Oregon St.
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#67
Achievement Rating+9.1#75
Pace64.4#312
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#78
First Shot-1.6#232
After Offensive Rebound+5.5#4
Layup/Dunks+7.8#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#259
Freethrows-2.7#304
Improvement+1.0#93

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#77
First Shot+2.4#105
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#100
Layups/Dunks-1.9#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows+2.1#72
Improvement-1.1#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.5% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.2% 33.7% 18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.7% 28.8% 15.0%
Average Seed 9.2 9.0 9.7
.500 or above 84.8% 91.2% 76.7%
.500 or above in Conference 56.8% 61.7% 50.3%
Conference Champion 5.6% 6.9% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.3% 4.0%
First Four5.4% 6.1% 4.4%
First Round24.3% 30.3% 16.4%
Second Round10.8% 13.8% 6.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 4.0% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Neutral) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 293   UC Riverside W 72-59 94%     1 - 0 +2.6 +1.1 +2.7
  Nov 10, 2018 222   Wyoming W 83-64 90%     2 - 0 +12.5 +7.3 +5.3
  Nov 16, 2018 105   Old Dominion W 61-56 61%     3 - 0 +9.7 +1.1 +9.1
  Nov 18, 2018 85   Missouri L 63-69 55%     3 - 1 +0.1 -3.8 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2018 92   Penn W 74-58 57%     4 - 1 +21.7 +6.2 +16.0
  Nov 25, 2018 197   @ Long Beach St. W 75-72 74%     5 - 1 +3.8 +2.6 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2018 193   Missouri St. W 101-77 87%     6 - 1 +19.0 +23.3 -4.5
  Dec 09, 2018 80   @ Saint Louis L 61-65 42%     6 - 2 +5.5 +0.4 +4.9
  Dec 15, 2018 90   Texas A&M W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 17, 2018 225   Pepperdine W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 21, 2018 143   Kent St. W 76-67 80%    
  Dec 29, 2018 264   Central Connecticut St. W 78-62 93%    
  Jan 05, 2019 33   @ Oregon L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 10, 2019 95   USC W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 13, 2019 44   UCLA W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 17, 2019 37   @ Arizona St. L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 19, 2019 40   @ Arizona L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 24, 2019 177   Washington St. W 81-69 85%    
  Jan 26, 2019 53   Washington W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 31, 2019 59   @ Colorado L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 02, 2019 133   @ Utah W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 07, 2019 96   Stanford W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 09, 2019 178   California W 75-63 85%    
  Feb 16, 2019 33   Oregon L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 21, 2019 44   @ UCLA L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 23, 2019 95   @ USC L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 28, 2019 40   Arizona L 69-70 49%    
  Mar 03, 2019 37   Arizona St. L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 06, 2019 53   @ Washington L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 09, 2019 177   @ Washington St. W 78-72 69%    
Projected Record 18.2 - 11.8 9.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.8 1.5 0.1 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.6 0.7 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.8 4.7 1.0 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 4.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.3 8.3 11.4 13.4 13.9 13.3 11.1 8.1 5.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 98.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 89.1% 1.2    1.0 0.3 0.0
14-4 61.6% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.7% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 99.2% 38.4% 60.8% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
16-2 0.5% 98.4% 24.7% 73.7% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
15-3 1.4% 96.7% 23.8% 73.0% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.7%
14-4 3.0% 92.7% 20.9% 71.8% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 90.8%
13-5 5.3% 83.4% 15.4% 68.0% 8.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 80.3%
12-6 8.1% 69.3% 12.9% 56.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 64.7%
11-7 11.1% 49.5% 8.8% 40.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.6 44.7%
10-8 13.3% 30.4% 6.0% 24.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.2 26.0%
9-9 13.9% 14.5% 3.6% 10.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 11.9 11.3%
8-10 13.4% 3.8% 1.9% 1.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.9 1.9%
7-11 11.4% 1.6% 1.4% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.2%
6-12 8.3% 0.9% 0.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
5-13 5.3% 0.6% 0.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 27.2% 5.8% 21.4% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.9 5.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 72.8 22.7%