New Orleans
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#269
Achievement Rating-4.4#228
Pace69.0#181
Improvement+1.6#107

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#327
First Shot-7.0#331
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#158
Layup/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#345
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement-0.8#227

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#155
First Shot+1.8#114
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#288
Layups/Dunks-3.0#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#53
Freethrows-1.1#250
Improvement+2.4#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 51.0% 68.5% 29.3%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% 3.4% 2.5%
First Round3.9% 5.0% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 55.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 63   @ Northwestern L 52-82 7%     0 - 1 -19.9 -6.0 -17.5
  Nov 14, 2018 162   @ UAB L 68-75 20%     0 - 2 -4.4 +0.8 -5.7
  Nov 28, 2018 185   Louisiana L 73-77 42%     0 - 3 -8.3 -14.6 +6.9
  Dec 05, 2018 220   South Alabama W 71-60 50%     1 - 3 +4.9 -2.1 +7.4
  Dec 13, 2018 96   @ Tulsa L 60-70 10%     1 - 4 -2.2 -9.0 +7.1
  Dec 20, 2018 91   @ Pittsburgh L 57-99 9%     1 - 5 -33.8 -11.6 -21.0
  Dec 29, 2018 33   @ Baylor L 44-84 4%     1 - 6 -25.5 -23.3 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2019 169   @ Abilene Christian L 58-68 20%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -7.5 -12.8 +5.3
  Jan 05, 2019 288   Houston Baptist W 81-76 64%     2 - 7 1 - 1 -5.0 -8.1 +2.5
  Jan 09, 2019 245   @ Lamar W 78-71 35%     3 - 7 2 - 1 +4.9 -6.1 +10.1
  Jan 12, 2019 324   McNeese St. W 79-66 75%     4 - 7 3 - 1 -0.4 -2.1 +1.8
  Jan 16, 2019 274   Stephen F. Austin W 68-61 61%     5 - 7 4 - 1 -2.2 -9.5 +7.1
  Jan 19, 2019 282   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-76 41%     5 - 8 4 - 2 -19.0 -14.1 -4.4
  Jan 23, 2019 302   @ Central Arkansas L 71-76 46%     5 - 9 4 - 3 -10.3 -7.0 -3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word W 61-52 67%     6 - 9 5 - 3 -1.7 -8.7 +8.5
  Jan 30, 2019 331   Northwestern St. W 72-64 78%     7 - 9 6 - 3 -6.3 -7.2 +0.8
  Feb 02, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 89-72 83%     8 - 9 7 - 3 +0.7 -2.9 +2.0
  Feb 06, 2019 331   @ Northwestern St. W 81-73 60%     9 - 9 8 - 3 -0.7 -2.9 +1.3
  Feb 09, 2019 322   Nicholls St. L 63-64 75%     9 - 10 8 - 4 -14.2 -9.3 -5.0
  Feb 16, 2019 282   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-58 63%     10 - 10 9 - 4 +0.5 -5.0 +5.9
  Feb 20, 2019 242   SE Louisiana W 64-63 55%    
  Feb 23, 2019 324   @ McNeese St. W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 27, 2019 173   Sam Houston St. L 64-67 40%    
  Mar 02, 2019 322   @ Nicholls St. W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 06, 2019 242   @ SE Louisiana L 61-65 34%    
Projected Record 12.4 - 12.6 11.4 - 6.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 5.0 2.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 8.7 22.9 9.3 0.7 41.8 3rd
4th 0.4 8.5 19.0 3.6 31.5 4th
5th 2.6 9.1 3.0 14.7 5th
6th 1.6 0.6 2.2 6th
7th 0.2 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 4.8 18.4 30.7 28.4 14.4 3.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 15.3% 0.5    0.0 0.3 0.2
13-5 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 3.2% 16.2% 16.2% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.7
13-5 14.4% 10.6% 10.6% 15.9 0.2 1.3 12.9
12-6 28.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 1.7 26.6
11-7 30.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2 29.5
10-8 18.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 18.0
9-9 4.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.8
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.6 4.8 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 15.4 1.9 57.9 40.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 2.6%