Northwestern St.
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#333
Achievement Rating-11.2#318
Pace70.6#136
Improvement+4.7#23

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#340
First Shot-9.8#346
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#90
Layup/Dunks-3.7#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#338
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement+4.0#27

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#268
First Shot-1.8#229
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#317
Layups/Dunks-0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#272
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement+0.7#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.8% 6.7% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.1% 6.6%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Home) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 103   @ SMU L 58-69 4%     0 - 1 -3.6 -8.9 +4.1
  Nov 13, 2018 75   @ BYU L 57-82 3%     0 - 2 -15.8 -19.2 +5.8
  Nov 17, 2018 248   @ Rice L 74-102 18%     0 - 3 -30.4 -13.0 -13.1
  Nov 19, 2018 21   @ Houston L 55-82 1%     0 - 4 -9.8 -0.6 -12.8
  Nov 23, 2018 347   Alabama A&M W 70-66 71%     1 - 4 -14.0 -13.6 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2018 154   Louisiana Monroe L 52-80 17%     1 - 5 -30.1 -20.6 -12.5
  Dec 01, 2018 251   @ UTEP L 47-77 18%     1 - 6 -32.6 -23.8 -7.5
  Dec 03, 2018 86   @ Texas A&M L 59-80 4%     1 - 7 -12.4 -12.1 +0.8
  Dec 12, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 44-79 1%     1 - 8 -15.3 -14.7 -0.5
  Dec 15, 2018 340   Southern W 69-66 55%     2 - 8 -10.5 -14.2 +3.5
  Jan 02, 2019 323   Nicholls St. L 72-78 54%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -19.2 -7.8 -11.3
  Jan 05, 2019 317   McNeese St. W 66-61 50%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -7.3 -11.2 +4.2
  Jan 09, 2019 275   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-62 38%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -10.2 -5.3 -5.0
  Jan 12, 2019 253   @ Stephen F. Austin W 61-59 18%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -0.7 -10.3 +9.6
  Jan 19, 2019 174   @ Abilene Christian L 69-78 10%     4 - 11 2 - 3 -7.0 -2.5 -4.5
  Jan 23, 2019 167   Sam Houston St. L 64-78 19%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -17.0 -4.3 -13.9
  Jan 26, 2019 258   SE Louisiana L 53-69 35%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -24.4 -20.0 -4.7
  Jan 30, 2019 279   @ New Orleans L 64-72 21%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -11.9 -8.5 -3.3
  Feb 02, 2019 302   @ Central Arkansas W 80-75 25%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -0.4 -2.6 +1.8
  Feb 06, 2019 279   New Orleans L 73-81 39%     5 - 15 3 - 7 -17.3 -9.0 -7.5
  Feb 09, 2019 317   @ McNeese St. W 74-72 30%     6 - 15 4 - 7 -4.9 -1.6 -3.2
  Feb 13, 2019 249   @ Lamar L 70-75 18%     6 - 16 4 - 8 -7.5 -8.9 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2019 253   Stephen F. Austin L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 20, 2019 289   @ Houston Baptist L 72-80 22%    
  Feb 27, 2019 337   Incarnate Word W 71-68 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 258   @ SE Louisiana L 60-69 18%    
  Mar 06, 2019 323   @ Nicholls St. L 68-73 32%    
  Mar 09, 2019 302   Central Arkansas L 73-74 46%    
Projected Record 8.2 - 19.8 6.2 - 11.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 1.2 0.0 2.4 6th
7th 0.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 5.2 4.0 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 11.1 0.9 14.2 9th
10th 0.8 12.9 6.6 0.1 20.3 10th
11th 1.2 11.4 14.7 1.0 28.3 11th
12th 4.7 10.7 2.3 0.0 17.7 12th
13th 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.9 13th
Total 6.6 23.2 32.1 24.5 10.7 2.5 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
9-9 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
8-10 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
7-11 24.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.5
6-12 32.1% 32.1
5-13 23.2% 23.2
4-14 6.6% 6.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.6%