Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#200
Achievement Rating-3.3#209
Pace75.2#75
Improvement-3.9#343

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#182
First Shot+1.5#133
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#277
Layup/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#157
Freethrows-0.8#217
Improvement-0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#236
First Shot-2.9#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#122
Layups/Dunks+5.9#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#351
Freethrows+1.7#85
Improvement-3.8#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.1% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.2
.500 or above 17.3% 23.2% 9.6%
.500 or above in Conference 26.2% 29.8% 21.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.7% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 29.6% 26.2% 34.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round2.6% 3.0% 2.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 309   Oral Roberts W 84-50 81%     1 - 0 +22.5 -1.6 +21.3
  Nov 09, 2018 286   Robert Morris W 74-60 77%     2 - 0 +3.9 -6.9 +9.6
  Nov 11, 2018 338   Stetson W 83-70 89%     3 - 0 -2.9 -7.0 +2.7
  Nov 19, 2018 16   Nebraska L 62-85 7%     3 - 1 -9.0 -5.4 -3.4
  Nov 20, 2018 96   USC L 80-99 23%     3 - 2 -13.5 +6.3 -19.0
  Nov 24, 2018 66   @ Murray St. L 66-77 12%     3 - 3 -0.5 -1.5 +1.4
  Nov 28, 2018 243   @ Air Force L 69-88 49%     3 - 4 -21.0 -1.7 -20.0
  Dec 01, 2018 69   @ Oregon St. L 77-101 13%     3 - 5 -13.9 +8.6 -22.3
  Dec 05, 2018 90   Western Kentucky W 84-78 31%     4 - 5 +8.9 +11.9 -3.0
  Dec 15, 2018 204   @ North Dakota St. L 67-74 39%     4 - 6 -6.4 -9.6 +3.4
  Dec 18, 2018 285   @ Arkansas St. W 79-77 57%    
  Dec 22, 2018 324   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-68 86%    
  Jan 02, 2019 122   @ Southern Illinois L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 05, 2019 157   Valparaiso W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 08, 2019 139   @ Indiana St. L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 12, 2019 144   @ Bradley L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 16, 2019 176   Evansville W 80-78 56%    
  Jan 20, 2019 151   @ Drake L 76-82 29%    
  Jan 23, 2019 99   Loyola Chicago L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 26, 2019 144   Bradley L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 29, 2019 157   @ Valparaiso L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 02, 2019 178   @ Northern Iowa L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 06, 2019 122   Southern Illinois L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 10, 2019 152   Illinois St. W 78-77 50%    
  Feb 13, 2019 176   @ Evansville L 77-81 34%    
  Feb 17, 2019 99   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-75 16%    
  Feb 20, 2019 178   Northern Iowa W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 23, 2019 139   Indiana St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 27, 2019 152   @ Illinois St. L 74-80 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 151   Drake L 79-80 50%    
Projected Record 12.2 - 17.8 6.8 - 11.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 4.3 1.3 0.1 8.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.0 2.2 0.1 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 6.3 3.9 0.3 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.2 4.9 0.6 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 6.4 4.8 1.0 0.0 16.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.1 5.6 5.6 3.3 0.9 0.0 19.9 10th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.2 6.5 9.3 12.6 14.1 14.7 12.1 9.9 7.0 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.2% 0.2    0.2
14-4 86.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 55.5% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 24.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
11-7 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 15.7% 15.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.2% 10.9% 10.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.6% 12.8% 12.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.3
11-7 4.7% 9.6% 9.6% 14.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.2
10-8 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.5
9-9 9.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 9.5
8-10 12.1% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.1 0.2 11.8
7-11 14.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.5
6-12 14.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.9
5-13 12.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.3
3-15 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 97.3 0.0%