New Mexico
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#146
Achievement Rating+4.1#129
Pace82.3#12
Improvement-1.8#304

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#71
First Shot+4.0#66
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#149
Layup/Dunks-3.6#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#26
Freethrows+5.2#8
Improvement-2.1#324

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#269
First Shot-1.5#219
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#282
Layups/Dunks-1.0#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#232
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement+0.2#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.0 11.5 12.6
.500 or above 47.3% 64.2% 38.6%
.500 or above in Conference 42.2% 49.7% 38.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.8% 3.6%
First Four0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 2.1% 0.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Home) - 33.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 326   @ Cal St. Northridge W 87-84 80%     1 - 0 -5.0 -1.8 -3.5
  Nov 13, 2018 198   Iona W 90-83 73%     2 - 0 +1.8 +0.4 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2018 63   New Mexico St. L 94-98 36%     2 - 1 +0.7 +17.9 -16.9
  Nov 24, 2018 214   UTEP W 84-78 75%     3 - 1 +0.0 +10.9 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2018 128   @ Bradley W 85-75 32%     4 - 1 +15.8 +10.0 +5.1
  Dec 04, 2018 63   @ New Mexico St. L 65-100 18%     4 - 2 -24.3 -10.6 -8.3
  Dec 07, 2018 52   St. Mary's L 60-85 22%     4 - 3 -15.6 -12.2 -2.9
  Dec 11, 2018 59   Colorado L 83-87 34%    
  Dec 16, 2018 278   Central Arkansas W 94-83 84%    
  Dec 18, 2018 121   North Texas W 80-79 53%    
  Dec 22, 2018 101   Penn L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 02, 2019 230   @ Air Force W 80-78 59%    
  Jan 05, 2019 6   Nevada L 81-95 10%    
  Jan 08, 2019 136   UNLV W 84-82 57%    
  Jan 12, 2019 213   @ Colorado St. W 86-85 54%    
  Jan 15, 2019 70   @ San Diego St. L 79-88 21%    
  Jan 19, 2019 210   Wyoming W 89-82 74%    
  Jan 22, 2019 136   @ UNLV L 81-85 35%    
  Jan 26, 2019 51   Utah St. L 83-88 31%    
  Feb 02, 2019 61   @ Fresno St. L 77-87 19%    
  Feb 05, 2019 70   San Diego St. L 82-85 40%    
  Feb 09, 2019 6   @ Nevada L 78-98 4%    
  Feb 13, 2019 323   San Jose St. W 86-71 91%    
  Feb 16, 2019 61   Fresno St. L 80-84 36%    
  Feb 20, 2019 51   @ Utah St. L 80-91 15%    
  Feb 27, 2019 323   @ San Jose St. W 83-74 78%    
  Mar 02, 2019 213   Colorado St. W 89-82 74%    
  Mar 06, 2019 127   Boise St. W 82-81 54%    
  Mar 09, 2019 210   @ Wyoming W 86-85 53%    
Projected Record 14.2 - 14.8 8.0 - 10.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.2 5.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 6.7 6.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 17.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 7.5 6.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 18.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.1 4.6 1.0 0.1 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.5 8.2 11.8 14.7 15.6 14.4 11.6 7.9 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 42.9% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 13.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 64.8% 11.4% 53.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.3%
15-3 0.3% 37.0% 10.4% 26.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 29.7%
14-4 0.9% 20.8% 7.1% 13.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 14.8%
13-5 2.4% 11.3% 4.9% 6.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 6.7%
12-6 4.7% 5.1% 3.1% 2.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.4 2.1%
11-7 7.9% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.5%
10-8 11.6% 1.4% 1.4% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.1%
9-9 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
8-10 15.6% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6
7-11 14.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7
6-12 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8
5-13 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.5
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.6 0.6%