Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#46
Achievement Rating+2.9#141
Pace69.1#200
Improvement-4.4#352

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#41
First Shot+5.8#34
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#172
Layup/Dunks+3.8#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#112
Freethrows+0.1#167
Improvement-1.3#289

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#67
First Shot+3.4#67
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#125
Layups/Dunks-1.8#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#46
Freethrows+3.4#27
Improvement-3.1#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.6% 28.1% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.0% 27.5% 11.3%
Average Seed 9.1 9.1 10.0
.500 or above 65.3% 66.2% 35.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.4% 41.9% 26.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.7% 4.6%
First Four6.7% 6.8% 4.2%
First Round24.7% 25.2% 9.8%
Second Round13.0% 13.3% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 4.7% 1.5%
Elite Eight1.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Final Four0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 149   Lehigh W 83-62 87%     1 - 0 +18.8 +4.2 +13.8
  Nov 13, 2018 159   Stephen F. Austin W 96-58 88%     2 - 0 +35.1 +24.1 +11.5
  Nov 17, 2018 308   Bethune-Cookman W 78-70 97%     3 - 0 -3.6 -0.5 -3.3
  Nov 22, 2018 258   La Salle W 85-49 92%     4 - 0 +30.4 +0.1 +27.1
  Nov 23, 2018 61   Fresno St. W 78-76 58%     5 - 0 +9.9 +5.2 +4.6
  Nov 25, 2018 55   Seton Hall L 81-83 54%     5 - 1 +6.9 +5.9 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2018 98   Rutgers L 54-57 77%     5 - 2 -0.7 -12.0 +11.1
  Dec 01, 2018 101   Yale L 73-77 68%     5 - 3 +1.1 -1.4 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2018 92   @ Penn L 75-89 55%     5 - 4 -5.3 +13.6 -20.2
  Dec 19, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 91-71 97%    
  Dec 22, 2018 209   Florida Atlantic W 81-65 93%    
  Dec 29, 2018 242   Campbell W 84-66 95%    
  Jan 03, 2019 28   North Carolina St. W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 06, 2019 32   @ Louisville L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 09, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 72-79 25%    
  Jan 12, 2019 156   Wake Forest W 79-66 87%    
  Jan 19, 2019 6   North Carolina L 81-86 32%    
  Jan 24, 2019 31   @ Syracuse L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 27, 2019 15   Florida St. L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 30, 2019 11   Virginia Tech L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 02, 2019 7   @ Virginia L 58-69 16%    
  Feb 06, 2019 56   Notre Dame W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 09, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 78-89 16%    
  Feb 13, 2019 49   Clemson W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 17, 2019 100   @ Boston College W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 23, 2019 74   Georgia Tech W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 26, 2019 156   @ Wake Forest W 76-69 72%    
  Mar 02, 2019 1   @ Duke L 72-88 7%    
  Mar 05, 2019 122   Pittsburgh W 75-66 80%    
  Mar 08, 2019 11   @ Virginia Tech L 69-79 18%    
Projected Record 15.8 - 14.2 8.0 - 10.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.1 0.8 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.4 1.9 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 5.3 1.1 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.4 2.3 0.1 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.3 3.3 0.3 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.8 8.2 12.0 14.9 15.8 14.4 11.3 7.8 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 49.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 20.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 10.6% 89.4% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 99.2% 9.3% 89.9% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
13-5 2.2% 97.4% 5.9% 91.5% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.2%
12-6 4.4% 92.0% 3.6% 88.4% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 91.7%
11-7 7.8% 80.4% 2.0% 78.4% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 80.0%
10-8 11.3% 60.8% 1.1% 59.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.4 60.4%
9-9 14.4% 36.6% 0.5% 36.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.1 36.3%
8-10 15.8% 9.5% 0.3% 9.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 14.3 9.2%
7-11 14.9% 1.2% 0.2% 1.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.7 1.0%
6-12 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.0%
5-13 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 27.6% 0.9% 26.7% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.5 3.4 3.6 4.7 5.2 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 72.4 27.0%