Portland St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#235
Achievement Rating-3.2#209
Pace83.6#8
Improvement+1.7#63

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#244
First Shot-10.8#350
After Offensive Rebound+8.4#1
Layup/Dunks-3.7#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.6#351
Freethrows+1.2#115
Improvement+1.7#49

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#235
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#115
Layups/Dunks-6.0#334
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#4
Freethrows-4.1#329
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 7.2% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 36.0% 62.8% 33.7%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 66.8% 49.6%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.6% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 3.5% 7.6%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round3.8% 7.0% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 7.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 35   @ Oregon L 57-84 5%     0 - 1 -12.1 -3.9 -10.7
  Nov 10, 2018 293   UC Riverside W 71-64 71%     1 - 1 -3.3 -9.0 +5.4
  Nov 23, 2018 147   UC Santa Barbara L 69-76 30%     1 - 2 -6.1 -6.7 +1.2
  Nov 28, 2018 97   @ Stanford L 67-79 12%     1 - 3 -3.6 -7.9 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2018 270   Portland W 87-78 67%     2 - 3 -0.1 +5.1 -5.5
  Dec 12, 2018 66   @ BYU L 78-93 8%    
  Dec 15, 2018 135   Loyola Marymount L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 20, 2018 211   Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 31, 2018 138   Northern Colorado L 82-86 37%    
  Jan 03, 2019 313   @ Montana St. W 83-82 56%    
  Jan 05, 2019 112   @ Montana L 73-85 14%    
  Jan 12, 2019 154   Weber St. L 83-85 43%    
  Jan 17, 2019 253   @ Southern Utah L 82-84 42%    
  Jan 19, 2019 319   @ Northern Arizona W 83-81 58%    
  Jan 24, 2019 248   Eastern Washington W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 26, 2019 284   Idaho W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 31, 2019 154   @ Weber St. L 80-88 24%    
  Feb 02, 2019 245   @ Idaho St. L 80-83 41%    
  Feb 07, 2019 138   @ Northern Colorado L 79-89 20%    
  Feb 11, 2019 227   @ Sacramento St. L 77-80 38%    
  Feb 14, 2019 319   Northern Arizona W 86-78 77%    
  Feb 16, 2019 253   Southern Utah W 85-81 63%    
  Feb 21, 2019 245   Idaho St. W 83-80 62%    
  Feb 23, 2019 227   Sacramento St. W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 28, 2019 284   @ Idaho L 76-77 48%    
  Mar 02, 2019 248   @ Eastern Washington L 76-78 42%    
  Mar 07, 2019 112   Montana L 76-82 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 313   Montana St. W 86-79 74%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 15.4 9.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.3 4.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.0 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.0 4.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 3.6 0.9 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.7 0.7 0.1 8.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 4.7 7.0 9.2 11.0 12.0 12.1 11.1 9.4 7.3 5.1 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.6% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 83.0% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 53.9% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
15-5 28.5% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 42.4% 40.9% 1.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6%
18-2 0.3% 33.1% 33.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 23.4% 23.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.7% 21.1% 21.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
15-5 3.2% 17.5% 17.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.6
14-6 5.1% 12.2% 12.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.4
13-7 7.3% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 6.6
12-8 9.4% 6.6% 6.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 8.7
11-9 11.1% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.6
10-10 12.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.8
9-11 12.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.8
8-12 11.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
7-13 9.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
6-14 7.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-15 4.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-16 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-17 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.1 95.6 0.0%