North Dakota
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#273
Achievement Rating-9.5#302
Pace73.7#69
Improvement+1.6#108

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#292
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#260
Layup/Dunks-2.7#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#244
Freethrows-2.2#317
Improvement+2.4#62

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#207
First Shot-2.6#253
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#62
Layups/Dunks-3.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#34
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement-0.9#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.8% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.0% 0.7% 42.4%
First Four1.5% 1.8% 0.8%
First Round0.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 304   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 63-60 47%     1 - 0 -2.5 -13.9 +11.4
  Nov 14, 2018 5   @ Kentucky L 58-96 1%     1 - 1 -15.3 -4.3 -10.5
  Nov 24, 2018 114   @ Utah Valley L 68-74 11%     1 - 2 +0.7 -1.8 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2018 227   @ Montana St. L 76-81 31%     1 - 3 -6.2 -3.6 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2018 344   Idaho L 54-67 85%     1 - 4 -30.6 -25.0 -6.6
  Dec 05, 2018 186   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 56-70 23%     1 - 5 -12.8 -19.4 +8.5
  Dec 09, 2018 304   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-72 67%     2 - 5 -0.1 +2.5 -2.8
  Dec 18, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 66-92 3%     2 - 6 -9.6 -9.1 +3.1
  Dec 22, 2018 180   @ Northern Iowa L 62-64 22%     2 - 7 -0.5 -4.3 +3.7
  Dec 29, 2018 181   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-84 41%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -15.0 -15.1 +1.6
  Jan 03, 2019 280   @ Oral Roberts L 72-83 40%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -14.9 -4.4 -10.7
  Jan 05, 2019 297   @ Denver W 80-59 44%     3 - 9 1 - 2 +16.0 +4.4 +12.1
  Jan 10, 2019 171   Nebraska Omaha L 91-92 38%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -4.2 +7.8 -11.9
  Jan 12, 2019 285   Western Illinois W 71-65 63%     4 - 10 2 - 3 -3.8 -4.4 +0.8
  Jan 16, 2019 77   South Dakota St. L 74-78 17%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -0.4 -1.1 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2019 194   @ North Dakota St. L 65-67 25%     4 - 12 2 - 5 -1.3 -4.7 +3.2
  Jan 23, 2019 231   South Dakota L 56-70 53%     4 - 13 2 - 6 -21.2 -17.2 -4.5
  Feb 01, 2019 285   @ Western Illinois W 74-73 42%     5 - 13 3 - 6 -3.2 -3.1 -0.2
  Feb 03, 2019 171   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-90 20%     5 - 14 3 - 7 -15.6 -5.6 -9.8
  Feb 06, 2019 194   North Dakota St. L 70-74 44%     5 - 15 3 - 8 -8.8 -7.5 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2019 77   @ South Dakota St. L 55-80 8%     5 - 16 3 - 9 -15.9 -17.0 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2019 280   Oral Roberts W 85-73 62%     6 - 16 4 - 9 +2.5 +3.8 -1.4
  Feb 23, 2019 297   Denver W 75-71 66%    
  Feb 28, 2019 181   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-84 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 231   @ South Dakota L 67-72 32%    
Projected Record 7.2 - 17.8 5.2 - 10.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 9.0 4.4 13.4 5th
6th 12.8 16.9 0.9 30.6 6th
7th 4.7 29.6 2.4 36.7 7th
8th 12.0 4.9 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 2.5 0.0 2.5 9th
Total 19.2 47.2 28.3 5.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 5.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.2 5.1
6-10 28.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.6 27.7
5-11 47.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.6 46.6
4-12 19.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.2
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5%
Lose Out 18.5%