North Dakota
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#292
Achievement Rating-9.7#286
Pace76.1#58
Improvement+0.4#143

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#319
First Shot-4.0#283
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#282
Layup/Dunks-3.0#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows-1.6#259
Improvement+0.7#113

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#213
First Shot-4.3#301
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#18
Layups/Dunks-3.1#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#144
Freethrows-1.0#238
Improvement-0.3#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 6.0% 21.8% 5.7%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 42.9% 24.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 2.7% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.2% 13.6% 26.4%
First Four1.5% 1.7% 1.5%
First Round1.2% 2.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 294   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 63-60 39%     1 - 0 -1.4 -12.0 +10.6
  Nov 14, 2018 20   @ Kentucky L 58-96 2%     1 - 1 -21.7 -10.1 -11.1
  Nov 24, 2018 140   @ Utah Valley L 68-74 13%     1 - 2 -1.1 -1.6 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2018 297   @ Montana St. L 76-81 39%     1 - 3 -9.5 -5.1 -4.2
  Dec 01, 2018 287   Idaho L 54-67 60%     1 - 4 -22.9 -21.0 -3.0
  Dec 05, 2018 221   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 56-70 26%     1 - 5 -14.5 -22.1 +9.5
  Dec 09, 2018 294   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-72 62%     2 - 5 +0.6 +4.2 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2018 34   @ Marquette L 64-86 2%    
  Dec 22, 2018 174   @ Northern Iowa L 65-74 19%    
  Dec 28, 2018 199   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 03, 2019 319   @ Oral Roberts L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 05, 2019 251   @ Denver L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 10, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 12, 2019 268   Western Illinois W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 16, 2019 83   South Dakota St. L 73-84 16%    
  Jan 19, 2019 206   @ North Dakota St. L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 23, 2019 171   South Dakota L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 31, 2019 268   @ Western Illinois L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 03, 2019 232   @ Nebraska Omaha L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 06, 2019 206   North Dakota St. L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 09, 2019 83   @ South Dakota St. L 70-87 7%    
  Feb 16, 2019 319   Oral Roberts W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 23, 2019 251   Denver W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 28, 2019 199   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-83 24%    
  Mar 02, 2019 171   @ South Dakota L 64-74 20%    
Projected Record 8.1 - 16.9 5.9 - 10.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.9 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 6.7 5.1 0.7 0.0 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 7.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.7 7.5 5.8 1.1 0.0 18.8 8th
9th 0.5 2.1 4.7 5.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 16.6 9th
Total 0.5 2.2 5.4 9.4 13.1 15.5 15.3 13.4 10.4 7.1 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 91.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 67.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 36.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 11.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 19.1% 19.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.3% 13.6% 13.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 0.9% 11.8% 11.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
11-5 2.1% 8.2% 8.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.9
10-6 4.2% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.9
9-7 7.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.8
8-8 10.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1
7-9 13.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 13.2
6-10 15.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 15.1
5-11 15.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.3
4-12 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-13 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.4
2-14 5.4% 5.4
1-15 2.2% 2.2
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%