Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#164
Achievement Rating-3.7#218
Pace64.0#314
Improvement-0.6#219

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#42
First Shot+0.8#164
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#10
Layup/Dunks-2.3#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows-4.3#339
Improvement+0.7#110

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#316
First Shot-6.6#338
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#96
Layups/Dunks+2.1#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.6#350
Freethrows+1.7#96
Improvement-1.3#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 32.7% 37.0% 15.6%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 43.3% 31.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 10.0% 15.9%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.9% 2.1% 1.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 80.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 123   Northern Kentucky L 85-88 49%     0 - 1 -2.8 +0.1 -2.5
  Nov 23, 2018 320   Oral Roberts W 87-66 82%     1 - 1 +11.1 +6.7 +4.2
  Nov 24, 2018 233   James Madison L 74-78 66%     1 - 2 -8.4 +14.7 -24.0
  Nov 25, 2018 236   @ Oakland W 92-72 56%     2 - 2 +18.5 +25.6 -4.6
  Nov 28, 2018 204   @ Green Bay L 83-85 48%     2 - 3 -1.6 +9.3 -10.9
  Dec 05, 2018 222   UC Davis W 71-62 73%     3 - 3 +2.5 +1.8 +1.0
  Dec 08, 2018 37   @ Butler L 68-95 9%     3 - 4 -12.4 +8.5 -23.7
  Dec 17, 2018 266   Western Illinois W 77-68 80%    
  Dec 20, 2018 123   @ Northern Kentucky L 71-77 28%    
  Dec 22, 2018 349   Chicago St. W 87-68 96%    
  Dec 29, 2018 7   @ Michigan St. L 66-87 2%    
  Jan 05, 2019 152   @ Ohio L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 08, 2019 153   @ Miami (OH) L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 12, 2019 130   Akron W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 15, 2019 173   Central Michigan W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 19, 2019 143   @ Kent St. L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 22, 2019 23   Buffalo L 75-85 18%    
  Jan 26, 2019 130   @ Akron L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 29, 2019 152   Ohio W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 02, 2019 75   Toledo L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 05, 2019 84   Ball St. L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 09, 2019 182   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 12, 2019 223   @ Western Michigan W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 16, 2019 203   Bowling Green W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 23, 2019 75   @ Toledo L 70-80 20%    
  Feb 26, 2019 223   Western Michigan W 77-71 72%    
  Mar 02, 2019 182   Eastern Michigan W 72-68 65%    
  Mar 05, 2019 173   @ Central Michigan L 76-78 42%    
  Mar 08, 2019 84   @ Ball St. L 73-82 22%    
Projected Record 12.9 - 16.1 7.9 - 10.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.2 1.3 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.7 1.9 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.8 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 2.9 0.8 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 6.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.4 6.1 8.9 11.6 13.6 13.5 12.7 10.3 7.6 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 80.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 53.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 42.9% 26.5% 16.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.2%
16-2 0.2% 24.6% 13.1% 11.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2%
15-3 0.6% 18.1% 14.8% 3.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.9%
14-4 1.4% 11.4% 10.8% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.7%
13-5 2.9% 9.1% 8.9% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.6 0.3%
12-6 5.1% 6.4% 6.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.8
11-7 7.6% 4.0% 4.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.3
10-8 10.3% 2.7% 2.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.0
9-9 12.7% 1.5% 1.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.5
8-10 13.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.4
7-11 13.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 11.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
2-16 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 98.0 0.1%