McNeese St.
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#324
Achievement Rating-15.0#334
Pace66.8#240
Improvement-2.2#278

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#255
First Shot-4.4#294
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#62
Layup/Dunks+1.4#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#337
Freethrows+0.4#150
Improvement-1.5#253

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#344
First Shot-6.6#338
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#293
Layups/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#343
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-0.7#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 2.7% 11.5%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 51.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 53   @ St. Mary's L 65-87 3%     0 - 1 -10.1 +0.3 -12.4
  Nov 09, 2018 54   @ Arizona St. L 52-80 3%     0 - 2 -16.5 -13.3 -4.3
  Nov 29, 2018 104   @ SMU L 59-91 6%     0 - 3 -24.6 -6.7 -22.0
  Dec 01, 2018 309   @ NC Central L 66-67 33%     0 - 4 -7.0 -5.6 -1.4
  Dec 04, 2018 23   @ Mississippi St. L 77-90 1%     0 - 5 +4.1 +13.1 -9.3
  Dec 13, 2018 309   NC Central W 77-61 53%     1 - 5 +4.5 +0.9 +3.9
  Dec 15, 2018 229   @ UMKC L 67-80 19%     1 - 6 -14.4 -6.1 -8.5
  Dec 18, 2018 185   Louisiana L 67-80 27%     1 - 7 -17.3 -11.4 -5.7
  Dec 22, 2018 186   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-68 14%     1 - 8 -2.8 -2.9 +0.0
  Jan 02, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word W 88-77 50%     2 - 8 1 - 0 +0.3 +14.5 -13.4
  Jan 05, 2019 331   @ Northwestern St. L 61-66 43%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -13.7 -10.0 -4.1
  Jan 09, 2019 169   Abilene Christian L 72-73 23%     2 - 10 1 - 2 -4.1 +9.2 -13.4
  Jan 12, 2019 269   @ New Orleans L 66-79 25%     2 - 11 1 - 3 -16.5 -4.0 -12.6
  Jan 16, 2019 322   Nicholls St. W 86-75 60%     3 - 11 2 - 3 -2.2 +5.7 -8.0
  Jan 19, 2019 242   SE Louisiana L 71-74 38%     3 - 12 2 - 4 -10.5 +3.0 -13.7
  Jan 26, 2019 288   Houston Baptist W 79-73 47%     4 - 12 3 - 4 -4.0 -4.8 +0.5
  Feb 02, 2019 245   Lamar L 75-84 39%     4 - 13 3 - 5 -16.7 -2.6 -14.0
  Feb 06, 2019 173   @ Sam Houston St. L 62-77 12%     4 - 14 3 - 6 -12.7 -7.4 -5.8
  Feb 09, 2019 331   Northwestern St. L 72-74 64%     4 - 15 3 - 7 -16.3 -2.7 -13.7
  Feb 13, 2019 274   @ Stephen F. Austin L 57-67 25%     4 - 16 3 - 8 -13.7 -15.7 +2.0
  Feb 16, 2019 242   @ SE Louisiana L 52-88 21%     4 - 17 3 - 9 -38.0 -16.5 -23.4
  Feb 20, 2019 302   Central Arkansas W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 23, 2019 269   New Orleans L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 27, 2019 322   @ Nicholls St. L 73-76 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 288   @ Houston Baptist L 76-82 27%    
  Mar 06, 2019 282   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-70 47%    
  Mar 09, 2019 245   @ Lamar L 70-78 21%    
Projected Record 6.3 - 20.7 5.3 - 12.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.9 6th
7th 0.6 1.8 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.1 3.5 1.0 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 1.4 5.4 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.3 8.1 2.8 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.2 8.2 12.2 0.4 21.1 11th
12th 5.6 20.1 21.9 3.3 0.0 51.0 12th
13th 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.7 13th
Total 6.6 21.0 30.5 25.2 12.6 3.6 0.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
8-10 3.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.6
7-11 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
6-12 25.2% 25.2
5-13 30.5% 30.5
4-14 21.0% 21.0
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 6.6%