Old Dominion
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#105
Achievement Rating+4.0#131
Pace62.4#335
Improvement+3.3#13

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot-3.1#267
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#77
Layup/Dunks-4.6#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#97
Freethrows-2.0#279
Improvement+2.6#17

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#32
First Shot+2.5#96
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#11
Layups/Dunks+3.1#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#269
Freethrows+1.8#85
Improvement+0.7#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.6% 27.1% 19.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 3.3% 0.6%
Average Seed 12.9 12.2 13.0
.500 or above 98.8% 99.8% 98.5%
.500 or above in Conference 95.1% 97.3% 94.7%
Conference Champion 32.8% 40.6% 31.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.6% 1.7% 0.5%
First Round20.2% 26.1% 19.1%
Second Round3.8% 6.1% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 311   Navy W 67-44 93%     1 - 0 +11.1 -5.6 +18.4
  Nov 09, 2018 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-79 38%     1 - 1 -7.1 -3.6 -4.4
  Nov 16, 2018 64   Oregon St. L 56-61 39%     1 - 2 +2.5 -7.1 +9.0
  Nov 17, 2018 343   Kennesaw St. W 65-47 95%     2 - 2 +4.0 -10.6 +14.8
  Nov 19, 2018 174   Northern Iowa L 53-54 70%     2 - 3 -1.9 -11.0 +8.9
  Nov 23, 2018 174   Northern Iowa W 72-65 79%     3 - 3 +3.1 +4.9 -1.3
  Nov 28, 2018 80   Virginia Commonwealth W 62-52 55%     4 - 3 +13.5 +1.6 +12.6
  Dec 01, 2018 233   James Madison W 67-42 87%     5 - 3 +17.5 -1.3 +21.6
  Dec 05, 2018 198   William & Mary W 71-53 82%     6 - 3 +12.8 -5.0 +18.8
  Dec 09, 2018 245   Fairfield W 79-69 88%     7 - 3 +2.0 +4.2 -1.7
  Dec 15, 2018 31   @ Syracuse L 55-66 16%    
  Dec 19, 2018 172   @ Richmond W 67-65 59%    
  Dec 22, 2018 312   Morgan St. W 74-57 94%    
  Jan 03, 2019 131   Marshall W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 05, 2019 85   Western Kentucky W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 10, 2019 209   @ Florida Atlantic W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 12, 2019 229   @ Florida International W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 17, 2019 138   Louisiana Tech W 69-63 70%    
  Jan 19, 2019 148   Southern Miss W 66-59 73%    
  Jan 21, 2019 307   @ Charlotte W 66-56 82%    
  Jan 24, 2019 214   @ UTEP W 64-59 67%    
  Jan 26, 2019 187   @ Texas San Antonio W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 31, 2019 124   North Texas W 65-61 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 315   Rice W 76-59 93%    
  Feb 07, 2019 216   @ UAB W 66-61 67%    
  Feb 09, 2019 252   @ Middle Tennessee W 65-58 73%    
  Feb 16, 2019 307   Charlotte W 69-53 93%    
Projected Record 18.7 - 8.3 10.1 - 3.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.8 8.3 12.1 8.1 2.4 32.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 7.5 8.9 2.6 0.1 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.9 7.2 1.8 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 6.2 1.9 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.1 2.5 0.1 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 3.1 0.3 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 0.8 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.2 1.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 6.3 10.5 15.3 18.5 19.0 14.8 8.3 2.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.4    2.4
13-1 98.4% 8.1    7.1 1.0 0.0
12-2 81.9% 12.1    7.3 4.2 0.6 0.0
11-3 43.4% 8.3    2.2 3.8 1.9 0.4 0.0
10-4 9.6% 1.8    0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 32.8% 32.8 19.2 9.4 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.4% 53.0% 42.0% 11.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 18.9%
13-1 8.3% 39.8% 35.7% 4.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0 6.4%
12-2 14.8% 30.5% 29.5% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 10.3 1.4%
11-3 19.0% 24.7% 24.5% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 14.3 0.3%
10-4 18.5% 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 15.1 0.0%
9-5 15.3% 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 13.3 0.0%
8-6 10.5% 8.3% 8.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 9.7
7-7 6.3% 5.5% 5.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.0
6-8 3.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
5-9 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.2
4-10 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-11 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.6% 19.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.0 6.1 4.7 1.8 0.2 79.4 1.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 9.5 1.0 3.0 7.1 17.2 14.1 25.3 26.8 5.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 44.9% 10.4 2.2 3.4 3.4 15.7 11.2 6.7 1.1 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 33.3% 10.9 1.0 1.0 10.1 11.1 8.1 1.0 1.0