Montana St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#294
Achievement Rating-4.6#227
Pace72.3#120
Improvement+3.1#20

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#199
First Shot+0.7#172
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#261
Layup/Dunks-3.3#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#74
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement+2.3#31

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#335
First Shot-8.1#347
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#77
Layups/Dunks-2.7#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#345
Freethrows+1.9#77
Improvement+0.8#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.7% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 8.9% 15.9% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 27.4% 34.4% 23.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 18.9% 14.2% 21.3%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.9%
First Round1.4% 2.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 33.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 44   Utah St. L 71-101 10%     0 - 1 -23.1 -4.5 -15.9
  Nov 09, 2018 22   @ Indiana L 35-80 3%     0 - 2 -28.9 -29.9 +1.8
  Nov 14, 2018 211   @ Colorado St. L 77-81 24%     0 - 3 -4.0 +0.4 -4.3
  Nov 17, 2018 149   @ UC Santa Barbara L 69-88 15%     0 - 4 -15.1 +5.2 -22.3
  Nov 21, 2018 55   @ Arkansas L 68-90 5%     0 - 5 -9.9 -5.3 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2018 225   @ Nebraska Omaha L 65-89 26%     0 - 6 -24.7 -8.9 -16.1
  Nov 27, 2018 289   North Dakota W 81-76 61%     1 - 6 -5.2 +2.0 -7.4
  Dec 09, 2018 177   @ Washington St. W 95-90 19%     2 - 6 +6.8 +7.8 -1.6
  Dec 18, 2018 264   @ Denver L 74-78 33%    
  Dec 29, 2018 235   @ Southern Utah L 76-82 30%    
  Dec 31, 2018 321   @ Northern Arizona L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 03, 2019 276   Portland St. W 83-81 57%    
  Jan 05, 2019 231   Sacramento St. L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 10, 2019 300   @ Idaho L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 14, 2019 147   Northern Colorado L 78-83 32%    
  Jan 19, 2019 253   @ Eastern Washington L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 24, 2019 168   Weber St. L 78-82 36%    
  Jan 26, 2019 248   Idaho St. W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 02, 2019 110   Montana L 71-80 22%    
  Feb 04, 2019 147   @ Northern Colorado L 75-86 16%    
  Feb 07, 2019 253   Eastern Washington W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 09, 2019 300   Idaho W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 14, 2019 248   @ Idaho St. L 77-82 32%    
  Feb 16, 2019 168   @ Weber St. L 75-85 19%    
  Feb 23, 2019 110   @ Montana L 68-83 10%    
  Mar 02, 2019 321   Northern Arizona W 83-78 69%    
  Mar 04, 2019 235   Southern Utah W 79-78 50%    
  Mar 07, 2019 231   @ Sacramento St. L 73-79 29%    
  Mar 09, 2019 276   @ Portland St. L 80-84 37%    
Projected Record 10.1 - 18.9 7.7 - 12.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.6 2.2 0.5 0.1 7.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.3 4.5 1.0 0.1 13.6 8th
9th 0.5 2.3 5.2 4.3 1.1 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 13.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 12.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.2 7.0 9.7 12.0 12.7 12.5 11.8 9.8 6.9 4.9 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 63.6% 0.1    0.1
16-4 71.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 23.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 19.4% 19.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 0.8% 15.5% 15.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.7% 10.6% 10.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
13-7 2.8% 8.8% 8.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 2.6
12-8 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.7
11-9 6.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.6
10-10 9.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.6
9-11 11.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.6
8-12 12.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.3
7-13 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
6-14 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.9
5-15 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
4-16 7.0% 7.0
3-17 4.2% 4.2
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 98.2 0.0%