Ohio St.
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#41
Achievement Rating+11.5#44
Pace65.1#287
Improvement-6.7#345

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#65
First Shot+2.8#91
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#91
Layup/Dunks+0.1#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#148
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement-5.3#335

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#25
First Shot+6.4#20
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#121
Layups/Dunks+2.5#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#45
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-1.3#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.3% 71.5% 41.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.8% 71.1% 41.1%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 10.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.7% 31.5% 6.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four19.3% 19.4% 18.9%
First Round54.2% 62.4% 32.6%
Second Round24.3% 28.3% 13.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.9% 6.8% 3.5%
Elite Eight1.9% 2.2% 1.1%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Home) - 72.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 31   @ Cincinnati W 64-56 34%     1 - 0 +23.1 +12.0 +12.7
  Nov 11, 2018 181   Purdue Fort Wayne W 107-61 91%     2 - 0 +42.0 +22.9 +16.5
  Nov 15, 2018 51   @ Creighton W 69-60 45%     3 - 0 +21.0 +9.5 +12.7
  Nov 18, 2018 343   South Carolina St. W 89-61 99%     4 - 0 +10.5 +2.0 +7.3
  Nov 20, 2018 174   Samford W 68-50 90%     5 - 0 +14.7 -5.9 +21.0
  Nov 23, 2018 306   Cleveland St. W 89-62 97%     6 - 0 +15.8 +2.4 +11.3
  Nov 28, 2018 40   Syracuse L 62-72 60%     6 - 1 -1.8 +3.1 -6.2
  Dec 02, 2018 43   Minnesota W 79-59 64%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +27.0 +12.3 +15.4
  Dec 05, 2018 56   @ Illinois W 77-67 49%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +21.0 +5.0 +15.3
  Dec 15, 2018 146   Bucknell W 73-71 87%     9 - 1 +0.8 +1.9 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2018 283   Youngstown St. W 75-56 96%     10 - 1 +9.4 +1.4 +9.6
  Dec 22, 2018 94   UCLA W 80-66 70%     11 - 1 +19.3 +7.3 +11.4
  Dec 29, 2018 225   High Point W 82-64 94%     12 - 1 +11.4 +9.0 +2.5
  Jan 05, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 77-86 26%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +8.5 +13.4 -5.0
  Jan 09, 2019 90   @ Rutgers L 61-64 60%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +5.3 +2.3 +2.6
  Jan 12, 2019 26   @ Iowa L 62-72 32%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +5.7 -9.6 +15.6
  Jan 18, 2019 21   Maryland L 61-75 46%     12 - 5 2 - 4 -2.2 -1.4 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2019 10   Purdue L 67-79 38%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +1.8 +0.4 +1.0
  Jan 26, 2019 35   @ Nebraska W 70-60 37%     13 - 6 3 - 5 +24.3 +8.6 +16.1
  Jan 29, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 49-65 19%     13 - 7 3 - 6 +4.2 -4.4 +6.5
  Feb 02, 2019 90   Rutgers W 76-62 78%     14 - 7 4 - 6 +16.8 +20.3 -1.1
  Feb 07, 2019 57   Penn St. W 74-70 70%     15 - 7 5 - 6 +9.3 +5.0 +4.3
  Feb 10, 2019 45   @ Indiana W 55-52 44%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +15.3 -0.5 +16.4
  Feb 14, 2019 56   Illinois L 56-63 70%     16 - 8 6 - 7 -1.5 -11.1 +9.2
  Feb 17, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. L 44-62 13%     16 - 9 6 - 8 +5.0 -13.1 +16.3
  Feb 20, 2019 63   Northwestern W 66-60 73%    
  Feb 23, 2019 21   @ Maryland L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 26, 2019 26   Iowa W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 65-74 20%    
  Mar 06, 2019 63   @ Northwestern W 63-62 51%    
  Mar 10, 2019 15   Wisconsin L 60-62 43%    
Projected Record 18.7 - 12.3 8.7 - 11.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 2.7 0.3 4.8 6th
7th 0.1 5.0 17.5 14.8 2.7 0.0 40.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 13.4 10.9 1.6 0.0 27.6 8th
9th 0.2 6.7 9.0 1.5 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.7 4.4 0.8 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 1.1 1.0 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.8 0.1 0.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 2.9 14.1 28.2 30.1 18.2 5.7 0.8 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.8% 100.0% 3.7% 96.3% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9 5.7% 99.6% 1.9% 97.8% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
10-10 18.2% 98.2% 1.8% 96.3% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.1 5.4 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 98.1%
9-11 30.1% 83.0% 1.3% 81.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.3 7.6 7.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 5.1 82.7%
8-12 28.2% 44.4% 0.8% 43.6% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 4.2 4.9 1.6 0.1 15.7 43.9%
7-13 14.1% 10.0% 0.5% 9.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 12.7 9.6%
6-14 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.7%
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 63.3% 1.2% 62.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 5.5 8.9 10.8 11.7 13.0 8.5 2.4 0.2 36.7 62.8%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 21.4 35.7 39.3 3.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 4.9 4.4 28.9 40.0 22.2 4.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 5.7 1.3 9.7 31.0 36.8 16.1 4.5 0.6
Lose Out 1.4%