Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-16.3#347
Achievement Rating-20.3#347
Pace64.0#317
Improvement-0.8#232

Offense
Total Offense-9.7#346
First Shot-4.9#302
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#350
Layup/Dunks+0.5#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#256
Freethrows-1.7#261
Improvement-0.7#235

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#332
First Shot-4.7#310
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#291
Layups/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#344
Freethrows-0.6#210
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.2% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 1.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 34.5% 20.6%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 10.9% 19.5%
First Four1.0% 2.2% 0.9%
First Round0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 87   @ Georgetown L 53-68 2%     0 - 1 -6.1 -18.7 +13.3
  Nov 10, 2018 27   @ North Carolina St. L 49-95 1%     0 - 2 -30.3 -17.5 -13.9
  Nov 13, 2018 300   Longwood L 63-66 30%     0 - 3 -13.8 -2.8 -11.4
  Nov 17, 2018 121   @ North Texas L 34-68 3%     0 - 4 -27.6 -34.0 +3.9
  Nov 20, 2018 215   @ Mercer L 42-80 7%     0 - 5 -38.1 -26.7 -13.9
  Nov 27, 2018 50   @ St. John's L 64-85 1%     0 - 6 -8.4 -8.4 +1.0
  Nov 30, 2018 220   Delaware L 62-71 18%     0 - 7 -15.5 -8.5 -8.2
  Dec 02, 2018 257   @ East Carolina L 47-70 10%     0 - 8 -25.5 -20.1 -7.5
  Dec 13, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 57-76 3%    
  Dec 15, 2018 119   @ Pittsburgh L 54-77 2%    
  Dec 20, 2018 180   @ Winthrop L 65-83 5%    
  Dec 22, 2018 189   @ American L 57-75 5%    
  Dec 28, 2018 10   @ Virginia Tech L 51-88 0.0%   
  Jan 05, 2019 312   @ Morgan St. L 64-74 17%    
  Jan 07, 2019 285   Howard L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 12, 2019 314   NC Central L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 14, 2019 324   N.C. A&T L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 19, 2019 335   @ Florida A&M L 60-67 26%    
  Jan 21, 2019 308   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-75 17%    
  Jan 26, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 28, 2019 285   @ Howard L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 02, 2019 341   South Carolina St. W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 04, 2019 351   Savannah St. W 82-78 64%    
  Feb 09, 2019 314   @ NC Central L 59-69 18%    
  Feb 11, 2019 324   @ N.C. A&T L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 16, 2019 350   Coppin St. W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 23, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 69-68 55%    
  Mar 04, 2019 312   Morgan St. L 67-71 35%    
  Mar 07, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 71-67 65%    
Projected Record 5.8 - 23.2 5.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.4 2.4 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 6.1 4.4 0.5 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 6.5 6.1 1.1 0.0 15.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 6.1 6.7 1.7 0.1 16.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.4 5.7 1.8 0.1 14.7 11th
12th 0.5 2.1 3.9 3.4 1.1 0.1 11.0 12th
Total 0.5 2.2 5.6 10.4 14.4 16.8 15.9 13.2 9.5 6.0 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 97.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 80.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 40.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 11.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.0% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.6% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.1 0.5
11-5 1.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.1 1.3
10-6 3.3% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.2 3.2
9-7 6.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.2 5.8
8-8 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.3
7-9 13.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.1
6-10 15.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.9
5-11 16.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.7
4-12 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.3
3-13 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
2-14 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
1-15 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%