Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-18.8#350
Achievement Rating-23.4#352
Pace71.1#119
Improvement-1.7#265

Offense
Total Offense-11.1#349
First Shot-10.1#347
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#245
Layup/Dunks-7.5#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#339
Freethrows-1.3#269
Improvement-1.8#270

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#343
First Shot-7.7#351
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks+0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#346
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement+0.1#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 94.6% 90.8% 98.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 36   @ Nebraska L 37-106 1%     0 - 1 -54.9 -31.1 -17.9
  Nov 09, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 52-84 0.2%    0 - 2 -12.3 -1.1 -14.5
  Nov 13, 2018 51   @ Utah St. L 59-94 1%     0 - 3 -23.1 -9.4 -13.1
  Nov 15, 2018 95   @ Utah L 63-98 2%     0 - 4 -27.2 -13.3 -12.4
  Nov 17, 2018 273   @ Robert Morris L 59-68 9%     0 - 5 -12.7 -9.8 -3.2
  Nov 20, 2018 258   SE Louisiana W 69-59 17%     1 - 5 +1.6 -8.5 +9.7
  Nov 25, 2018 58   @ Illinois L 67-86 1%     1 - 6 -8.3 +2.4 -11.5
  Dec 01, 2018 212   @ California Baptist L 71-107 6%     1 - 7 -36.6 -14.1 -17.7
  Dec 04, 2018 321   Southeast Missouri St. L 57-77 29%     1 - 8 -32.9 -22.3 -10.3
  Dec 11, 2018 141   @ Louisiana Tech L 80-96 3%     1 - 9 -11.4 +12.1 -23.7
  Dec 13, 2018 195   @ Santa Clara L 54-82 5%     1 - 10 -27.3 -13.3 -16.1
  Dec 16, 2018 172   @ Hawaii L 51-76 4%     1 - 11 -22.8 -20.4 -2.2
  Dec 22, 2018 104   @ Grand Canyon L 64-85 2%     1 - 12 -13.6 -3.8 -10.3
  Jan 05, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 52-64 18%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -21.1 -24.0 +2.8
  Jan 12, 2019 347   Alabama A&M W 72-63 47%     2 - 13 1 - 1 -9.0 -1.8 -6.7
  Jan 14, 2019 319   Alabama St. L 79-81 28%     2 - 14 1 - 2 -14.8 -4.4 -10.3
  Jan 19, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. L 57-63 31%     2 - 15 1 - 3 -19.6 -17.7 -2.2
  Jan 21, 2019 340   @ Southern L 56-80 22%     2 - 16 1 - 4 -34.8 -20.7 -14.9
  Jan 26, 2019 283   Prairie View L 78-89 19%     2 - 17 1 - 5 -20.5 -6.7 -12.8
  Jan 28, 2019 229   Texas Southern L 62-65 14%     2 - 18 1 - 6 -10.0 -18.2 +8.4
  Feb 02, 2019 331   @ Jackson St. L 57-61 18%     2 - 19 1 - 7 -12.9 -6.9 -6.6
  Feb 04, 2019 276   @ Grambling St. L 57-79 9%     2 - 20 1 - 8 -25.8 -16.9 -7.4
  Feb 09, 2019 347   @ Alabama A&M L 63-78 28%     2 - 21 1 - 9 -27.6 -14.3 -12.9
  Feb 11, 2019 319   @ Alabama St. L 59-82 14%     2 - 22 1 - 10 -30.3 -17.6 -12.4
  Feb 16, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 18, 2019 340   Southern L 69-72 42%    
  Feb 23, 2019 283   @ Prairie View L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 25, 2019 229   @ Texas Southern L 70-87 5%    
  Mar 02, 2019 331   Jackson St. L 62-66 35%    
  Mar 04, 2019 276   Grambling St. L 63-73 20%    
  Mar 09, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 4.0 - 27.0 3.0 - 15.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.6 7.1 4.0 0.2 11.9 9th
10th 9.8 27.1 31.6 13.4 1.0 0.0 82.9 10th
Total 9.8 27.1 32.1 20.9 8.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
6-12 1.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 20.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.9
3-15 32.1% 32.1
2-16 27.1% 27.1
1-17 9.8% 9.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.8%