Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#135
Achievement Rating+15.2#30
Pace61.2#347
Improvement-3.4#342

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#167
First Shot+0.7#165
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#202
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#332
Freethrows+5.3#5
Improvement-0.6#222

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#102
First Shot+0.4#158
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#56
Layups/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#142
Freethrows-1.5#261
Improvement-2.7#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.8% 3.7% 1.2%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 11.3
.500 or above 90.8% 95.0% 83.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.3% 57.1% 46.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.4% 4.0%
First Four1.5% 1.9% 0.7%
First Round2.9% 3.6% 1.5%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 136   @ UNLV W 61-50 39%     1 - 0 +16.3 -2.1 +19.4
  Nov 13, 2018 326   Cal St. Northridge W 79-64 93%     2 - 0 +1.0 -5.4 +5.8
  Nov 16, 2018 87   Georgetown W 65-52 37%     3 - 0 +18.9 -3.9 +23.1
  Nov 18, 2018 152   Ohio W 65-56 57%     4 - 0 +9.7 -4.0 +13.8
  Nov 21, 2018 260   Central Connecticut St. W 76-74 85%     5 - 0 -6.8 +6.0 -12.5
  Nov 24, 2018 335   Florida A&M W 71-63 94%     6 - 0 -7.3 +2.5 -8.7
  Dec 02, 2018 43   @ UCLA L 58-82 16%     6 - 1 -10.8 -6.9 -4.5
  Dec 05, 2018 167   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 59-49 49%     7 - 1 +12.6 -4.4 +17.8
  Dec 15, 2018 235   @ Portland St. W 74-70 64%    
  Dec 19, 2018 127   Boise St. W 67-64 59%    
  Dec 22, 2018 293   @ UC Riverside W 66-59 74%    
  Dec 28, 2018 222   UC Davis W 65-56 80%    
  Jan 03, 2019 225   @ Pepperdine W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 05, 2019 270   Portland W 74-62 86%    
  Jan 12, 2019 52   St. Mary's L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 17, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 64-84 3%    
  Jan 19, 2019 225   Pepperdine W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 24, 2019 71   @ San Diego L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 26, 2019 272   @ Santa Clara W 68-62 69%    
  Jan 31, 2019 163   Pacific W 68-63 69%    
  Feb 02, 2019 66   @ BYU L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 07, 2019 71   San Diego L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 09, 2019 270   @ Portland W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 14, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 67-81 10%    
  Feb 16, 2019 66   BYU L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 23, 2019 163   @ Pacific L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 28, 2019 272   Santa Clara W 71-59 85%    
  Mar 02, 2019 47   @ San Francisco L 59-69 18%    
Projected Record 17.5 - 10.5 7.7 - 8.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.6 7.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 9.1 5.4 0.7 0.0 19.2 5th
6th 0.5 4.6 9.5 5.4 0.6 0.0 20.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.0 7.1 3.4 0.4 0.0 15.3 7th
8th 0.3 2.5 3.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.8 8.7 13.5 16.9 17.5 14.9 10.5 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 64.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 30.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
12-4 5.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 94.1% 14.7% 79.4% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.1%
14-2 0.2% 78.9% 15.4% 63.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 75.1%
13-3 1.0% 53.8% 8.1% 45.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 49.7%
12-4 2.9% 31.5% 4.4% 27.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.0 28.3%
11-5 6.2% 14.1% 2.7% 11.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.4 11.8%
10-6 10.5% 6.0% 1.6% 4.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.9 4.5%
9-7 14.9% 2.2% 1.0% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.5 1.2%
8-8 17.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 17.4 0.2%
7-9 16.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.8 0.0%
6-10 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-11 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
4-12 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 4.8
3-13 1.9% 1.9
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.8% 1.0% 2.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.2 2.8%