Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#56
Achievement Rating+6.0#107
Pace64.7#308
Improvement+1.2#88

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#58
First Shot+1.7#132
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#35
Layup/Dunks+0.9#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#223
Freethrows+2.0#75
Improvement+1.2#75

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#66
First Shot+3.1#74
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#99
Layups/Dunks+5.0#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows+2.7#45
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.0% 24.4% 10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.6% 23.8% 9.9%
Average Seed 9.5 9.2 9.9
.500 or above 68.2% 82.7% 60.9%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 39.9% 29.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.0% 5.0%
First Four4.4% 5.9% 3.6%
First Round13.1% 21.9% 8.7%
Second Round6.6% 11.5% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 3.9% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Neutral) - 33.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 168   Illinois-Chicago W 84-67 87%     1 - 0 +13.5 +1.7 +10.5
  Nov 08, 2018 349   Chicago St. W 89-62 99%     2 - 0 +7.6 +10.4 -1.5
  Nov 14, 2018 133   Radford L 60-63 81%     2 - 1 -3.4 -3.9 +0.1
  Nov 17, 2018 198   William & Mary W 73-64 90%     3 - 1 +3.8 -2.7 +7.0
  Nov 20, 2018 163   Duquesne W 67-56 87%     4 - 1 +7.9 -0.3 +9.5
  Nov 24, 2018 106   DePaul W 95-70 76%     5 - 1 +26.6 +17.6 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2018 91   Illinois W 76-74 72%     6 - 1 +4.7 +2.8 +1.8
  Dec 04, 2018 24   Oklahoma L 80-85 35%     6 - 2 +7.9 +9.1 -0.9
  Dec 08, 2018 44   @ UCLA L 62-65 34%     6 - 3 +10.2 -4.5 +14.7
  Dec 15, 2018 20   Purdue L 68-72 34%    
  Dec 18, 2018 326   Binghamton W 79-56 98%    
  Dec 20, 2018 303   Jacksonville W 80-60 97%    
  Dec 29, 2018 350   Coppin St. W 82-53 99.7%   
  Jan 01, 2019 11   @ Virginia Tech L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 05, 2019 31   Syracuse L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 12, 2019 100   Boston College W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 15, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 74-86 13%    
  Jan 19, 2019 28   North Carolina St. L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 22, 2019 74   @ Georgia Tech L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 26, 2019 7   Virginia L 58-64 29%    
  Jan 28, 2019 1   Duke L 71-82 15%    
  Feb 02, 2019 100   @ Boston College W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 06, 2019 46   @ Miami (FL) L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 10, 2019 74   Georgia Tech W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 16, 2019 7   @ Virginia L 55-67 14%    
  Feb 19, 2019 156   Wake Forest W 75-64 85%    
  Feb 23, 2019 11   Virginia Tech L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 25, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 68-76 23%    
  Mar 03, 2019 32   @ Louisville L 68-74 29%    
  Mar 06, 2019 49   Clemson W 69-67 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 122   @ Pittsburgh W 68-66 58%    
Projected Record 16.7 - 14.3 7.4 - 10.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.5 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.5 0.9 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.1 0.8 0.0 11.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.2 0.8 0.0 8.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.6 6.9 10.7 14.0 15.2 14.8 12.3 9.1 5.9 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 81.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 54.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 5.6% 94.4% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 97.1% 7.8% 89.3% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.8%
13-5 1.5% 93.7% 5.5% 88.2% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.3%
12-6 3.2% 82.0% 2.5% 79.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 81.6%
11-7 5.9% 62.4% 1.4% 61.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 61.9%
10-8 9.1% 38.3% 0.8% 37.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.6 37.7%
9-9 12.3% 19.1% 0.5% 18.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.9 18.6%
8-10 14.8% 3.4% 0.3% 3.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.3 3.1%
7-11 15.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.2%
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.0%
5-13 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 15.0% 0.5% 14.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 85.0 14.6%