Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#286
Achievement Rating-11.9#306
Pace75.8#63
Improvement-3.4#343

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#268
First Shot-1.9#236
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#267
Layup/Dunks-2.2#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#244
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement-1.0#267

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#278
First Shot-4.3#300
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#115
Layups/Dunks-3.3#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#105
Freethrows-3.9#331
Improvement-2.4#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.8% 21.9% 16.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 32.6% 52.2% 28.0%
.500 or above in Conference 89.4% 93.7% 88.4%
Conference Champion 22.0% 28.1% 20.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four16.0% 17.9% 15.5%
First Round9.6% 12.8% 8.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Away) - 18.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 273   @ Santa Clara W 81-64 36%     1 - 0 +13.8 +7.7 +6.1
  Nov 12, 2018 84   @ Baylor L 80-91 8%     1 - 1 -1.9 +11.1 -12.7
  Nov 14, 2018 221   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 57-70 27%     1 - 2 -13.5 -19.1 +6.9
  Nov 17, 2018 230   @ Lamar L 67-74 29%     1 - 3 -8.2 -4.9 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2018 94   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-74 8%     1 - 4 +0.6 -2.1 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2018 259   @ East Carolina L 64-76 34%     1 - 5 -14.6 -14.1 +0.8
  Nov 23, 2018 74   @ Georgia Tech L 54-65 7%     1 - 6 -1.1 -5.3 +3.3
  Dec 01, 2018 63   @ Murray St. L 67-83 6%     1 - 7 -5.1 +2.3 -7.5
  Dec 04, 2018 139   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-82 14%     1 - 8 -9.0 -6.6 -2.1
  Dec 11, 2018 115   @ Louisiana L 90-122 10%     1 - 9 -25.0 -2.4 -14.5
  Dec 20, 2018 170   @ Seattle L 71-80 19%    
  Dec 29, 2018 181   @ Winthrop L 79-88 21%    
  Jan 05, 2019 333   @ Southern W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 07, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 12, 2019 220   Texas Southern L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 336   Jackson St. W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 21, 2019 288   Grambling St. W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 346   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-73 72%    
  Jan 28, 2019 323   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 02, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 77-63 90%    
  Feb 04, 2019 321   Alabama St. W 78-72 72%    
  Feb 09, 2019 220   @ Texas Southern L 79-85 28%    
  Feb 16, 2019 336   @ Jackson St. W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 18, 2019 288   @ Grambling St. L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 23, 2019 346   Mississippi Valley W 82-70 86%    
  Feb 25, 2019 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-69 73%    
  Mar 02, 2019 351   @ Alabama A&M W 74-66 76%    
  Mar 04, 2019 321   @ Alabama St. W 76-75 51%    
  Mar 07, 2019 333   Southern W 81-73 76%    
  Mar 09, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 78-66 86%    
Projected Record 13.2 - 16.8 11.8 - 6.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.1 5.8 6.3 4.1 1.6 0.3 22.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.3 8.6 5.5 1.8 0.2 24.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.9 7.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 19.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.3 4.6 1.3 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 5.2 8.0 11.0 14.1 15.4 14.7 11.8 8.1 4.3 1.6 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.6    1.5 0.0
16-2 95.2% 4.1    3.6 0.5
15-3 77.2% 6.3    4.5 1.7 0.1
14-4 49.3% 5.8    2.9 2.5 0.4 0.0
13-5 20.8% 3.1    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.0% 22.0 13.8 6.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 52.0% 52.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
17-1 1.6% 45.4% 45.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9
16-2 4.3% 37.5% 37.5% 15.9 0.1 1.5 2.7
15-3 8.1% 31.8% 31.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5 5.6
14-4 11.8% 26.3% 26.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1 8.7
13-5 14.7% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 3.1 11.6
12-6 15.4% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 2.5 12.9
11-7 14.1% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 1.7 12.4
10-8 11.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 1.1 9.9
9-9 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.6 7.4
8-10 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.3 4.9
7-11 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.1 2.8
6-12 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 17.3 82.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 14.4 6.5 51.6 41.9