Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#299
Achievement Rating-8.5#275
Pace69.4#197
Improvement+0.5#136

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#218
First Shot-0.2#191
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#229
Layup/Dunks-0.3#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#222
Freethrows+1.3#109
Improvement+3.5#6

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#330
First Shot-6.3#335
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#176
Layups/Dunks-0.4#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#251
Freethrows-3.7#329
Improvement-3.0#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 4.3% 8.6% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 18.2% 23.7% 15.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 23.6% 19.2% 25.8%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 33.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 45   @ St. John's L 55-76 4%     0 - 1 -8.1 -19.9 +14.1
  Nov 11, 2018 221   Dartmouth L 80-82 46%     0 - 2 -8.4 +6.2 -14.8
  Nov 13, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 91-62 93%     1 - 2 +5.3 +3.3 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2018 78   @ Temple L 67-81 6%     1 - 3 -4.2 -1.7 -2.1
  Nov 19, 2018 297   @ Detroit Mercy L 63-91 38%     1 - 4 -32.5 -12.9 -20.0
  Nov 20, 2018 244   Hampton W 75-66 40%     2 - 4 +4.0 -4.5 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2018 284   @ Towson L 69-85 36%     2 - 5 -19.9 -3.6 -16.7
  Dec 01, 2018 340   Mount St. Mary's W 75-65 79%     3 - 5 -6.2 -7.5 +0.8
  Dec 05, 2018 249   @ Drexel L 86-95 30%     3 - 6 -11.2 +14.8 -26.6
  Dec 08, 2018 331   @ Binghamton W 83-65 55%     4 - 6 +9.1 +14.3 -3.7
  Dec 11, 2018 30   @ Maryland L 71-94 3%     4 - 7 -7.6 +5.2 -12.5
  Dec 21, 2018 273   @ Umass Lowell L 79-83 33%    
  Dec 28, 2018 20   @ North Carolina St. L 71-95 1%    
  Jan 03, 2019 156   Holy Cross L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 06, 2019 150   @ Lehigh L 73-84 15%    
  Jan 09, 2019 316   @ Lafayette L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 12, 2019 270   Army W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 16, 2019 188   Boston University L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 19, 2019 156   @ Holy Cross L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 23, 2019 145   @ Bucknell L 70-82 14%    
  Jan 26, 2019 160   Colgate L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 30, 2019 195   American L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 02, 2019 313   @ Navy L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 06, 2019 145   Bucknell L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 09, 2019 160   @ Colgate L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 13, 2019 195   @ American L 68-77 21%    
  Feb 17, 2019 316   Lafayette W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 20, 2019 313   Navy W 72-68 66%    
  Feb 23, 2019 188   @ Boston University L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 27, 2019 270   @ Army L 73-77 34%    
  Mar 02, 2019 150   Lehigh L 76-81 31%    
Projected Record 10.6 - 20.4 6.2 - 11.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.4 1.8 0.2 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.2 2.9 0.4 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.6 6.9 4.2 0.5 17.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 6.5 7.6 3.8 0.5 0.0 20.6 8th
9th 0.4 3.0 6.1 6.5 2.7 0.4 19.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.5 3.7 4.5 3.6 1.3 0.2 15.0 10th
Total 0.2 1.5 4.1 7.6 11.9 15.3 15.4 14.0 11.9 8.0 5.2 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 83.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 42.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 14.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 10.0% 10.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.6% 10.5% 10.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.2
11-7 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 15.5 0.1 0.1 2.7
10-8 5.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 5.0
9-9 8.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 7.8
8-10 11.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.6
7-11 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-13 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-14 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
3-15 7.6% 7.6
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 98.9 0.0%