New Mexico
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Achievement Rating-1.4#184
Pace79.5#19
Improvement+1.8#96

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#162
First Shot+0.4#168
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-3.2#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#85
Freethrows+2.2#43
Improvement-1.7#264

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#174
First Shot+1.7#116
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#313
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#40
Freethrows+1.8#61
Improvement+3.6#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.8 14.8
.500 or above 7.6% 32.6% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.9% 65.9% 20.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Away) - 13.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 276   @ Cal St. Northridge W 87-84 66%     1 - 0 -0.8 -1.9 +0.8
  Nov 13, 2018 222   Iona W 90-83 74%     2 - 0 +0.7 -0.8 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2018 62   New Mexico St. L 94-98 34%     2 - 1 +0.7 +16.1 -15.0
  Nov 24, 2018 266   UTEP W 84-78 81%     3 - 1 -2.7 +12.6 -15.2
  Dec 01, 2018 156   @ Bradley W 85-75 40%     4 - 1 +13.2 +9.6 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2018 62   @ New Mexico St. L 65-100 18%     4 - 2 -24.8 -12.7 -6.7
  Dec 07, 2018 53   St. Mary's L 60-85 21%     4 - 3 -15.9 -13.0 -2.4
  Dec 11, 2018 66   Colorado L 75-78 35%     4 - 4 +1.4 -1.4 +3.1
  Dec 16, 2018 302   Central Arkansas W 82-70 85%     5 - 4 +1.2 -1.9 +2.3
  Dec 18, 2018 138   North Texas L 65-74 55%     5 - 5 -9.8 -5.9 -4.0
  Dec 22, 2018 132   Penn L 65-75 53%     5 - 6 -10.2 -11.3 +1.7
  Jan 02, 2019 239   @ Air Force W 65-58 59%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +5.2 -7.2 +12.4
  Jan 05, 2019 13   Nevada W 85-58 12%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +40.3 +15.4 +24.1
  Jan 08, 2019 151   UNLV L 69-80 60%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -13.1 -3.3 -10.4
  Jan 12, 2019 178   @ Colorado St. L 76-91 46%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -13.4 -2.9 -9.6
  Jan 15, 2019 115   @ San Diego St. L 77-97 28%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -13.3 +3.2 -15.4
  Jan 19, 2019 298   Wyoming W 83-53 85%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +19.4 -1.8 +18.2
  Jan 22, 2019 151   @ UNLV L 58-74 39%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -12.5 -13.4 +0.2
  Jan 26, 2019 49   Utah St. L 66-68 28%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +4.6 +0.3 +4.1
  Feb 02, 2019 59   @ Fresno St. L 70-82 17%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -1.3 -5.2 +5.3
  Feb 05, 2019 115   San Diego St. W 83-70 47%     9 - 12 4 - 6 +14.2 +7.3 +6.4
  Feb 09, 2019 13   @ Nevada L 62-91 5%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -10.1 -13.0 +7.9
  Feb 13, 2019 338   San Jose St. W 92-60 93%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +16.1 +7.2 +6.6
  Feb 16, 2019 59   Fresno St. L 73-81 33%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -2.9 +2.0 -4.7
  Feb 20, 2019 49   @ Utah St. L 72-84 13%    
  Feb 27, 2019 338   @ San Jose St. W 80-69 84%    
  Mar 02, 2019 178   Colorado St. W 81-77 67%    
  Mar 06, 2019 125   Boise St. W 76-75 51%    
  Mar 09, 2019 298   @ Wyoming W 79-73 69%    
Projected Record 12.8 - 16.2 7.8 - 10.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.3 0.9 1.2 4th
5th 0.2 7.4 2.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.3 12.0 14.2 0.4 26.9 6th
7th 0.7 14.2 24.6 1.8 41.2 7th
8th 0.0 3.7 10.4 1.1 15.3 8th
9th 0.8 3.8 1.1 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.0 8.2 26.0 38.0 23.6 3.3 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 3.3% 1.5% 1.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
9-9 23.6% 0.8% 0.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 23.4
8-10 38.0% 0.6% 0.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 37.8
7-11 26.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.9
6-12 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.2
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 12.9 4.1 20.4 57.1 18.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 0.5%