N.C. A&T
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#324
Achievement Rating-6.1#254
Pace66.1#258
Improvement-4.0#322

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#312
First Shot-5.2#308
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#215
Layup/Dunks+2.7#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#299
Freethrows-2.6#324
Improvement-6.0#344

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#301
First Shot-1.6#226
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#352
Layups/Dunks-2.2#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#148
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+2.0#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 13.7% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 64.0% 84.2% 53.5%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 15.3% 26.0% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.3% 13.1% 10.4%
First Round4.2% 5.4% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Away) - 34.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 115   UNC Greensboro L 66-74 14%     0 - 1 -6.8 +2.5 -10.2
  Nov 10, 2018 177   @ Wake Forest L 78-90 12%     0 - 2 -10.0 +8.9 -19.3
  Nov 12, 2018 20   @ Maryland L 59-82 1%     0 - 3 -5.8 -4.7 -1.3
  Nov 14, 2018 74   @ Hofstra L 72-92 4%     0 - 4 -10.7 -2.9 -7.4
  Nov 19, 2018 202   @ Marshall L 71-95 16%     0 - 5 -23.7 -9.7 -11.9
  Nov 21, 2018 328   @ Mount St. Mary's W 74-60 42%     1 - 5 +5.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 29, 2018 300   Central Connecticut St. W 72-60 51%     2 - 5 +1.2 -6.2 +7.5
  Dec 01, 2018 217   Presbyterian L 70-75 33%     2 - 6 -11.1 -3.7 -7.9
  Dec 15, 2018 308   @ Tennessee St. W 78-76 33%     3 - 6 -4.0 +4.5 -8.5
  Dec 19, 2018 15   @ Virginia Tech L 60-82 1%     3 - 7 -3.7 -2.0 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2018 43   @ Minnesota L 67-86 3%     3 - 8 -6.6 -4.5 -0.9
  Dec 28, 2018 266   @ East Carolina L 57-77 25%     3 - 9 -23.3 -12.0 -12.5
  Jan 05, 2019 342   @ South Carolina St. W 80-77 53%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -8.3 -8.3 -0.3
  Jan 12, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 93-70 78%     5 - 9 2 - 0 +4.3 +14.2 -9.4
  Jan 14, 2019 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-58 76%     6 - 9 3 - 0 -8.9 -6.8 -1.3
  Jan 19, 2019 334   Morgan St. W 57-53 67%     7 - 9 4 - 0 -11.0 -13.0 +2.6
  Jan 21, 2019 345   Coppin St. W 80-71 76%     8 - 9 5 - 0 -8.8 -1.7 -7.4
  Jan 26, 2019 314   @ NC Central W 51-48 35%     9 - 9 6 - 0 -3.6 -16.8 +13.6
  Feb 02, 2019 325   @ Florida A&M L 39-63 40%     9 - 10 6 - 1 -32.0 -27.4 -8.6
  Feb 04, 2019 306   @ Bethune-Cookman L 53-69 32%     9 - 11 6 - 2 -21.8 -16.1 -6.9
  Feb 09, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 82-52 89%     10 - 11 7 - 2 +5.9 -4.1 +9.1
  Feb 11, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-61 88%     11 - 11 8 - 2 -16.3 -4.5 -10.7
  Feb 16, 2019 313   @ Howard L 72-76 34%    
  Feb 18, 2019 265   @ Norfolk St. L 66-73 24%    
  Feb 23, 2019 342   South Carolina St. W 73-67 74%    
  Feb 25, 2019 348   Savannah St. W 84-76 78%    
  Mar 02, 2019 325   Florida A&M W 64-61 61%    
  Mar 07, 2019 314   NC Central W 66-65 57%    
Projected Record 14.3 - 13.7 11.3 - 4.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 4.9 7.5 2.3 15.3 1st
2nd 0.0 6.0 27.2 23.5 5.6 62.3 2nd
3rd 0.5 8.8 3.1 12.5 3rd
4th 2.4 3.5 0.1 5.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 0.2 2.7 5th
6th 0.5 0.6 1.1 6th
7th 0.3 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.9 5.9 18.5 30.9 28.4 13.1 2.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 2.3    1.7 0.6
13-3 57.1% 7.5    3.3 4.2
12-4 17.2% 4.9    1.0 3.4 0.5 0.0
11-5 1.9% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.3% 15.3 6.0 8.3 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 2.3% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.9
13-3 13.1% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 2.2 10.9
12-4 28.4% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 3.8 24.6
11-5 30.9% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 3.4 27.6
10-6 18.5% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.5 17.0
9-7 5.9% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.3 5.6
8-8 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.5 88.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 16.0 2.9 97.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 0.3%