Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#174
Achievement Rating-2.8#196
Pace66.2#269
Improvement-1.1#260

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#239
First Shot-2.0#241
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#173
Layup/Dunks-6.2#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#69
Freethrows-0.4#197
Improvement-1.3#287

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#132
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#17
Layups/Dunks-0.4#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows-0.7#222
Improvement+0.2#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 7.6% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 22.0% 42.3% 19.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 51.3% 36.6%
Conference Champion 4.7% 8.1% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 20.2% 13.2% 21.2%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round4.9% 7.4% 4.5%
Second Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Neutral) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 256   @ Texas Arlington L 65-74 55%     0 - 1 -11.3 -9.8 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2018 92   Penn L 71-78 26%     0 - 2 -1.3 -0.7 -0.4
  Nov 17, 2018 272   Eastern Kentucky W 90-85 70%     1 - 2 -1.2 +0.9 -2.9
  Nov 19, 2018 105   Old Dominion W 54-53 30%     2 - 2 +5.7 -5.0 +10.8
  Nov 23, 2018 105   @ Old Dominion L 65-72 21%     2 - 3 +0.7 +5.2 -5.1
  Nov 28, 2018 49   @ Utah St. L 52-71 11%     2 - 4 -6.3 -12.3 +5.2
  Dec 01, 2018 83   South Dakota St. L 50-82 24%     2 - 5 -25.6 -22.0 -4.3
  Dec 15, 2018 39   Iowa L 68-80 13%    
  Dec 19, 2018 116   Grand Canyon L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 22, 2018 292   North Dakota W 74-65 81%    
  Dec 29, 2018 166   Stony Brook W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 02, 2019 128   @ Bradley L 61-68 27%    
  Jan 05, 2019 123   Southern Illinois L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 08, 2019 150   @ Illinois St. L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 13, 2019 157   Drake W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 16, 2019 141   Indiana St. W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 19, 2019 158   @ Valparaiso L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 23, 2019 123   @ Southern Illinois L 62-69 26%    
  Jan 26, 2019 176   Evansville W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 30, 2019 97   @ Loyola Chicago L 59-68 20%    
  Feb 02, 2019 193   Missouri St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 06, 2019 128   Bradley L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 09, 2019 157   @ Drake L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 13, 2019 150   Illinois St. W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 17, 2019 176   @ Evansville L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 20, 2019 193   @ Missouri St. L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 23, 2019 158   Valparaiso W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 27, 2019 97   Loyola Chicago L 62-65 39%    
  Mar 02, 2019 141   @ Indiana St. L 64-70 31%    
Projected Record 11.7 - 17.3 7.7 - 10.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.3 1.4 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.6 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.8 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.7 3.6 0.4 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.5 4.3 0.6 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.0 4.1 0.8 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.4 3.8 2.4 0.6 0.0 12.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.1 6.8 9.7 12.3 13.1 12.9 11.7 9.7 7.1 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 99.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 95.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 80.7% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 51.9% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 20.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 46.3% 31.5% 14.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.6%
16-2 0.2% 33.6% 28.6% 5.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.1%
15-3 0.6% 29.5% 27.9% 1.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2%
14-4 1.5% 23.4% 22.9% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.6%
13-5 2.8% 19.0% 18.9% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.3 0.0%
12-6 4.8% 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 0.0%
11-7 7.1% 10.6% 10.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.4
10-8 9.7% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.9 0.0%
9-9 11.7% 6.0% 6.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 11.0
8-10 12.9% 3.9% 3.9% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 12.4
7-11 13.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.9
6-12 12.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.1
5-13 9.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
4-14 6.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 5.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.5 0.8 94.9 0.0%