Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#171
Achievement Rating+4.1#115
Pace72.0#101
Improvement+3.9#37

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#50
First Shot+5.2#42
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#201
Layup/Dunks-1.6#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#46
Freethrows-1.3#270
Improvement+4.0#29

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#309
First Shot-5.1#318
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks-0.9#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#337
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.1#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 15.0% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 28.2% 33.0% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round14.5% 15.0% 11.9%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 81.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 43   @ Minnesota L 76-104 12%     0 - 1 -15.5 +1.6 -14.4
  Nov 14, 2018 307   Northern Arizona L 66-76 84%     0 - 2 -21.2 -18.5 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2018 66   @ Colorado L 75-79 17%     0 - 3 +5.9 +7.8 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2018 303   @ Bethune-Cookman W 76-56 69%     1 - 3 +14.6 +0.1 +13.7
  Nov 24, 2018 227   Montana St. W 89-65 73%     2 - 3 +17.3 +10.8 +6.8
  Nov 26, 2018 12   @ Iowa St. L 55-82 5%     2 - 4 -8.0 -13.9 +7.6
  Nov 28, 2018 54   @ Arizona St. L 71-89 13%     2 - 5 -6.5 -0.1 -5.4
  Dec 06, 2018 193   @ Seattle L 71-90 45%     2 - 6 -18.2 -3.2 -14.0
  Dec 08, 2018 55   @ Oregon L 61-84 14%     2 - 7 -11.8 +6.7 -22.4
  Dec 15, 2018 344   @ Idaho W 89-80 86%     3 - 7 -3.1 -1.3 -2.8
  Dec 19, 2018 172   UC Santa Barbara W 85-74 61%     4 - 7 +7.7 +16.7 -8.0
  Dec 21, 2018 254   @ Rice W 83-66 59%     5 - 7 +14.3 +9.2 +5.3
  Dec 28, 2018 297   Denver W 91-84 83%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -3.5 +6.3 -10.1
  Dec 30, 2018 280   Oral Roberts L 84-87 80%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -12.5 -3.4 -8.8
  Jan 02, 2019 194   North Dakota St. W 90-77 66%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +8.2 +16.2 -7.4
  Jan 10, 2019 273   @ North Dakota W 92-91 62%     8 - 8 3 - 1 -2.7 +15.3 -18.0
  Jan 17, 2019 285   @ Western Illinois W 80-71 64%     9 - 8 4 - 1 +4.8 +10.7 -5.4
  Jan 20, 2019 231   South Dakota W 75-68 74%     10 - 8 5 - 1 -0.2 +6.8 -6.3
  Jan 24, 2019 181   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-79 43%     11 - 8 6 - 1 +7.5 -0.6 +7.4
  Jan 26, 2019 77   @ South Dakota St. L 73-83 18%     11 - 9 6 - 2 -0.9 -0.8 +0.3
  Feb 03, 2019 273   North Dakota W 90-72 80%     12 - 9 7 - 2 +8.8 +13.2 -4.6
  Feb 07, 2019 231   South Dakota W 107-102 65%     13 - 9 8 - 2 +0.6 +17.0 -17.1
  Feb 14, 2019 77   South Dakota St. W 85-84 35%     14 - 9 9 - 2 +4.6 +8.2 -3.6
  Feb 16, 2019 181   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-71 64%     15 - 9 10 - 2 -1.0 -3.3 +2.3
  Feb 20, 2019 285   Western Illinois W 82-73 82%    
  Feb 23, 2019 194   @ North Dakota St. L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 28, 2019 280   @ Oral Roberts W 81-77 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 297   @ Denver W 82-77 66%    
Projected Record 17.5 - 10.5 12.5 - 3.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 10.7 16.4 28.2 1st
2nd 0.5 11.4 30.8 26.9 69.6 2nd
3rd 1.2 1.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.7 12.4 31.9 37.6 16.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 16.4    4.6 11.8
13-3 28.5% 10.7    1.3 9.5
12-4 3.3% 1.0    0.0 0.6 0.4
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total 28.2% 28.2 5.9 21.9 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 16.4% 19.9% 19.9% 13.7 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.2 13.1
13-3 37.6% 15.4% 15.4% 14.5 0.0 0.2 2.6 2.8 0.1 31.8
12-4 31.9% 12.4% 12.4% 14.8 0.0 0.9 2.7 0.3 27.9
11-5 12.4% 10.7% 10.7% 15.1 0.1 1.0 0.2 11.1
10-6 1.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 14.5 0.1 1.4 5.5 6.8 0.7 85.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 13.7 1.9 35.7 55.8 6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 0.6%