Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#286
Achievement Rating-9.5#284
Pace69.6#187
Improvement-2.9#333

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#209
First Shot-1.1#215
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#171
Layup/Dunks-6.2#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#110
Freethrows-1.6#259
Improvement-1.4#296

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#320
First Shot-4.9#315
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#240
Layups/Dunks-1.1#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#290
Freethrows+1.7#94
Improvement-1.5#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 5.4% 15.5% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 44.5% 29.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 6.0% 11.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 1.6% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 11.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 77   @ Connecticut L 70-80 7%     0 - 1 -0.5 +3.1 -3.9
  Nov 10, 2018 31   @ Syracuse L 70-84 3%     0 - 2 +1.2 -0.5 +3.1
  Nov 16, 2018 267   UMKC W 99-89 46%     1 - 2 +4.0 +15.0 -11.9
  Nov 17, 2018 204   Green Bay L 70-87 34%     1 - 3 -19.6 -5.5 -13.8
  Nov 25, 2018 74   Lipscomb L 55-87 16%     1 - 4 -28.5 -17.5 -9.6
  Nov 27, 2018 123   Northern Kentucky L 71-93 25%     1 - 5 -21.8 -4.5 -16.5
  Dec 10, 2018 129   @ Marshall L 75-88 11%    
  Dec 13, 2018 196   @ Samford L 72-80 23%    
  Dec 18, 2018 144   @ Wright St. L 69-80 14%    
  Dec 21, 2018 179   IUPUI L 73-76 41%    
  Dec 29, 2018 81   @ Missouri L 62-78 7%    
  Jan 03, 2019 102   @ Murray St. L 63-78 8%    
  Jan 05, 2019 193   @ Austin Peay L 72-80 23%    
  Jan 10, 2019 90   @ Belmont L 75-91 8%    
  Jan 12, 2019 280   @ Tennessee St. L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 17, 2019 273   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 19, 2019 295   Tennessee Martin W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 24, 2019 334   Tennessee Tech W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 26, 2019 145   Jacksonville St. L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 31, 2019 327   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 02, 2019 318   @ Eastern Illinois L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 07, 2019 280   Tennessee St. W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 09, 2019 90   Belmont L 78-88 20%    
  Feb 14, 2019 275   Eastern Kentucky W 86-84 58%    
  Feb 16, 2019 193   Austin Peay L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 21, 2019 145   @ Jacksonville St. L 69-80 16%    
  Feb 23, 2019 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 28, 2019 102   Murray St. L 66-75 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 275   @ Eastern Kentucky L 83-87 37%    
Projected Record 9.2 - 19.8 7.2 - 10.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.2 4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.0 4.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.3 5.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.5 5.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.7 7.9 11.3 13.5 14.6 13.5 11.4 8.5 5.7 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 53.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 29.2% 29.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 15.6% 15.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 11.3% 11.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 8.1% 8.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.1
11-7 5.7% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.5
10-8 8.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.4
9-9 11.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.3
8-10 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.5
7-11 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 11.3% 11.3
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 4.7% 4.7
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%