North Texas
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#138
Achievement Rating+3.3#130
Pace64.4#300
Improvement-3.5#311

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#207
First Shot-2.4#259
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#77
Layup/Dunks+3.5#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#225
Freethrows-1.9#306
Improvement-5.8#341

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#91
First Shot+3.3#70
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#225
Layups/Dunks+1.5#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#104
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+2.3#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 11.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.6% 11.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Away) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 317   Portland W 78-73 86%     1 - 0 -4.8 +10.1 -14.4
  Nov 11, 2018 160   @ Hawaii W 68-51 47%     2 - 0 +19.7 +4.0 +17.5
  Nov 17, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-34 98%     3 - 0 +10.5 -9.9 +22.9
  Nov 20, 2018 314   Maine W 74-63 90%     4 - 0 -1.1 +5.4 -5.2
  Nov 24, 2018 310   St. Peter's W 75-66 89%     5 - 0 -2.5 +4.5 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2018 34   @ Oklahoma L 57-73 13%     5 - 1 -1.6 -13.3 +13.5
  Dec 05, 2018 199   @ Indiana St. W 80-69 56%     6 - 1 +11.5 +5.6 +5.5
  Dec 08, 2018 175   Texas Arlington W 63-61 69%     7 - 1 -1.3 -1.4 +0.3
  Dec 18, 2018 155   @ New Mexico W 74-65 45%     8 - 1 +12.3 +3.0 +9.4
  Dec 20, 2018 330   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-66 92%     9 - 1 -3.1 +0.2 -3.0
  Dec 29, 2018 254   @ Rice W 103-87 67%     10 - 1 1 - 0 +13.3 +31.7 -17.8
  Jan 03, 2019 136   Louisiana Tech W 63-59 60%     11 - 1 2 - 0 +3.3 -3.2 +6.9
  Jan 05, 2019 127   Southern Miss W 65-62 56%     12 - 1 3 - 0 +3.4 -0.6 +4.3
  Jan 10, 2019 266   @ UTEP W 58-51 69%     13 - 1 4 - 0 +3.9 -7.8 +12.1
  Jan 12, 2019 134   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-76 38%     13 - 2 4 - 1 +3.0 -4.7 +7.9
  Jan 19, 2019 254   Rice W 76-75 83%     14 - 2 5 - 1 -7.3 -6.8 -0.5
  Jan 24, 2019 162   UAB L 49-52 68%     14 - 3 5 - 2 -5.9 -18.5 +12.2
  Jan 26, 2019 244   Middle Tennessee W 70-53 82%     15 - 3 6 - 2 +9.4 -5.8 +15.1
  Jan 31, 2019 111   @ Old Dominion L 61-72 31%     15 - 4 6 - 3 -4.1 -3.9 -0.6
  Feb 02, 2019 287   @ Charlotte W 73-66 73%     16 - 4 7 - 3 +2.6 +8.9 -5.6
  Feb 07, 2019 202   Marshall W 78-51 75%     17 - 4 8 - 3 +21.8 +0.6 +21.3
  Feb 09, 2019 122   Western Kentucky L 59-62 55%     17 - 5 8 - 4 -2.4 -11.1 +8.7
  Feb 14, 2019 168   @ Florida Atlantic L 47-57 48%     17 - 6 8 - 5 -7.5 -17.2 +8.8
  Feb 16, 2019 223   @ Florida International L 59-69 61%     17 - 7 8 - 6 -10.9 -3.8 -8.7
Projected Record 17.0 - 7.0 8.0 - 6.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 8.6% 8.6% 14.0 0.0 1.6 5.6 1.3 0.0 91.4
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 1.6 5.6 1.3 0.0 91.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.6% 100.0% 14.0 0.3 19.1 65.4 15.2 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.1%
Lose Out 23.0%