Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#244
Achievement Rating-5.9#255
Pace69.6#162
Improvement+3.4#47

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#275
First Shot-6.2#326
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#29
Layup/Dunks-3.1#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#241
Freethrows-1.9#304
Improvement+4.7#21

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#208
First Shot-2.6#251
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#66
Layups/Dunks+0.7#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#212
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement-1.3#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 1.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Home) - 62.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 69   @ Belmont L 73-92 9%     0 - 1 -9.2 -8.0 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2018 214   Charleston Southern W 76-73 54%     1 - 1 -3.0 -6.2 +3.0
  Nov 21, 2018 3   Virginia L 52-74 1%     1 - 2 +0.0 -5.9 +4.6
  Nov 22, 2018 46   Butler L 53-84 10%     1 - 3 -21.6 -13.0 -10.5
  Nov 23, 2018 92   Stanford L 54-67 17%     1 - 4 -7.6 -20.1 +13.5
  Dec 01, 2018 48   Lipscomb L 74-84 14%     1 - 5 -3.4 +5.7 -9.1
  Dec 05, 2018 119   @ Vanderbilt L 51-79 14%     1 - 6 -21.5 -14.8 -8.3
  Dec 08, 2018 71   Murray St. L 42-64 20%     1 - 7 -17.8 -27.8 +8.7
  Dec 15, 2018 67   @ Toledo L 62-84 9%     1 - 8 -12.1 -7.2 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2018 38   Mississippi L 56-74 8%     1 - 9 -7.0 -13.1 +6.3
  Dec 30, 2018 140   @ Rhode Island L 60-72 19%     1 - 10 -7.5 -4.9 -3.3
  Jan 03, 2019 223   Florida International L 76-83 56%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -13.4 -9.5 -2.9
  Jan 05, 2019 168   Florida Atlantic L 56-63 43%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -10.0 -16.7 +6.8
  Jan 10, 2019 127   @ Southern Miss L 70-77 16%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -1.1 +1.6 -2.8
  Jan 12, 2019 136   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-73 18%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -12.1 -7.3 -6.7
  Jan 17, 2019 134   Texas San Antonio W 89-86 34%     2 - 14 1 - 4 +2.4 +6.0 -3.9
  Jan 19, 2019 266   UTEP W 75-72 64%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -5.7 +1.7 -7.4
  Jan 24, 2019 254   @ Rice L 68-79 42%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -13.7 -6.7 -7.1
  Jan 26, 2019 138   @ North Texas L 53-70 18%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -12.3 -15.6 +3.3
  Jan 30, 2019 162   UAB W 71-65 42%     4 - 16 3 - 6 +3.1 -6.2 +9.1
  Feb 02, 2019 162   @ UAB W 79-78 24%     5 - 16 4 - 6 +3.6 +13.4 -9.7
  Feb 07, 2019 287   Charlotte W 71-53 69%     6 - 16 5 - 6 +8.1 +5.8 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2019 111   Old Dominion L 50-55 27%     6 - 17 5 - 7 -3.6 -10.9 +6.4
  Feb 14, 2019 122   @ Western Kentucky L 63-71 15%     6 - 18 5 - 8 -1.8 -1.3 -1.0
  Feb 16, 2019 202   @ Marshall L 93-98 31%     6 - 19 5 - 9 -4.7 +10.5 -14.7
Projected Record 6.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.4 99.7
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.2%
Lose Out 68.1%