Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#334
Achievement Rating-15.1#335
Pace77.4#26
Improvement-5.6#340

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#339
First Shot-9.3#345
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#96
Layup/Dunks-5.1#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#348
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement-2.8#293

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#282
First Shot-3.2#272
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#258
Layups/Dunks-3.9#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#273
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement-2.8#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.8% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 22.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.4% 3.3%
First Four2.9% 3.8% 2.4%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 19   @ Villanova L 77-100 1%     0 - 1 -5.2 +4.4 -8.0
  Nov 09, 2018 240   @ St. Francis (PA) L 60-80 16%     0 - 2 -21.9 -17.8 -3.8
  Nov 12, 2018 98   @ DePaul L 63-91 4%     0 - 3 -20.2 -8.5 -11.2
  Nov 20, 2018 301   Navy W 75-51 44%     1 - 3 +13.3 +0.5 +13.4
  Nov 25, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 78-68 57%     2 - 3 -4.0 -10.0 +4.8
  Nov 28, 2018 139   @ George Mason L 75-82 7%     2 - 4 -2.4 +1.5 -3.5
  Dec 03, 2018 3   @ Virginia L 45-83 0.3%    2 - 5 -13.3 -14.4 +1.0
  Dec 05, 2018 336   Binghamton W 74-68 61%     3 - 5 -9.2 -3.1 -6.0
  Dec 08, 2018 253   Towson W 74-69 25%     4 - 5 -0.4 -3.7 +3.2
  Dec 22, 2018 111   @ Old Dominion L 53-76 5%     4 - 6 -16.1 -15.1 -0.6
  Dec 29, 2018 276   @ Cal St. Northridge L 86-94 21%     4 - 7 -11.8 -5.3 -5.3
  Jan 05, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-53 85%     5 - 7 1 - 0 -10.5 -13.2 +3.5
  Jan 07, 2019 348   Savannah St. L 87-88 71%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -19.1 -9.9 -9.0
  Jan 12, 2019 343   South Carolina St. L 68-72 69%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -21.5 -18.2 -3.2
  Jan 15, 2019 321   @ Howard W 89-86 32%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -4.4 -10.4 +5.2
  Jan 19, 2019 323   @ N.C. A&T L 53-57 33%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -11.8 -15.4 +3.1
  Jan 21, 2019 309   @ NC Central L 64-92 27%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -34.0 -15.8 -15.8
  Jan 26, 2019 303   Bethune-Cookman W 77-71 45%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -5.0 -11.2 +5.3
  Jan 28, 2019 325   Florida A&M L 66-72 55%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -19.5 -9.9 -9.6
  Feb 02, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. L 71-73 50%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -14.3 -10.1 -4.1
  Feb 09, 2019 343   @ South Carolina St. L 81-85 49%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -16.0 -3.3 -12.5
  Feb 11, 2019 348   @ Savannah St. L 85-88 51%     7 - 15 3 - 8 -15.6 -4.5 -10.8
  Feb 23, 2019 261   Norfolk St. L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 25, 2019 321   Howard W 80-79 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 76-70 72%    
  Mar 04, 2019 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-63 69%    
  Mar 07, 2019 345   Coppin St. W 75-69 70%    
Projected Record 10.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 10.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.9 1.9 5th
6th 0.6 4.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.1 9.0 2.1 11.2 7th
8th 0.2 7.7 14.1 0.1 22.0 8th
9th 6.6 19.7 2.7 28.9 9th
10th 4.6 14.7 6.5 0.1 25.8 10th
11th 0.9 3.3 0.9 5.1 11th
12th 0.3 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 1.2 7.9 22.3 33.9 26.5 8.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 8.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.5 7.7
7-9 26.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 1.0 25.5
6-10 33.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.9 33.0
5-11 22.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 21.9
4-12 7.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.8
3-13 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 16.0 2.9 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 0.8%