Old Dominion
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#111
Achievement Rating+7.8#72
Pace62.6#327
Improvement-0.5#208

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#180
First Shot-1.9#235
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#56
Layup/Dunks-2.7#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement+2.5#57

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#65
First Shot+2.5#96
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#43
Layups/Dunks+3.1#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#281
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-3.0#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 33.8% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round21.6% 33.8% 0.0%
Second Round2.8% 4.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Away) - 91.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 301   Navy W 67-44 91%     1 - 0 +12.3 -4.0 +18.2
  Nov 09, 2018 182   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-79 61%     1 - 1 -13.6 -5.7 -8.7
  Nov 16, 2018 75   Oregon St. L 56-61 41%     1 - 2 +1.6 -8.7 +9.8
  Nov 17, 2018 341   Kennesaw St. W 65-47 94%     2 - 2 +4.1 -12.7 +16.9
  Nov 19, 2018 180   Northern Iowa L 53-54 70%     2 - 3 -2.2 -13.3 +10.9
  Nov 23, 2018 180   Northern Iowa W 72-65 78%     3 - 3 +3.0 +2.7 +0.9
  Nov 28, 2018 47   Virginia Commonwealth W 62-52 41%     4 - 3 +16.6 +2.1 +15.3
  Dec 01, 2018 258   James Madison W 67-42 88%     5 - 3 +16.6 -3.5 +22.9
  Dec 05, 2018 204   William & Mary W 71-53 81%     6 - 3 +12.6 -2.2 +15.9
  Dec 09, 2018 286   Fairfield W 79-69 90%     7 - 3 +0.2 +7.1 -6.4
  Dec 15, 2018 40   @ Syracuse W 68-62 18%     8 - 3 +19.7 +7.0 +13.0
  Dec 19, 2018 179   @ Richmond W 63-54 60%     9 - 3 +10.6 -2.8 +14.8
  Dec 22, 2018 334   Morgan St. W 76-53 95%     10 - 3 +7.9 -3.4 +11.0
  Jan 03, 2019 202   Marshall L 67-70 81%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -8.2 +1.3 -10.1
  Jan 05, 2019 122   Western Kentucky W 69-66 63%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +3.6 -0.1 +3.8
  Jan 10, 2019 168   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-80 56%     11 - 5 1 - 2 -4.5 +11.2 -16.3
  Jan 12, 2019 223   @ Florida International W 75-74 69%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +0.1 -3.7 +3.8
  Jan 17, 2019 136   Louisiana Tech W 64-63 68%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +0.3 -5.8 +6.2
  Jan 19, 2019 127   Southern Miss W 78-60 64%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +18.4 +14.5 +5.9
  Jan 21, 2019 287   @ Charlotte W 76-70 79%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +1.6 +7.0 -5.2
  Jan 24, 2019 266   @ UTEP W 50-48 76%     16 - 5 6 - 2 -1.1 -17.2 +16.1
  Jan 26, 2019 134   @ Texas San Antonio L 73-74 47%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +4.0 -2.1 +6.2
  Jan 31, 2019 138   North Texas W 72-61 69%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +10.2 +3.6 +7.0
  Feb 02, 2019 254   Rice W 80-76 87%     18 - 6 8 - 3 -4.3 +4.0 -8.1
  Feb 07, 2019 162   @ UAB W 70-59 56%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +13.6 +10.5 +5.1
  Feb 09, 2019 244   @ Middle Tennessee W 55-50 73%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +2.9 -7.8 +11.6
  Feb 16, 2019 287   Charlotte W 73-60 90%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +3.1 +1.5 +2.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 6.0 11.0 - 3.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.9 7.7 11.1 1.8 0.0 78.4 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.9 7.7 11.1 1.8 0.0 78.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.6% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 4.2 35.8 51.3 8.6 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.3% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 26.9% 0.0% 13.0 0.0
Lose Out 36.3% 0.0% 13.0 0.0