NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#309
Achievement Rating-11.2#316
Pace65.7#269
Improvement+1.6#105

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#309
First Shot-5.8#319
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#169
Layup/Dunks+1.9#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#328
Freethrows-1.4#276
Improvement+0.4#167

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#252
First Shot-1.8#227
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#290
Layups/Dunks-2.8#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#91
Freethrows-0.4#210
Improvement+1.2#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 17.8% 12.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 21.2% 24.7% 5.5%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.8% 17.8% 12.6%
First Round7.1% 7.5% 5.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Savannah St. (Home) - 81.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 30   @ Clemson L 51-71 2%     0 - 1 -4.9 -9.6 +3.9
  Nov 13, 2018 31   @ Cincinnati L 51-73 2%     0 - 2 -6.9 -5.6 -4.9
  Nov 15, 2018 100   @ Bowling Green L 60-75 7%     0 - 3 -7.3 -2.7 -6.1
  Nov 20, 2018 139   @ George Mason L 63-78 11%     0 - 4 -10.4 -4.5 -6.5
  Nov 23, 2018 322   Nicholls St. L 63-77 57%     0 - 5 -24.5 -12.8 -12.2
  Nov 24, 2018 342   Southern W 83-71 79%     1 - 5 -5.2 +10.0 -14.1
  Dec 01, 2018 324   McNeese St. W 67-66 67%     2 - 5 -12.4 -12.2 -0.2
  Dec 08, 2018 191   @ Appalachian St. L 73-82 18%     2 - 6 -8.1 -5.7 -1.9
  Dec 13, 2018 324   @ McNeese St. L 61-77 47%     2 - 7 -23.9 -17.4 -6.7
  Dec 16, 2018 163   @ Coastal Carolina L 65-69 15%     2 - 8 -1.4 -4.1 +2.6
  Dec 19, 2018 121   @ Saint Louis L 65-74 9%     2 - 9 -2.8 -1.9 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 303   Bethune-Cookman W 68-59 59%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -2.0 -12.1 +9.6
  Jan 12, 2019 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 61-48 81%     4 - 9 2 - 0 -4.9 -6.9 +4.6
  Jan 14, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 71-70 82%     5 - 9 3 - 0 -17.6 -4.3 -13.2
  Jan 19, 2019 345   Coppin St. L 60-64 81%     5 - 10 3 - 1 -21.8 -18.5 -3.3
  Jan 21, 2019 334   Morgan St. W 92-64 73%     6 - 10 4 - 1 +12.9 +6.1 +4.4
  Jan 26, 2019 323   N.C. A&T L 48-51 67%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -16.3 -24.7 +8.0
  Jan 28, 2019 348   @ Savannah St. W 82-78 65%     7 - 11 5 - 2 -8.6 -3.5 -5.4
  Feb 02, 2019 303   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-74 37%     7 - 12 5 - 3 -15.4 -12.8 -2.0
  Feb 04, 2019 325   @ Florida A&M L 57-73 47%     7 - 13 5 - 4 -24.0 -12.2 -12.8
  Feb 09, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-53 91%     8 - 13 6 - 4 +1.5 +15.4 -7.4
  Feb 11, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 87-52 92%     9 - 13 7 - 4 +10.9 +2.8 +7.7
  Feb 16, 2019 261   @ Norfolk St. L 71-75 29%     9 - 14 7 - 5 -7.0 -11.9 +5.5
  Feb 18, 2019 321   @ Howard W 98-90 45%     10 - 14 8 - 5 +0.6 +13.3 -13.2
  Feb 23, 2019 348   Savannah St. W 83-74 82%    
  Feb 25, 2019 343   South Carolina St. W 74-65 80%    
  Mar 07, 2019 323   @ N.C. A&T L 66-67 46%    
Projected Record 12.1 - 14.9 10.1 - 5.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 2.9 20.1 23.0 2nd
3rd 4.8 42.2 10.9 57.9 3rd
4th 0.1 10.3 3.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.8 3.3 4.1 5th
6th 1.1 0.1 1.2 6th
7th 0.3 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 2.3 18.5 48.2 31.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 31.0% 21.1% 21.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5 24.4
10-6 48.2% 16.6% 16.6% 16.0 8.0 40.2
9-7 18.5% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 2.2 16.3
8-8 2.3% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.2 2.2
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 16.9% 16.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.9 83.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.5% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.2%
Lose Out 0.7%