Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#73
Achievement Rating+2.9#140
Pace72.8#115
Improvement+0.0#174

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#117
First Shot+4.5#59
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks+3.0#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#76
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement+0.2#147

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#50
First Shot+7.1#20
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#304
Layups/Dunks+3.9#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#268
Freethrows+2.5#56
Improvement-0.2#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 20.3% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.0% 19.1% 8.3%
Average Seed 9.3 8.9 9.6
.500 or above 16.5% 29.8% 12.1%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 20.1% 12.7%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 35.2% 28.0% 37.5%
First Four2.6% 3.9% 2.2%
First Round10.5% 18.4% 7.9%
Second Round4.7% 8.6% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 2.3% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Neutral) - 24.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 309   @ Charlotte L 64-66 88%     0 - 1 -7.7 -10.3 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2018 188   Texas San Antonio W 82-60 86%     1 - 1 +17.5 +3.9 +12.4
  Nov 18, 2018 122   College of Charleston W 70-58 74%     2 - 1 +12.3 -1.3 +13.8
  Nov 22, 2018 116   Memphis W 84-64 61%     3 - 1 +24.0 +4.9 +17.3
  Nov 23, 2018 21   Villanova L 58-77 27%     3 - 2 -5.7 -1.9 -6.5
  Nov 25, 2018 53   LSU W 90-77 41%     4 - 2 +22.2 +12.1 +9.2
  Nov 30, 2018 57   Minnesota L 76-83 43%     4 - 3 +1.6 +1.3 +0.9
  Dec 05, 2018 118   @ Tulsa L 71-74 51%     4 - 4 +3.8 -0.5 +4.3
  Dec 08, 2018 33   Houston L 53-63 42%     4 - 5 -1.0 -11.2 +9.7
  Dec 16, 2018 17   Nebraska L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 21, 2018 278   Central Arkansas W 85-69 94%    
  Dec 29, 2018 298   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-58 95%    
  Jan 02, 2019 22   Iowa St. L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 05, 2019 25   @ Oklahoma L 71-80 20%    
  Jan 08, 2019 46   Texas W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 12, 2019 38   @ West Virginia L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 14, 2019 82   Baylor W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 19, 2019 22   @ Iowa St. L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 23, 2019 25   Oklahoma L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 26, 2019 117   South Carolina W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 02, 2019 28   Kansas St. L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 06, 2019 30   @ TCU L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 09, 2019 5   @ Kansas L 67-82 9%    
  Feb 13, 2019 12   Texas Tech L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 16, 2019 46   @ Texas L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 18, 2019 30   TCU L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 28   @ Kansas St. L 62-71 22%    
  Feb 27, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 61-73 15%    
  Mar 02, 2019 5   Kansas L 70-79 22%    
  Mar 06, 2019 82   @ Baylor L 67-69 42%    
  Mar 09, 2019 38   West Virginia L 73-74 45%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 18.4 5.8 - 12.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.9 0.9 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 1.6 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.8 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.5 7.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 6.8 8.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 22.8 9th
10th 0.6 2.6 5.6 7.2 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 24.3 10th
Total 0.6 2.6 6.1 10.2 13.6 15.5 14.9 12.6 9.5 6.5 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 93.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 67.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 40.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 12.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 99.5% 16.5% 83.0% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-5 0.5% 98.1% 9.2% 89.0% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
12-6 1.1% 93.8% 6.0% 87.7% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.4%
11-7 2.2% 85.2% 5.9% 79.2% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 84.2%
10-8 4.1% 70.0% 3.8% 66.1% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 68.8%
9-9 6.5% 49.2% 2.8% 46.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 47.7%
8-10 9.5% 17.2% 1.6% 15.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.8 15.9%
7-11 12.6% 3.3% 0.9% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.2 2.5%
6-12 14.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.7 0.3%
5-13 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4 0.0%
4-14 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
3-15 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
2-16 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
1-17 2.6% 2.6
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 11.9% 1.0% 10.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 88.1 11.0%