Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#143
Achievement Rating+3.1#134
Pace60.4#344
Improvement-2.1#277

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#184
Layup/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#338
Freethrows+1.9#56
Improvement-0.5#217

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#100
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#15
Layups/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows-1.2#258
Improvement-1.6#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.3% 16.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Away) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 151   @ UNLV W 61-50 43%     1 - 0 +14.5 -6.8 +22.3
  Nov 13, 2018 276   Cal St. Northridge W 79-64 85%     2 - 0 +5.7 -5.3 +10.3
  Nov 16, 2018 68   Georgetown W 65-52 30%     3 - 0 +20.1 -4.4 +24.8
  Nov 18, 2018 209   Ohio W 65-56 67%     4 - 0 +6.2 -4.4 +10.7
  Nov 21, 2018 305   Central Connecticut St. W 76-74 88%     5 - 0 -9.1 +6.4 -15.3
  Nov 24, 2018 325   Florida A&M W 71-63 92%     6 - 0 -5.5 +4.9 -9.4
  Dec 02, 2018 94   @ UCLA L 58-82 27%     6 - 1 -16.0 -8.6 -8.0
  Dec 05, 2018 159   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 59-49 46%     7 - 1 +12.9 -4.7 +18.4
  Dec 15, 2018 291   @ Portland St. W 85-58 73%     8 - 1 +22.4 +7.6 +14.9
  Dec 19, 2018 125   Boise St. W 70-69 55%     9 - 1 +1.5 +4.2 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2018 311   @ UC Riverside L 53-60 77%     9 - 2 -13.0 -17.7 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2018 207   UC Davis W 77-59 76%     10 - 2 +12.5 +11.7 +2.7
  Jan 03, 2019 161   @ Pepperdine L 62-77 47%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -12.4 -9.0 -3.6
  Jan 05, 2019 317   Portland W 76-64 90%     11 - 3 1 - 1 -0.6 +4.0 -3.9
  Jan 12, 2019 53   St. Mary's L 60-71 33%     11 - 4 1 - 2 -4.7 -1.5 -5.3
  Jan 17, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 55-73 2%     11 - 5 1 - 3 +8.8 -4.3 +11.9
  Jan 19, 2019 161   Pepperdine W 74-70 67%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +1.1 +0.2 +0.9
  Jan 24, 2019 103   @ San Diego L 58-71 29%     12 - 6 2 - 4 -5.5 -4.6 -2.3
  Jan 26, 2019 189   @ Santa Clara W 69-61 53%     13 - 6 3 - 4 +9.0 +6.7 +3.3
  Jan 31, 2019 187   Pacific W 60-42 72%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +13.6 -3.6 +20.5
  Feb 02, 2019 73   @ BYU L 49-67 23%     14 - 7 4 - 5 -8.5 -14.8 +3.7
  Feb 07, 2019 103   San Diego L 63-65 49%     14 - 8 4 - 6 +0.0 -2.6 +2.4
  Feb 09, 2019 317   @ Portland W 72-55 80%     15 - 8 5 - 6 +9.9 +0.9 +9.8
  Feb 14, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 60-73 5%     15 - 9 5 - 7 +8.3 -0.3 +7.4
  Feb 16, 2019 73   BYU L 62-70 42%     15 - 10 5 - 8 -4.1 -4.3 -0.7
  Feb 23, 2019 187   @ Pacific W 63-62 51%    
  Feb 28, 2019 189   Santa Clara W 65-59 73%    
  Mar 02, 2019 61   @ San Francisco L 59-68 20%    
Projected Record 16.4 - 11.6 6.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.4 0.4 4th
5th 0.9 21.9 7.6 30.4 5th
6th 0.0 7.5 14.7 0.3 22.5 6th
7th 0.5 18.7 2.6 21.7 7th
8th 9.6 14.3 0.0 23.9 8th
9th 1.0 1.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 11.2 41.4 39.1 8.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 8.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
7-9 39.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.0
6-10 41.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.3
5-11 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 11.2
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 12.7 3.4 34.5 48.3 13.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.7%
Lose Out 4.8%