North Dakota St.
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#206
Achievement Rating-5.9#245
Pace66.2#267
Improvement-1.8#300

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot+3.8#71
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#317
Layup/Dunks+1.7#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#30
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement+0.1#156

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#287
First Shot-7.0#344
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#14
Layups/Dunks-3.9#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#248
Freethrows+2.0#74
Improvement-1.9#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.6% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 30.3% 38.9% 18.1%
.500 or above in Conference 67.1% 70.9% 61.7%
Conference Champion 6.5% 7.6% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 3.7% 6.0%
First Four3.0% 2.8% 3.3%
First Round6.4% 7.4% 5.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 58.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 65   @ New Mexico St. L 56-73 11%     0 - 1 -6.3 -6.8 -0.5
  Nov 11, 2018 147   UC Santa Barbara W 82-63 48%     1 - 1 +16.9 +12.2 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2018 151   Miami (OH) L 78-89 37%     1 - 2 -10.3 +11.1 -22.6
  Nov 17, 2018 338   Incarnate Word L 78-80 83%     1 - 3 -15.0 -6.3 -8.7
  Nov 18, 2018 284   Towson W 76-51 66%     2 - 3 +18.2 +4.2 +15.3
  Nov 24, 2018 125   @ East Tennessee St. L 61-79 20%     2 - 4 -11.9 -1.7 -11.5
  Nov 26, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 60-102 2%     2 - 5 -19.9 -7.7 -11.3
  Dec 01, 2018 157   Drake L 88-95 39%     2 - 6 -6.7 +13.7 -20.4
  Dec 03, 2018 21   @ Iowa St. L 59-81 5%     2 - 7 -5.7 -8.9 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2018 248   Eastern Washington W 74-67 70%     3 - 7 -1.1 +1.9 -2.6
  Dec 15, 2018 193   Missouri St. W 78-76 59%    
  Dec 17, 2018 109   @ Montana L 67-77 17%    
  Dec 28, 2018 171   South Dakota W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 30, 2018 199   Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 02, 2019 232   @ Nebraska Omaha L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 10, 2019 268   Western Illinois W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 16, 2019 251   @ Denver L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 292   North Dakota W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 24, 2019 83   @ South Dakota St. L 72-84 13%    
  Jan 26, 2019 319   @ Oral Roberts W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 268   @ Western Illinois W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 06, 2019 292   @ North Dakota W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 09, 2019 251   Denver W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 14, 2019 319   Oral Roberts W 79-69 82%    
  Feb 16, 2019 83   South Dakota St. L 75-81 29%    
  Feb 23, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 78-73 66%    
  Feb 28, 2019 171   @ South Dakota L 67-72 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 199   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-80 38%    
Projected Record 12.3 - 15.7 8.6 - 7.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.9 6.7 4.3 1.4 0.1 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.8 7.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 19.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 6.9 6.5 1.6 0.1 16.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.8 5.6 1.2 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.7 1.0 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.8 9.3 13.0 15.2 15.7 14.0 10.5 6.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 88.3% 1.1    0.9 0.3
13-3 59.5% 2.1    1.2 0.8 0.1
12-4 28.7% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
11-5 9.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.3 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 25.0% 25.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 29.3% 29.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.3% 25.7% 25.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.5% 20.6% 20.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 2.8
12-4 6.6% 17.0% 17.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 5.5
11-5 10.5% 13.3% 13.3% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.1
10-6 14.0% 9.6% 9.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 12.7
9-7 15.7% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.1 1.0 14.6
8-8 15.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.4
7-9 13.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.5
6-10 9.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 9.1
5-11 5.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 5.7
4-12 3.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-13 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.2 92.3 0.0%