Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#86
Achievement Rating+5.2#103
Pace65.0#290
Improvement-1.7#259

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#79
First Shot+2.7#96
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#107
Layup/Dunks+1.6#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#88
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement+2.7#50

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#113
First Shot+2.7#91
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#233
Layups/Dunks+2.6#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#317
Freethrows+0.6#132
Improvement-4.5#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 11.9 13.6
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.0% 15.8% 37.6%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 287   @ Charlotte L 64-66 83%     0 - 1 -6.4 -7.6 +1.2
  Nov 14, 2018 134   Texas San Antonio W 82-60 73%     1 - 1 +21.4 +3.8 +16.5
  Nov 18, 2018 123   College of Charleston W 70-58 70%     2 - 1 +12.5 -2.8 +15.6
  Nov 22, 2018 76   Memphis W 84-64 48%     3 - 1 +26.4 +6.0 +18.6
  Nov 23, 2018 19   Villanova L 58-77 19%     3 - 2 -4.0 -2.2 -4.5
  Nov 25, 2018 22   LSU W 90-77 21%     4 - 2 +27.4 +15.1 +11.4
  Nov 30, 2018 43   Minnesota L 76-83 35%     4 - 3 +2.7 +1.8 +1.5
  Dec 05, 2018 96   @ Tulsa L 71-74 42%     4 - 4 +4.8 +1.3 +3.6
  Dec 08, 2018 20   Houston L 53-63 27%     4 - 5 +2.2 -9.5 +11.1
  Dec 16, 2018 35   Nebraska L 56-79 29%     4 - 6 -11.5 -9.5 -2.3
  Dec 21, 2018 302   Central Arkansas W 82-73 93%     5 - 6 -1.8 +1.4 -3.4
  Dec 29, 2018 282   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-59 92%     6 - 6 +0.5 -3.0 +4.0
  Jan 02, 2019 12   Iowa St. L 63-69 23%     6 - 7 0 - 1 +7.4 -1.0 +8.1
  Jan 05, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma L 64-74 21%     6 - 8 0 - 2 +4.4 -2.5 +7.3
  Jan 08, 2019 27   Texas W 61-58 34%     7 - 8 1 - 2 +13.2 -1.9 +15.3
  Jan 12, 2019 105   @ West Virginia W 85-77 44%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +15.4 +19.5 -3.8
  Jan 14, 2019 33   Baylor L 69-73 38%     8 - 9 2 - 3 +4.9 +8.0 -3.5
  Jan 19, 2019 12   @ Iowa St. L 59-72 11%     8 - 10 2 - 4 +6.0 +2.0 +2.1
  Jan 23, 2019 34   Oklahoma L 61-70 39%     8 - 11 2 - 5 -0.2 +4.0 -5.6
  Jan 26, 2019 74   South Carolina W 74-70 58%     9 - 11 +7.9 +6.1 +2.0
  Feb 02, 2019 25   Kansas St. L 57-75 33%     9 - 12 2 - 6 -7.5 +3.7 -14.7
  Feb 06, 2019 37   @ TCU L 68-70 22%     9 - 13 2 - 7 +12.0 +8.2 +3.7
  Feb 09, 2019 11   @ Kansas L 72-84 11%     9 - 14 2 - 8 +7.2 +17.8 -12.0
  Feb 13, 2019 9   Texas Tech L 50-78 21%     9 - 15 2 - 9 -13.8 -4.1 -13.7
  Feb 16, 2019 27   @ Texas L 57-69 18%     9 - 16 2 - 10 +3.7 +1.8 -0.2
  Feb 18, 2019 37   TCU W 68-61 40%     10 - 16 3 - 10 +15.5 +4.5 +11.6
  Feb 23, 2019 25   @ Kansas St. L 58-68 16%    
  Feb 27, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 57-71 9%    
  Mar 02, 2019 11   Kansas L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 06, 2019 33   @ Baylor L 64-73 20%    
  Mar 09, 2019 105   West Virginia W 74-70 66%    
Projected Record 11.4 - 19.6 4.4 - 13.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.8 6.6 4.9 0.6 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 5.8 37.8 22.3 3.3 0.1 69.3 9th
10th 11.4 4.0 0.1 15.6 10th
Total 17.2 42.7 29.3 9.4 1.4 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.1% 25.3% 2.3% 23.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 23.5%
7-11 1.4% 1.5% 0.4% 1.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.2%
6-12 9.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.0%
5-13 29.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.2
4-14 42.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.6
3-15 17.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.8%