Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-16.0#346
Achievement Rating-15.1#328
Pace71.0#153
Improvement-0.5#215

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#336
First Shot-6.7#326
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#254
Layup/Dunks-5.3#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#318
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement+0.2#153

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#347
First Shot-7.4#348
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#215
Layups/Dunks+0.6#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#350
Freethrows+2.4#58
Improvement-0.7#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 16.6% 24.4% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 19.1% 27.6%
First Four0.9% 1.4% 0.9%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 16   @ Nebraska L 37-106 1%     0 - 1 -51.8 -31.5 -14.5
  Nov 09, 2018 12   @ Texas Tech L 52-84 0.4%    0 - 2 -13.4 -3.4 -13.3
  Nov 13, 2018 50   @ Utah St. L 59-94 1%     0 - 3 -22.4 -8.4 -13.4
  Nov 15, 2018 134   @ Utah L 63-98 3%     0 - 4 -29.4 -11.9 -16.0
  Nov 17, 2018 280   @ Robert Morris L 59-68 13%     0 - 5 -12.8 -10.5 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2018 288   SE Louisiana W 69-59 28%     1 - 5 +0.0 -8.0 +7.6
  Nov 25, 2018 91   @ Illinois L 67-86 2%     1 - 6 -10.3 +0.9 -11.9
  Dec 01, 2018 236   @ California Baptist L 71-107 9%     1 - 7 -37.6 -13.2 -19.6
  Dec 04, 2018 272   Southeast Missouri St. L 57-77 26%     1 - 8 -29.2 -21.0 -7.9
  Dec 11, 2018 138   @ Louisiana Tech L 80-96 4%     1 - 9 -11.0 +8.3 -19.6
  Dec 13, 2018 273   @ Santa Clara L 64-77 11%    
  Dec 16, 2018 185   @ Hawaii L 61-79 5%    
  Dec 22, 2018 117   @ Grand Canyon L 60-83 2%    
  Jan 05, 2019 322   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 12, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 14, 2019 328   Alabama St. L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 19, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 21, 2019 333   @ Southern L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 26, 2019 289   Prairie View L 73-79 29%    
  Jan 28, 2019 220   Texas Southern L 74-84 19%    
  Feb 02, 2019 336   @ Jackson St. L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 04, 2019 287   @ Grambling St. L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 09, 2019 351   @ Alabama A&M L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 11, 2019 328   @ Alabama St. L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 16, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 18, 2019 333   Southern L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 23, 2019 289   @ Prairie View L 70-82 14%    
  Feb 25, 2019 220   @ Texas Southern L 71-87 8%    
  Mar 02, 2019 336   Jackson St. L 70-71 48%    
  Mar 04, 2019 287   Grambling St. L 71-77 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-72 41%    
Projected Record 7.2 - 23.8 6.0 - 12.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.1 2.0 0.1 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.7 6.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 6.0 7.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 18.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.9 6.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 20.1 9th
10th 0.4 1.8 4.2 5.6 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 17.3 10th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.8 8.9 12.8 14.9 15.3 13.7 10.7 7.6 4.6 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 78.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 53.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.2% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.1 1.1
11-7 2.5% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.1 2.4
10-8 4.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 4.5
9-9 7.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 7.4
8-10 10.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.6
7-11 13.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.5
6-12 15.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.2
5-13 14.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-14 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
3-15 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.9
2-16 4.8% 4.8
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%