.8 0.3 54.5
6-8 40.6% 5.9% 5.9% 14.7 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.1 38.2
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.1 1.8 3.6 1.8 0.1 92.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.0% 100.0% 13.7 2.2 36.3 55.7 5.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.2%
Lose Out 21.0%