Nicholls St.
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#322
Achievement Rating-9.3#301
Pace71.7#109
Improvement-3.3#301

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#291
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#313
Layup/Dunks-6.3#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#8
Freethrows-4.3#349
Improvement+0.4#171

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#315
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#334
Layups/Dunks-7.6#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#46
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement-3.7#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 1.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.5% 28.3% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Away) - 11.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 16   @ Louisville L 72-85 1%     0 - 1 +5.2 +4.6 +1.4
  Nov 11, 2018 167   @ Washington St. L 72-89 12%     0 - 2 -14.5 -8.5 -4.6
  Nov 13, 2018 344   @ Idaho W 83-80 56%     1 - 2 -9.1 -1.3 -8.0
  Nov 16, 2018 33   @ Baylor L 54-81 2%     1 - 3 -12.5 -8.7 -5.7
  Nov 20, 2018 38   @ Mississippi L 55-75 2%     1 - 4 -6.2 -14.2 +8.8
  Nov 23, 2018 309   NC Central W 77-63 43%     2 - 4 +5.3 +4.2 +1.7
  Nov 24, 2018 263   Western Michigan W 62-61 33%     3 - 4 -4.9 -16.6 +11.7
  Dec 15, 2018 232   @ Boston University L 63-75 20%     3 - 5 -13.7 -15.4 +2.4
  Dec 18, 2018 157   @ Louisiana Monroe L 68-95 11%     3 - 6 -23.9 -10.8 -11.8
  Jan 02, 2019 331   @ Northwestern St. W 78-72 43%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -2.7 +2.8 -5.6
  Jan 05, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word L 58-65 51%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -17.7 -18.6 +0.4
  Jan 09, 2019 274   Stephen F. Austin W 78-73 45%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -4.2 -1.7 -2.8
  Jan 12, 2019 288   Houston Baptist W 77-76 48%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -9.0 -2.7 -6.3
  Jan 16, 2019 324   @ McNeese St. L 75-86 40%     6 - 8 3 - 2 -18.9 -4.9 -13.9
  Jan 19, 2019 302   @ Central Arkansas L 68-74 31%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -11.3 -7.4 -3.9
  Jan 23, 2019 282   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-75 27%     6 - 10 3 - 4 -6.0 +4.0 -10.1
  Jan 30, 2019 245   Lamar L 69-90 39%     6 - 11 3 - 5 -28.7 -4.9 -24.7
  Feb 02, 2019 242   @ SE Louisiana L 70-91 21%     6 - 12 3 - 6 -23.0 -1.5 -21.4
  Feb 09, 2019 269   @ New Orleans W 64-63 25%     7 - 12 4 - 6 -2.5 +0.6 -3.0
  Feb 13, 2019 169   Abilene Christian L 48-64 24%     7 - 13 4 - 7 -19.1 -22.0 +1.8
  Feb 16, 2019 288   @ Houston Baptist L 82-88 28%     7 - 14 4 - 8 -10.4 -5.1 -4.5
  Feb 20, 2019 173   @ Sam Houston St. L 65-78 11%    
  Feb 23, 2019 302   Central Arkansas W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 27, 2019 324   McNeese St. W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 269   New Orleans L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 06, 2019 331   Northwestern St. W 74-70 65%    
  Mar 09, 2019 242   SE Louisiana L 67-70 40%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 17.3 6.7 - 11.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 0.3 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 3.5 0.2 5.6 6th
7th 0.9 8.1 2.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 6.9 7.7 0.2 14.8 8th
9th 1.8 13.7 1.9 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.3 10.9 8.1 0.1 19.4 10th
11th 0.2 6.2 12.4 0.9 19.8 11th
12th 2.4 6.3 1.5 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 2.7 12.9 26.6 30.4 19.8 6.8 0.7 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.7
9-9 6.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.7
8-10 19.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 19.7
7-11 30.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 30.4
6-12 26.6% 26.6
5-13 12.9% 12.9
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 2.7%