Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#180
Achievement Rating-2.3#195
Pace62.3#328
Improvement+3.8#39

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#186
First Shot+2.1#122
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#320
Layup/Dunks-7.3#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#9
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+4.9#17

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#197
First Shot-2.4#248
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#55
Layups/Dunks+1.5#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#332
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-1.1#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 6.1% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 1.5% 3.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 39.3% 62.0% 22.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 0.6% 15.6%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round4.4% 5.9% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 175   @ Texas Arlington L 65-74 37%     0 - 1 -6.8 -6.8 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2018 132   Penn L 71-78 36%     0 - 2 -4.4 -1.8 -2.5
  Nov 17, 2018 277   Eastern Kentucky W 90-85 70%     1 - 2 -1.6 +2.7 -5.1
  Nov 19, 2018 111   Old Dominion W 54-53 30%     2 - 2 +5.1 -6.9 +12.2
  Nov 23, 2018 111   @ Old Dominion L 65-72 22%     2 - 3 -0.1 +3.1 -3.8
  Nov 28, 2018 49   @ Utah St. L 52-71 11%     2 - 4 -6.9 -13.2 +5.5
  Dec 01, 2018 77   South Dakota St. L 50-82 23%     2 - 5 -25.6 -21.1 -5.2
  Dec 15, 2018 26   Iowa L 54-77 10%     2 - 6 -10.1 -14.7 +3.7
  Dec 19, 2018 102   Grand Canyon L 62-73 37%     2 - 7 -8.9 -2.9 -7.3
  Dec 22, 2018 273   North Dakota W 64-62 78%     3 - 7 -7.2 -5.2 -1.8
  Dec 29, 2018 170   Stony Brook L 63-73 57%     3 - 8 -13.1 -7.1 -6.2
  Jan 02, 2019 156   @ Bradley W 65-47 33%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +21.2 +9.3 +15.6
  Jan 05, 2019 145   Southern Illinois L 51-58 50%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -8.2 -12.8 +3.3
  Jan 08, 2019 165   @ Illinois St. L 69-70 36%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +1.6 +3.3 -1.9
  Jan 13, 2019 130   Drake W 57-54 45%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +3.0 -5.4 +9.0
  Jan 16, 2019 199   Indiana St. W 69-64 64%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +0.0 -2.0 +2.2
  Jan 19, 2019 184   @ Valparaiso L 66-75 40%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -7.6 +4.4 -13.2
  Jan 23, 2019 145   @ Southern Illinois L 62-70 29%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -3.6 -7.8 +4.1
  Jan 26, 2019 201   Evansville W 81-74 65%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +1.8 +8.8 -7.0
  Jan 30, 2019 116   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-61 23%     7 - 13 4 - 5 +5.7 +4.4 +1.1
  Feb 02, 2019 148   Missouri St. W 64-59 51%     8 - 13 5 - 5 +3.5 +6.5 -1.7
  Feb 06, 2019 156   Bradley L 71-79 54%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -10.3 +4.4 -15.4
  Feb 09, 2019 130   @ Drake L 77-83 26%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -0.5 +4.4 -4.7
  Feb 13, 2019 165   Illinois St. W 77-64 57%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +10.0 +10.1 +1.2
  Feb 17, 2019 201   @ Evansville L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 20, 2019 148   @ Missouri St. L 65-70 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 184   Valparaiso W 65-62 62%    
  Feb 27, 2019 116   Loyola Chicago L 61-63 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 199   @ Indiana St. L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 11.2 - 17.8 8.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 0.5 1st
2nd 0.7 1.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.3 0.4 5.1 3rd
4th 0.2 7.6 5.2 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 4.0 12.7 0.7 17.4 5th
6th 0.4 14.0 5.1 0.0 19.5 6th
7th 5.9 12.5 0.5 18.8 7th
8th 1.0 12.3 1.9 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 3.4 3.2 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 1.8 0.1 2.0 10th
Total 6.2 22.0 32.6 26.2 11.1 2.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 26.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.0% 11.1% 11.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
10-8 11.1% 9.0% 9.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 10.1
9-9 26.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.4 0.0 1.0 0.8 24.3
8-10 32.6% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 31.5
7-11 22.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 21.6
6-12 6.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.4 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 14.2 0.5 8.3 58.7 31.7 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 3.5%