Penn St.
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#57
Achievement Rating+4.3#113
Pace68.3#201
Improvement+0.5#163

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#114
First Shot+1.2#147
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#99
Layup/Dunks-0.6#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows+1.0#112
Improvement+2.3#65

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#35
First Shot+3.5#67
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#9
Layups/Dunks+2.0#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#49
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement-1.8#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 11.7 13.9
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 70.8% 57.0% 83.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Home) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 219   North Florida W 87-72 90%     1 - 0 +8.8 -0.1 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2018 131   Jacksonville St. W 76-61 78%     2 - 0 +15.0 +8.8 +6.9
  Nov 15, 2018 97   @ DePaul L 70-72 51%     2 - 1 +5.8 -6.9 +12.9
  Nov 20, 2018 142   Wright St. W 77-59 73%     3 - 1 +19.7 +8.6 +12.0
  Nov 21, 2018 162   Bradley L 56-59 78%     3 - 2 -2.9 -8.3 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2018 15   Virginia Tech W 63-62 32%     4 - 2 +13.9 +1.9 +12.1
  Dec 01, 2018 20   @ Maryland L 59-66 19%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +10.2 +0.5 +9.0
  Dec 04, 2018 46   Indiana L 62-64 55%     4 - 4 0 - 2 +4.8 -6.9 +11.7
  Dec 08, 2018 156   Colgate W 76-65 83%     5 - 4 +8.8 -0.4 +9.2
  Dec 15, 2018 32   North Carolina St. L 78-89 35%     5 - 5 +0.8 +0.6 +1.5
  Dec 19, 2018 153   @ Duquesne W 73-67 67%     6 - 5 +9.4 +1.6 +7.7
  Dec 21, 2018 45   @ Alabama L 64-73 34%     6 - 6 +3.3 -2.8 +6.1
  Dec 29, 2018 213   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-52 90%     7 - 6 +16.0 +17.9 +2.8
  Jan 03, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 55-68 13%     7 - 7 0 - 3 +7.2 -6.2 +13.6
  Jan 06, 2019 14   Wisconsin L 52-71 32%     7 - 8 0 - 4 -6.0 -6.5 -1.6
  Jan 10, 2019 36   @ Nebraska L 64-70 28%     7 - 9 0 - 5 +8.1 +7.3 +0.0
  Jan 13, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 56-71 19%     7 - 10 0 - 6 +2.3 -6.8 +8.5
  Jan 16, 2019 28   Iowa L 82-89 42%     7 - 11 0 - 7 +3.2 +4.0 -0.4
  Jan 19, 2019 43   @ Minnesota L 64-65 34%     7 - 12 0 - 8 +11.4 +1.0 +10.3
  Jan 26, 2019 90   Rutgers L 60-64 69%     7 - 13 0 - 9 -1.2 -7.7 +6.4
  Jan 31, 2019 10   Purdue L 90-99 29%     7 - 14 0 - 10 +4.8 +17.9 -12.8
  Feb 04, 2019 63   @ Northwestern W 59-52 42%     8 - 14 1 - 10 +17.1 -2.1 +19.6
  Feb 07, 2019 40   @ Ohio St. L 70-74 29%     8 - 15 1 - 11 +9.7 +4.4 +5.3
  Feb 12, 2019 8   Michigan W 75-69 26%     9 - 15 2 - 11 +20.8 +16.5 +4.6
  Feb 16, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 64-76 15%     9 - 16 2 - 12 +7.3 -4.1 +11.7
  Feb 19, 2019 36   Nebraska L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 23, 2019 58   @ Illinois L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 27, 2019 20   Maryland L 66-70 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin L 57-67 16%    
  Mar 06, 2019 90   @ Rutgers L 66-67 49%    
  Mar 10, 2019 58   Illinois W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 11.5 - 19.5 4.5 - 15.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 0.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 0.2 1.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.7 2.3 0.1 5.0 10th
11th 1.2 6.6 0.6 8.4 11th
12th 0.4 7.4 5.2 0.1 13.2 12th
13th 1.3 9.2 13.2 1.3 25.0 13th
14th 4.5 15.7 19.7 6.1 0.1 46.1 14th
Total 4.5 17.0 29.3 28.1 15.9 4.7 0.6 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.6% 13.0% 13.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 13.0%
7-13 4.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 0.1%
6-14 15.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.9
5-15 28.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 28.0
4-16 29.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.3
3-17 17.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 17.0
2-18 4.5% 4.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.8%