Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#65
Achievement Rating+6.1#93
Pace63.9#312
Improvement-1.3#247

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#56
First Shot+2.4#110
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#48
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#83
Freethrows+1.4#84
Improvement-0.8#226

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#98
First Shot+4.0#56
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#287
Layups/Dunks+3.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#285
Freethrows+4.8#4
Improvement-0.6#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 12.0
.500 or above 46.1% 51.4% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 1.4% 30.2%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 196   Illinois-Chicago W 84-67 87%     1 - 0 +12.1 +3.4 +7.5
  Nov 08, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 89-62 99%     2 - 0 +4.3 +9.4 -3.9
  Nov 14, 2018 135   Radford L 60-63 77%     2 - 1 -3.6 -5.1 +1.0
  Nov 17, 2018 204   William & Mary W 73-64 88%     3 - 1 +3.6 +0.1 +4.1
  Nov 20, 2018 152   Duquesne W 67-56 81%     4 - 1 +8.9 +1.2 +9.0
  Nov 24, 2018 98   DePaul W 95-70 68%     5 - 1 +27.3 +16.8 +9.2
  Nov 27, 2018 56   Illinois W 76-74 57%     6 - 1 +7.5 +5.0 +2.4
  Dec 04, 2018 34   Oklahoma L 80-85 33%     6 - 2 +6.6 +9.0 -2.0
  Dec 08, 2018 94   @ UCLA L 62-65 47%     6 - 3 +5.0 -6.3 +11.3
  Dec 15, 2018 10   Purdue W 88-80 19%     7 - 3 +24.6 +19.2 +5.3
  Dec 18, 2018 336   Binghamton W 69-56 97%     8 - 3 -2.2 -10.4 +8.2
  Dec 20, 2018 248   Jacksonville W 100-74 91%     9 - 3 +18.1 +21.4 -4.0
  Dec 29, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 63-56 98%     10 - 3 -10.8 -9.1 -1.0
  Jan 01, 2019 17   @ Virginia Tech L 66-81 15%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +3.2 +11.0 -10.2
  Jan 05, 2019 40   Syracuse L 62-72 46%     10 - 5 0 - 2 -1.8 -1.0 -1.4
  Jan 12, 2019 97   Boston College W 69-66 68%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +5.3 -3.8 +9.1
  Jan 15, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 69-75 8%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +16.5 +3.6 +13.1
  Jan 19, 2019 32   North Carolina St. L 73-77 43%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +5.1 +4.0 +1.1
  Jan 22, 2019 108   @ Georgia Tech L 61-63 50%     11 - 8 1 - 5 +5.1 +2.3 +2.7
  Jan 26, 2019 3   Virginia L 55-82 13%     11 - 9 1 - 6 -7.8 +0.2 -11.7
  Jan 28, 2019 1   Duke L 61-83 9%     11 - 10 1 - 7 -0.1 +5.2 -8.2
  Feb 02, 2019 97   @ Boston College W 79-73 48%     12 - 10 2 - 7 +13.8 +17.0 -2.6
  Feb 06, 2019 60   @ Miami (FL) L 47-62 37%     12 - 11 2 - 8 -4.5 -16.0 +10.1
  Feb 10, 2019 108   Georgia Tech W 69-59 71%     13 - 11 3 - 8 +11.6 +10.1 +2.6
  Feb 16, 2019 3   @ Virginia L 54-60 6%     13 - 12 3 - 9 +18.7 +2.5 +15.4
  Feb 19, 2019 176   Wake Forest W 74-63 85%    
  Feb 23, 2019 17   Virginia Tech L 65-70 31%    
  Feb 25, 2019 18   @ Florida St. L 65-76 15%    
  Mar 03, 2019 16   @ Louisville L 63-74 15%    
  Mar 06, 2019 30   Clemson L 64-66 42%    
  Mar 09, 2019 91   @ Pittsburgh L 67-68 45%    
Projected Record 15.3 - 15.7 5.3 - 12.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.2 1.4 0.1 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 6.9 20.0 7.9 0.7 0.0 35.5 10th
11th 1.0 17.7 6.3 0.3 25.3 11th
12th 9.0 9.7 0.4 0.0 19.1 12th
13th 0.5 9.1 0.6 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 1.6 1.2 0.0 2.8 14th
15th 1.0 0.0 1.0 15th
Total 3.1 20.4 34.8 27.8 11.4 2.4 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.2% 77.2% 77.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.2%
8-10 2.4% 27.2% 0.2% 26.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.7 27.0%
7-11 11.4% 3.2% 0.1% 3.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.0 3.2%
6-12 27.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.8 0.1%
5-13 34.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.8 0.0%
4-14 20.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 20.4
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 98.8 1.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%