NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#322
Achievement Rating-12.0#305
Pace62.9#332
Improvement-1.5#289

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#310
First Shot-5.6#312
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#148
Layup/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#302
Freethrows-0.6#209
Improvement-1.8#305

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#303
First Shot-4.1#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#223
Layups/Dunks-3.7#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#172
Freethrows-0.6#216
Improvement+0.3#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 12.4% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 30.9% 53.8% 27.4%
.500 or above in Conference 80.7% 86.4% 79.8%
Conference Champion 13.2% 19.6% 12.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 1.3%
First Four9.3% 12.1% 8.9%
First Round3.8% 6.3% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 52   @ Clemson L 51-71 3%     0 - 1 -7.5 -14.0 +5.6
  Nov 13, 2018 29   @ Cincinnati L 51-73 2%     0 - 2 -6.5 -3.7 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2018 207   @ Bowling Green L 60-75 16%     0 - 3 -14.6 -6.2 -9.9
  Nov 20, 2018 170   @ George Mason L 63-78 12%     0 - 4 -12.5 -5.8 -7.3
  Nov 23, 2018 262   Nicholls St. L 63-77 33%     0 - 5 -19.6 -8.1 -12.1
  Nov 24, 2018 332   Southern W 83-71 68%     1 - 5 -3.0 +8.1 -10.0
  Dec 01, 2018 308   McNeese St. W 67-66 55%     2 - 5 -10.4 -9.6 -0.8
  Dec 08, 2018 191   @ Appalachian St. L 73-82 15%     2 - 6 -7.9 -5.4 -2.0
  Dec 13, 2018 308   @ McNeese St. L 61-77 33%     2 - 7 -21.4 -14.6 -7.1
  Dec 16, 2018 185   @ Coastal Carolina L 63-75 13%    
  Dec 19, 2018 82   @ Saint Louis L 53-73 3%    
  Jan 05, 2019 315   Bethune-Cookman W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 12, 2019 348   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-61 63%    
  Jan 14, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 73-65 77%    
  Jan 19, 2019 350   Coppin St. W 71-61 82%    
  Jan 21, 2019 314   Morgan St. W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 26, 2019 318   N.C. A&T W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 28, 2019 352   @ Savannah St. W 84-79 69%    
  Feb 02, 2019 315   @ Bethune-Cookman L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 04, 2019 336   @ Florida A&M L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 09, 2019 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-58 81%    
  Feb 11, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 75-64 83%    
  Feb 16, 2019 274   @ Norfolk St. L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 18, 2019 293   @ Howard L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 352   Savannah St. W 87-76 84%    
  Feb 25, 2019 343   South Carolina St. W 72-66 71%    
  Mar 07, 2019 318   @ N.C. A&T L 67-70 38%    
Projected Record 11.8 - 15.2 9.6 - 6.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.5 3.0 1.1 0.2 13.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.9 6.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.2 6.7 2.0 0.1 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.6 6.7 2.1 0.1 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 6.3 2.6 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.1 0.2 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.3 2.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.0 5.6 9.0 12.2 15.0 15.7 14.8 11.7 6.7 3.2 1.1 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 99.1% 1.1    1.0 0.1
14-2 93.4% 3.0    2.2 0.8 0.0
13-3 66.3% 4.5    2.3 1.8 0.3
12-4 29.1% 3.4    0.8 1.5 0.9 0.2
11-5 6.7% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.2% 13.2 6.6 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.1 0.2
15-1 1.1% 33.0% 33.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
14-2 3.2% 26.9% 26.9% 16.0 0.9 2.3
13-3 6.7% 21.7% 21.7% 16.0 1.5 5.3
12-4 11.7% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 2.0 9.7
11-5 14.8% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.8 13.0
10-6 15.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.3 14.4
9-7 15.0% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.9 14.2
8-8 12.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 11.8
7-9 9.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 8.8
6-10 5.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-11 3.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-12 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-13 0.5% 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.5 90.5 0.0%