Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Achievement Rating-12.5#313
Pace70.7#159
Improvement+0.5#132

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#293
First Shot-2.4#250
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#294
Layup/Dunks-7.5#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows+3.0#40
Improvement+0.8#108

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#234
First Shot-5.2#318
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#16
Layups/Dunks+4.2#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#335
Freethrows-2.6#305
Improvement-0.2#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.6% 30.5% 22.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 53.5% 76.3% 50.6%
.500 or above in Conference 93.9% 96.8% 93.5%
Conference Champion 34.1% 44.2% 32.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four21.3% 24.2% 20.9%
First Round12.7% 18.8% 11.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Away) - 11.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 3   @ Michigan L 44-63 1%     0 - 1 +2.9 -14.1 +15.9
  Nov 13, 2018 121   @ South Carolina L 64-81 11%     0 - 2 -10.3 -3.2 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2018 270   Siena L 58-61 48%     0 - 3 -9.0 -11.8 +2.3
  Nov 17, 2018 165   Stony Brook L 65-72 27%     0 - 4 -7.2 -8.4 +1.3
  Nov 27, 2018 165   Stony Brook L 73-79 37%     0 - 5 -9.2 -2.1 -7.0
  Nov 29, 2018 240   Hampton W 94-89 55%     1 - 5 -2.9 -3.4 -0.6
  Dec 01, 2018 143   @ Kent St. L 67-78 15%     1 - 6 -6.4 -8.9 +3.1
  Dec 12, 2018 125   @ Rider L 72-85 12%    
  Dec 16, 2018 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-73 8%    
  Dec 21, 2018 214   @ UTEP L 65-71 27%    
  Dec 29, 2018 261   @ Niagara L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 05, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 81-64 94%    
  Jan 07, 2019 337   Florida A&M W 72-63 80%    
  Jan 12, 2019 350   @ Coppin St. W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 14, 2019 308   Bethune-Cookman W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 19, 2019 352   @ Savannah St. W 91-82 79%    
  Jan 21, 2019 342   @ South Carolina St. W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 26, 2019 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-60 88%    
  Feb 02, 2019 285   @ Howard L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 09, 2019 308   @ Bethune-Cookman L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 11, 2019 337   @ Florida A&M W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 16, 2019 313   NC Central W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 18, 2019 323   N.C. A&T W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 23, 2019 312   @ Morgan St. L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 02, 2019 350   Coppin St. W 77-63 89%    
  Mar 04, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 78-67 84%    
  Mar 07, 2019 285   Howard W 80-77 62%    
Projected Record 13.1 - 13.9 11.2 - 4.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.4 6.2 10.5 9.6 4.9 1.3 34.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 6.2 8.4 4.0 0.7 0.0 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.8 6.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.3 6.1 9.9 13.3 16.2 17.0 14.7 10.3 5.0 1.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
15-1 99.8% 4.9    4.8 0.2
14-2 93.5% 9.6    7.9 1.7 0.0
13-3 71.6% 10.5    6.0 3.8 0.6 0.0
12-4 36.5% 6.2    1.8 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 8.9% 1.4    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 34.1% 34.1 22.0 9.0 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.3% 53.4% 53.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6
15-1 5.0% 45.9% 45.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.7
14-2 10.3% 39.8% 39.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0 6.2
13-3 14.7% 32.7% 32.7% 16.0 0.0 4.8 9.9
12-4 17.0% 27.2% 27.2% 16.0 0.0 4.6 12.4
11-5 16.2% 20.6% 20.6% 16.0 3.3 12.9
10-6 13.3% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 2.1 11.2
9-7 9.9% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 1.0 8.9
8-8 6.1% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.4 5.6
7-9 3.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 3.1
6-10 1.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 1.7
5-11 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-12 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-13 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 23.6% 23.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 23.1 76.4 0.0%