Loyola Chicago
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#99
Achievement Rating+0.7#162
Pace65.6#286
Improvement-1.8#300

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#191
First Shot+2.2#115
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#326
Layup/Dunks+7.4#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#303
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement-0.6#225

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#35
First Shot+1.3#132
After Offensive Rebounds+4.6#3
Layups/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#145
Freethrows+4.2#9
Improvement-1.3#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.0% 27.6% 20.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 88.4% 90.1% 71.3%
.500 or above in Conference 90.0% 90.6% 83.6%
Conference Champion 40.2% 41.2% 29.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.2% 2.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round26.9% 27.5% 20.4%
Second Round5.0% 5.2% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 91.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 266   UMKC W 76-45 90%     1 - 0 +22.0 -2.6 +24.0
  Nov 09, 2018 89   Furman L 58-60 59%     1 - 1 +1.0 -14.7 +15.8
  Nov 14, 2018 255   Niagara W 75-62 90%     2 - 1 +4.5 +0.2 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2018 258   Grambling St. W 80-64 90%     3 - 1 +7.5 +2.3 +4.6
  Nov 19, 2018 199   Richmond W 82-66 76%     4 - 1 +13.8 +7.6 +6.5
  Nov 21, 2018 105   Boston College L 66-78 52%     4 - 2 -7.2 -9.0 +2.4
  Nov 27, 2018 10   Nevada L 65-79 21%     4 - 3 -0.2 +1.4 -2.7
  Dec 01, 2018 175   @ Illinois-Chicago W 73-64 63%     5 - 3 +11.0 +1.1 +10.0
  Dec 05, 2018 107   Ball St. L 69-75 64%     5 - 4 -4.3 -5.7 +1.6
  Dec 08, 2018 30   Maryland L 41-55 25%     5 - 5 -1.6 -19.2 +15.5
  Dec 16, 2018 274   Norfolk St. W 73-58 91%    
  Dec 22, 2018 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 02, 2019 139   Indiana St. W 69-62 73%    
  Jan 05, 2019 151   @ Drake W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 08, 2019 176   @ Evansville W 70-67 63%    
  Jan 12, 2019 152   Illinois St. W 72-64 77%    
  Jan 15, 2019 157   Valparaiso W 69-61 76%    
  Jan 19, 2019 139   @ Indiana St. W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 23, 2019 200   @ Missouri St. W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 27, 2019 122   Southern Illinois W 66-61 67%    
  Jan 30, 2019 178   Northern Iowa W 68-58 81%    
  Feb 02, 2019 152   @ Illinois St. W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 05, 2019 151   Drake W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 10, 2019 157   @ Valparaiso W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 13, 2019 144   @ Bradley W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 17, 2019 200   Missouri St. W 75-64 84%    
  Feb 20, 2019 176   Evansville W 73-64 80%    
  Feb 24, 2019 122   @ Southern Illinois L 63-64 44%    
  Feb 27, 2019 178   @ Northern Iowa W 65-61 63%    
  Mar 02, 2019 144   Bradley W 67-60 74%    
Projected Record 18.3 - 11.7 12.0 - 6.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 4.1 8.6 10.1 8.8 5.3 2.2 0.5 40.2 1st
2nd 0.7 4.2 7.2 5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.4 5.6 3.4 0.6 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.5 0.2 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.3 3.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.5 7.4 10.8 12.6 14.9 14.6 12.5 9.2 5.4 2.2 0.5 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 2.2    2.2
16-2 99.6% 5.3    5.2 0.1
15-3 95.5% 8.8    8.0 0.8 0.0
14-4 81.1% 10.1    7.6 2.4 0.1
13-5 58.8% 8.6    4.5 3.3 0.7 0.0
12-6 27.4% 4.1    0.9 1.9 1.1 0.3
11-7 4.8% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 40.2% 40.2 28.9 8.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 62.7% 62.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 2.2% 58.1% 52.5% 5.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 11.7%
16-2 5.4% 50.7% 49.7% 0.9% 12.3 0.1 0.2 1.4 1.0 0.1 2.6 1.9%
15-3 9.2% 41.9% 41.0% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.0 5.3 1.5%
14-4 12.5% 36.1% 35.9% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.0 0.3%
13-5 14.6% 30.8% 30.8% 13.6 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.1
12-6 14.9% 26.0% 26.0% 14.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 0.8 0.0 11.0
11-7 12.6% 19.2% 19.2% 14.3 0.2 1.4 0.8 0.0 10.2
10-8 10.8% 18.2% 18.2% 14.6 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 8.8
9-9 7.4% 14.1% 14.1% 14.9 0.3 0.6 0.2 6.3
8-10 4.5% 7.9% 7.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.2
7-11 3.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.8
6-12 1.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 1.5
5-13 0.7% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 27.0% 26.8% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 4.2 8.1 8.9 4.0 0.8 73.0 0.4%