New Orleans
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#263
Achievement Rating-6.1#248
Pace65.3#295
Improvement+3.0#18

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#282
First Shot-4.0#280
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#163
Layup/Dunks+3.8#57
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#311
Freethrows-2.8#305
Improvement+0.0#166

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#226
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#273
Layups/Dunks-3.4#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#57
Freethrows-2.2#292
Improvement+3.0#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 11.4% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 40.8% 67.2% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 71.5% 83.4% 69.8%
Conference Champion 9.5% 16.3% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.8% 2.3%
First Four3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
First Round5.8% 9.9% 5.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 48   @ Northwestern L 52-82 5%     0 - 1 -17.3 -7.4 -13.6
  Nov 14, 2018 216   @ UAB L 68-75 29%     0 - 2 -7.2 +0.2 -7.9
  Nov 28, 2018 118   Louisiana L 73-77 26%     0 - 3 -3.0 -9.7 +7.3
  Dec 05, 2018 195   South Alabama W 71-60 47%     1 - 3 +5.9 +0.4 +6.0
  Dec 13, 2018 120   @ Tulsa L 62-74 12%    
  Dec 20, 2018 122   @ Pittsburgh L 61-73 12%    
  Dec 29, 2018 84   @ Baylor L 58-73 9%    
  Jan 02, 2019 164   @ Abilene Christian L 61-70 22%    
  Jan 05, 2019 284   Houston Baptist W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 09, 2019 230   @ Lamar L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 12, 2019 310   McNeese St. W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 16, 2019 159   Stephen F. Austin L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 19, 2019 301   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-64 47%    
  Jan 23, 2019 278   @ Central Arkansas L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 26, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 30, 2019 347   Northwestern St. W 73-60 88%    
  Feb 02, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 74-64 82%    
  Feb 06, 2019 347   @ Northwestern St. W 70-63 74%    
  Feb 09, 2019 255   Nicholls St. W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 16, 2019 301   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-61 67%    
  Feb 20, 2019 288   SE Louisiana W 66-62 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 310   @ McNeese St. L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 27, 2019 291   Sam Houston St. W 68-64 65%    
  Mar 02, 2019 255   @ Nicholls St. L 68-71 38%    
  Mar 06, 2019 288   @ SE Louisiana L 63-65 44%    
Projected Record 11.5 - 13.5 10.2 - 7.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 9.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.4 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.3 1.1 0.0 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.0 1.6 0.1 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.2 7.4 9.9 12.0 12.9 12.8 11.5 9.3 6.4 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.7% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 91.3% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
15-3 71.3% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.7% 2.6    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.7% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.1 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.9% 47.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 36.2% 36.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.9% 34.3% 34.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.2
15-3 3.8% 29.7% 29.7% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 2.7
14-4 6.4% 22.4% 22.4% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.0
13-5 9.3% 16.4% 16.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 7.8
12-6 11.5% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 10.4
11-7 12.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.2
10-8 12.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 12.6
9-9 12.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.9
8-10 9.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.9
7-11 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
6-12 5.2% 5.2
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.3 92.7 0.0%