Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#267
Achievement Rating-4.4#224
Pace70.7#134
Improvement+0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#266
First Shot-1.9#240
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#264
Layup/Dunks-4.8#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#137
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement+1.8#88

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#246
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks+0.6#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#291
Freethrows-3.0#333
Improvement-1.7#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 24.4% 20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 1.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.8% 20.2% 3.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four20.7% 21.6% 20.2%
First Round12.2% 14.3% 10.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Home) - 39.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 44-63 2%     0 - 1 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Nov 13, 2018 72   @ South Carolina L 64-81 8%     0 - 2 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Nov 16, 2018 247   Siena L 58-61 46%     0 - 3 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Nov 17, 2018 169   Stony Brook L 65-72 29%     0 - 4 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Nov 27, 2018 169   Stony Brook L 73-79 39%     0 - 5 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Nov 29, 2018 229   Hampton W 94-89 54%     1 - 5 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 01, 2018 149   @ Kent St. L 67-78 17%     1 - 6 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 12, 2018 194   @ Rider L 71-81 26%     1 - 7 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 16, 2018 113   @ Loyola Chicago L 49-80 12%     1 - 8 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 21, 2018 252   @ UTEP W 75-62 37%     2 - 8 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 22, 2018 101   East Tennessee St. L 61-89 15%     2 - 9 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 29, 2018 299   @ Niagara L 75-83 46%     2 - 10 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 05, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 77-63 94%     3 - 10 1 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 07, 2019 325   Florida A&M W 72-62 76%     4 - 10 2 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 12, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. W 80-66 73%     5 - 10 3 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 14, 2019 306   Bethune-Cookman W 75-68 69%     6 - 10 4 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 19, 2019 348   @ Savannah St. W 82-76 76%     7 - 10 5 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 21, 2019 342   @ South Carolina St. W 74-69 69%     8 - 10 6 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-60 94%     9 - 10 7 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 02, 2019 313   @ Howard W 80-78 52%     10 - 10 8 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 09, 2019 306   @ Bethune-Cookman L 76-84 49%     10 - 11 8 - 1 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 11, 2019 325   @ Florida A&M W 66-54 57%     11 - 11 9 - 1 -6.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 16, 2019 314   NC Central W 71-65 73%    
  Feb 18, 2019 324   N.C. A&T W 73-66 76%    
  Feb 23, 2019 334   @ Morgan St. W 76-72 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 345   Coppin St. W 77-65 87%    
  Mar 04, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 79-66 88%    
  Mar 07, 2019 313   Howard W 80-74 72%    
Projected Record 15.6 - 12.4 13.6 - 2.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.5 3rd
4th 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 0.3 3.7 5th
6th 0.2 5.1 3.6 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 4.0 10.2 0.8 15.0 7th
8th 0.0 3.0 15.2 5.2 0.0 23.4 8th
9th 1.1 11.7 10.9 0.5 24.2 9th
10th 6.7 11.7 2.3 0.0 20.7 10th
11th 1.8 0.3 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 9.6 26.7 32.6 21.3 8.2 1.6 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 7.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.1% 39.3% 39.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
9-7 1.6% 39.6% 39.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9
8-8 8.2% 31.1% 31.1% 16.0 0.1 2.4 5.6
7-9 21.3% 24.9% 24.9% 16.0 0.0 5.3 16.0
6-10 32.6% 22.0% 22.0% 16.0 7.2 25.4
5-11 26.7% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 4.8 21.9
4-12 9.6% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 1.6 8.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 21.8 77.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 14.0%