North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#175
Achievement Rating-0.8#182
Pace80.7#17
Improvement+0.2#160

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#132
First Shot+2.1#120
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#199
Layup/Dunks-3.1#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
Freethrows+0.0#173
Improvement-1.0#262

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#250
First Shot-0.9#200
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#282
Layups/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#94
Freethrows-2.0#286
Improvement+1.2#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.1% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 50.9% 64.0% 37.8%
.500 or above in Conference 87.0% 89.9% 84.0%
Conference Champion 8.0% 9.7% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.9%
First Round8.4% 9.9% 6.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Away) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 70   @ Dayton L 70-78 15%     0 - 1 +2.0 +4.9 -3.3
  Nov 09, 2018 54   @ Penn St. L 72-87 11%     0 - 2 -2.9 +0.2 -1.3
  Nov 17, 2018 144   @ Wright St. L 72-89 30%     0 - 3 -12.5 -0.8 -11.5
  Nov 20, 2018 148   Southern Miss W 64-48 43%     1 - 3 +16.8 -13.2 +28.9
  Nov 21, 2018 145   Jacksonville St. L 78-83 41%     1 - 4 -3.6 +5.8 -9.3
  Nov 27, 2018 19   @ Florida L 66-98 6%     1 - 5 -15.6 +4.9 -21.0
  Nov 29, 2018 337   Florida A&M W 81-62 91%     2 - 5 +3.3 -0.4 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2018 226   @ Charleston Southern W 76-70 50%     3 - 5 +5.0 -5.6 +9.9
  Dec 11, 2018 60   @ Minnesota L 71-80 13%     3 - 6 +2.3 +1.0 +1.6
  Dec 13, 2018 229   @ Florida International W 95-94 50%    
  Dec 15, 2018 226   Charleston Southern W 84-78 71%    
  Dec 19, 2018 15   @ Florida St. L 74-92 4%    
  Dec 29, 2018 8   @ Auburn L 72-94 2%    
  Jan 05, 2019 329   North Alabama W 84-71 89%    
  Jan 09, 2019 71   @ Lipscomb L 82-93 16%    
  Jan 12, 2019 239   Florida Gulf Coast W 86-79 73%    
  Jan 16, 2019 338   @ Stetson W 87-78 79%    
  Jan 19, 2019 108   @ Liberty L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 21, 2019 200   NJIT W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 24, 2019 303   Jacksonville W 85-75 82%    
  Jan 27, 2019 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 83-82 53%    
  Jan 30, 2019 343   @ Kennesaw St. W 80-70 81%    
  Feb 06, 2019 71   Lipscomb L 85-90 33%    
  Feb 09, 2019 329   @ North Alabama W 81-74 74%    
  Feb 13, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 83-67 92%    
  Feb 16, 2019 200   @ NJIT L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 20, 2019 303   @ Jacksonville W 82-78 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 108   Liberty L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 26, 2019 338   Stetson W 90-75 90%    
Projected Record 14.3 - 14.7 10.0 - 6.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.6 1.0 0.1 8.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.6 7.5 4.4 0.6 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.4 10.7 11.1 4.2 0.3 31.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.1 8.8 5.8 1.3 0.0 22.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 5.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.7 7.0 11.5 15.6 17.8 17.1 12.9 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 80.4% 2.6    1.5 1.0 0.0
13-3 38.4% 2.9    1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0
12-4 9.2% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1
11-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 3.7 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 37.6% 37.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.0% 34.5% 34.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-2 3.2% 27.0% 26.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.4 0.0%
13-3 7.6% 19.0% 19.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 6.2
12-4 12.9% 13.4% 13.4% 14.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.2 11.2
11-5 17.1% 10.0% 10.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 15.4
10-6 17.8% 6.5% 6.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 16.7
9-7 15.6% 4.6% 4.6% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 14.9
8-8 11.5% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.1
7-9 7.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.9
6-10 3.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.6
5-11 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-12 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.7 2.0 91.3 0.0%