Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#213
Achievement Rating-1.5#190
Pace63.4#316
Improvement+1.4#112

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#304
First Shot-4.0#286
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks-2.9#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows-1.7#296
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#117
First Shot+0.6#150
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#49
Layups/Dunks+1.6#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#307
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+1.4#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 9.7% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 98.9% 100.0% 98.5%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 1.7% 6.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.1% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round7.1% 9.4% 6.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 42-67 4%     0 - 1 -8.6 -20.2 +9.3
  Nov 12, 2018 311   Manhattan W 75-52 78%     1 - 1 +11.4 +5.2 +7.3
  Nov 16, 2018 238   Air Force W 77-72 55%     2 - 1 +0.5 -10.1 +9.7
  Nov 17, 2018 225   High Point W 68-59 52%     3 - 1 +5.2 +2.9 +3.2
  Nov 19, 2018 231   South Dakota L 52-58 54%     3 - 2 -10.4 -23.6 +13.5
  Nov 24, 2018 205   American L 69-73 58%     3 - 3 -9.4 -3.9 -5.7
  Nov 30, 2018 105   @ Northern Kentucky L 60-78 16%     3 - 4 -10.8 -14.5 +4.9
  Dec 03, 2018 345   @ Coppin St. W 71-60 80%     4 - 4 -1.4 +0.5 -1.1
  Dec 08, 2018 235   @ Drexel W 91-76 44%     5 - 4 +13.2 +11.3 +1.5
  Dec 11, 2018 264   Towson L 76-80 70%     5 - 5 -12.7 -9.1 -3.1
  Dec 16, 2018 221   Florida Gulf Coast L 53-76 61%     5 - 6 -29.2 -19.9 -10.3
  Dec 29, 2018 57   @ Penn St. L 52-74 10%     5 - 7 -11.3 -2.5 -13.5
  Jan 05, 2019 316   Maine W 61-52 80%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -3.1 -9.5 +7.5
  Jan 09, 2019 189   @ Hartford L 64-66 34%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -1.1 -4.3 +2.9
  Jan 12, 2019 240   @ Umass Lowell L 63-74 44%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -12.9 -11.9 -1.2
  Jan 16, 2019 335   Binghamton W 68-49 86%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +3.9 -1.5 +8.1
  Jan 19, 2019 292   Albany W 65-64 74%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -9.1 -7.7 -1.3
  Jan 23, 2019 83   @ Vermont W 74-61 13%     9 - 9 4 - 2 +21.8 +13.2 +10.0
  Jan 26, 2019 346   @ New Hampshire W 59-51 81%     10 - 9 5 - 2 -4.5 -11.0 +7.1
  Jan 30, 2019 169   Stony Brook W 57-49 49%     11 - 9 6 - 2 +4.9 -8.8 +14.5
  Feb 06, 2019 189   Hartford L 61-70 55%     11 - 10 6 - 3 -13.5 -16.5 +2.9
  Feb 10, 2019 316   @ Maine W 67-66 63%     12 - 10 7 - 3 -5.7 -3.1 -2.5
  Feb 13, 2019 335   @ Binghamton W 64-50 73%     13 - 10 8 - 3 +4.3 -1.5 +8.2
  Feb 16, 2019 240   Umass Lowell W 70-66 65%     14 - 10 9 - 3 -3.3 -7.0 +3.8
  Feb 21, 2019 83   Vermont L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 23, 2019 292   @ Albany W 62-61 54%    
  Feb 27, 2019 169   @ Stony Brook L 59-65 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 346   New Hampshire W 66-51 92%    
Projected Record 16.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 5.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 1.7 1st
2nd 0.3 10.7 18.4 3.1 32.5 2nd
3rd 1.1 21.9 33.3 4.7 60.9 3rd
4th 1.1 3.8 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 2.2 26.0 44.0 23.3 4.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 31.7% 1.4    0.1 1.1 0.2
12-4 0.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.1 1.2 0.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 4.6% 13.6% 13.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 4.0
12-4 23.3% 9.7% 9.7% 15.4 0.0 1.2 1.0 21.0
11-5 44.0% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.0 1.1 2.1 40.8
10-6 26.0% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.3 1.1 24.6
9-7 2.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.1
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.3 92.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 14.7 0.5 30.6 64.0 4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 1.1%