Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#242
Achievement Rating-8.3#273
Pace69.0#206
Improvement-0.4#213

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#309
First Shot-7.8#336
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#52
Layup/Dunks-3.3#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#338
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement-0.2#191

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#157
First Shot-2.3#251
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#22
Layups/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows-1.0#235
Improvement-0.3#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.2
.500 or above 1.2% 4.8% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.9% 40.6% 28.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 6.3% 11.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Away) - 8.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 86   @ Belmont L 73-92 10%     0 - 1 -10.1 -7.5 +0.1
  Nov 16, 2018 226   Charleston Southern W 76-73 58%     1 - 1 -3.9 -5.5 +1.3
  Nov 21, 2018 7   Virginia L 52-74 3%     1 - 2 -3.9 -8.1 +2.8
  Nov 22, 2018 36   Butler L 53-84 7%     1 - 3 -19.4 -11.5 -9.8
  Nov 23, 2018 96   Stanford L 54-67 17%     1 - 4 -7.6 -18.0 +11.6
  Dec 01, 2018 68   Lipscomb L 74-84 19%     1 - 5 -5.6 +3.6 -9.2
  Dec 05, 2018 78   @ Vanderbilt L 51-79 9%     1 - 6 -18.5 -15.1 -5.1
  Dec 08, 2018 63   Murray St. L 42-64 18%     1 - 7 -17.1 -23.8 +5.4
  Dec 15, 2018 76   @ Toledo L 63-78 8%    
  Dec 21, 2018 64   Mississippi L 66-79 12%    
  Dec 30, 2018 111   @ Rhode Island L 59-71 13%    
  Jan 03, 2019 229   Florida International W 82-80 58%    
  Jan 05, 2019 209   Florida Atlantic W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 10, 2019 148   @ Southern Miss L 62-71 22%    
  Jan 12, 2019 139   @ Louisiana Tech L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 17, 2019 187   Texas San Antonio L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 213   UTEP W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 24, 2019 315   @ Rice W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 26, 2019 124   @ North Texas L 62-73 15%    
  Jan 30, 2019 217   UAB W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 02, 2019 217   @ UAB L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 07, 2019 307   Charlotte W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 09, 2019 105   Old Dominion L 58-65 28%    
  Feb 14, 2019 87   @ Western Kentucky L 63-77 11%    
  Feb 16, 2019 130   @ Marshall L 70-81 17%    
Projected Record 6.7 - 18.3 5.4 - 8.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.5 0.9 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.2 3.6 2.8 0.1 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 5.3 0.8 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.9 3.0 0.1 9.8 8th
9th 0.2 4.2 6.2 0.5 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 7.6 2.2 0.0 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 6.6 4.6 0.2 12.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 4.8 5.3 0.8 0.0 11.7 12th
13th 0.5 2.9 4.4 1.2 0.0 9.0 13th
14th 0.4 1.6 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.1 14th
Total 0.4 2.1 5.7 11.3 15.6 18.1 16.9 13.5 8.8 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 97.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 78.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-3 40.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 8.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.0% 4.5% 4.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 8.6% 8.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.7% 9.1% 9.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-4 2.0% 4.8% 4.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.9
9-5 4.6% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
8-6 8.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.7
7-7 13.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.4
6-8 16.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 16.9
5-9 18.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.0
4-10 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
3-11 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.3
2-12 5.7% 5.7
1-13 2.1% 2.1
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%