Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#281
Achievement Rating-6.8#268
Pace71.6#110
Improvement+2.7#64

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#241
First Shot-1.5#227
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#214
Layup/Dunks-0.3#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#295
Freethrows+0.5#138
Improvement+0.2#186

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#296
First Shot-4.1#298
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#232
Layups/Dunks-3.7#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#160
Freethrows-2.1#305
Improvement+2.6#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.7% 20.0% 2.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.5% 7.9% 40.3%
First Four1.8% 2.1% 1.2%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 64.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 42   @ St. John's L 55-76 4%     0 - 1 -7.7 -17.1 +11.7
  Nov 11, 2018 203   Dartmouth L 80-82 44%     0 - 2 -7.2 +5.8 -13.1
  Nov 13, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 91-62 94%     1 - 2 +4.9 +3.2 +0.3
  Nov 16, 2018 70   @ Temple L 67-81 7%     1 - 3 -4.2 -2.6 -1.2
  Nov 19, 2018 260   @ Detroit Mercy L 63-91 35%     1 - 4 -30.9 -12.4 -18.9
  Nov 20, 2018 241   Hampton W 75-66 42%     2 - 4 +4.4 -8.1 +11.9
  Nov 25, 2018 253   @ Towson L 69-85 35%     2 - 5 -18.7 -3.3 -15.8
  Dec 01, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 75-65 76%     3 - 5 -4.0 -7.2 +2.7
  Dec 05, 2018 243   @ Drexel L 86-95 33%     3 - 6 -11.1 +15.1 -26.9
  Dec 08, 2018 336   @ Binghamton W 83-65 61%     4 - 6 +8.3 +13.6 -3.8
  Dec 11, 2018 21   @ Maryland L 71-94 2%     4 - 7 -5.7 +5.9 -11.3
  Dec 21, 2018 236   @ Umass Lowell L 79-97 32%     4 - 8 -19.8 -7.0 -10.7
  Dec 28, 2018 32   @ North Carolina St. L 64-97 3%     4 - 9 -18.4 -8.4 -6.9
  Jan 03, 2019 234   Holy Cross L 73-80 52%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -14.2 -4.3 -9.9
  Jan 06, 2019 158   @ Lehigh L 72-89 18%     4 - 11 0 - 2 -13.9 -6.6 -6.4
  Jan 09, 2019 295   @ Lafayette L 70-85 42%     4 - 12 0 - 3 -19.8 -9.9 -9.3
  Jan 12, 2019 246   Army W 66-64 54%     5 - 12 1 - 3 -5.8 -9.6 +3.7
  Jan 16, 2019 232   Boston University W 81-73 52%     6 - 12 2 - 3 +0.8 -8.1 +7.8
  Jan 19, 2019 234   @ Holy Cross W 67-65 31%     7 - 12 3 - 3 +0.3 -0.6 +1.1
  Jan 23, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 68-71 15%     7 - 13 3 - 4 +1.3 +0.5 +0.7
  Jan 26, 2019 153   Colgate W 79-72 33%     8 - 13 4 - 4 +4.8 +2.6 +2.2
  Jan 30, 2019 208   American L 68-74 45%     8 - 14 4 - 5 -11.6 -7.5 -4.1
  Feb 02, 2019 301   @ Navy L 68-71 44%     8 - 15 4 - 6 -8.2 -9.3 +1.3
  Feb 06, 2019 146   Bucknell L 72-84 30%     8 - 16 4 - 7 -13.2 -7.6 -4.6
  Feb 09, 2019 153   @ Colgate L 72-75 17%     8 - 17 4 - 8 +0.3 +6.4 -6.4
  Feb 13, 2019 208   @ American W 86-84 26%     9 - 17 5 - 8 +2.0 +13.0 -11.0
  Feb 17, 2019 295   Lafayette W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 20, 2019 301   Navy W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 23, 2019 232   @ Boston University L 72-77 31%    
  Feb 27, 2019 246   @ Army L 72-76 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 158   Lehigh L 79-83 35%    
Projected Record 11.3 - 19.7 7.3 - 10.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 3rd
4th 3.1 7.0 1.7 11.9 4th
5th 1.0 16.2 4.4 0.1 21.8 5th
6th 12.1 8.3 0.2 20.6 6th
7th 0.8 17.2 0.4 18.3 7th
8th 8.9 3.4 0.0 12.3 8th
9th 1.3 8.4 0.1 9.8 9th
10th 3.3 1.9 0.0 5.2 10th
Total 4.5 20.0 33.7 28.1 11.7 2.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.1% 6.2% 6.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
9-9 11.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.2
8-10 28.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.9 27.2
7-11 33.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.4 33.3
6-12 20.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 19.8
5-13 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.6 0.8 35.2 64.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 2.7%