Nicholls St.
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Achievement Rating+0.4#168
Pace75.4#71
Improvement+0.7#117

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#295
First Shot-3.9#281
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#194
Layup/Dunks-4.6#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#32
Freethrows-3.6#329
Improvement-0.9#253

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#190
First Shot+2.3#109
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#333
Layups/Dunks-5.1#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#39
Freethrows-2.2#293
Improvement+1.6#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 10.4% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 57.7% 75.9% 51.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 81.6% 70.7%
Conference Champion 9.8% 13.9% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.8% 1.7%
First Four2.0% 1.8% 2.1%
First Round6.4% 9.4% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 26.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 35   @ Louisville L 72-85 4%     0 - 1 +1.8 +2.1 +0.5
  Nov 11, 2018 177   @ Washington St. L 72-89 25%     0 - 2 -15.2 -8.1 -5.7
  Nov 13, 2018 287   @ Idaho W 83-80 45%     1 - 2 -0.9 +3.0 -4.1
  Nov 16, 2018 84   @ Baylor L 54-81 10%     1 - 3 -17.9 -9.1 -10.6
  Nov 20, 2018 64   @ Mississippi L 55-75 8%     1 - 4 -9.2 -17.0 +8.6
  Nov 23, 2018 314   NC Central W 77-63 65%     2 - 4 +4.9 +2.9 +2.5
  Nov 24, 2018 223   Western Michigan W 62-61 43%     3 - 4 -2.6 -15.1 +12.5
  Dec 15, 2018 186   @ Boston University L 66-73 26%    
  Dec 18, 2018 207   @ Louisiana Monroe L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 02, 2019 347   @ Northwestern St. W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 05, 2019 338   @ Incarnate Word W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 09, 2019 159   Stephen F. Austin L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 285   Houston Baptist W 85-80 66%    
  Jan 16, 2019 311   @ McNeese St. W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 19, 2019 279   @ Central Arkansas L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 23, 2019 301   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 30, 2019 230   Lamar W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 298   @ SE Louisiana L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 09, 2019 263   @ New Orleans L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 13, 2019 164   Abilene Christian L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 285   @ Houston Baptist L 82-83 45%    
  Feb 20, 2019 291   @ Sam Houston St. L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 23, 2019 279   Central Arkansas W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 27, 2019 311   McNeese St. W 77-71 72%    
  Mar 02, 2019 263   New Orleans W 71-68 62%    
  Mar 06, 2019 347   Northwestern St. W 78-64 89%    
  Mar 09, 2019 298   SE Louisiana W 69-64 68%    
Projected Record 13.9 - 13.1 10.3 - 7.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 9.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.6 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.4 3.1 0.7 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 5.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.3 3.7 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.1 0.7 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.2 1.1 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.8 1.6 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.7 7.2 9.7 11.9 13.2 13.4 12.0 9.5 6.6 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.5% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 91.2% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
15-3 72.0% 2.9    1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.7% 2.7    1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.9% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.3 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 41.4% 41.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 39.7% 39.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.0% 33.0% 33.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.3
15-3 4.1% 28.0% 28.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 2.9
14-4 6.6% 21.8% 21.8% 15.4 0.1 0.7 0.7 5.2
13-5 9.5% 16.4% 16.4% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 8.0
12-6 12.0% 9.4% 9.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 10.9
11-7 13.4% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.6 12.8
10-8 13.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.9
9-9 11.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.7
8-10 9.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-11 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.2
6-12 4.7% 4.7
5-13 2.7% 2.7
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.2 92.5 0.0%