Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#265
Achievement Rating-2.6#201
Pace76.2#40
Improvement+2.3#75

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#264
First Shot-3.1#273
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#168
Layup/Dunks-0.7#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#319
Freethrows+1.4#81
Improvement+2.5#60

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#248
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#273
Layups/Dunks-0.8#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#103
Freethrows-3.9#348
Improvement-0.1#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.2% 27.6% 22.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 96.4% 97.4% 84.5%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 96.6% 97.5% 86.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four17.2% 16.9% 20.2%
First Round18.2% 18.8% 12.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 91.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 189   @ Santa Clara W 81-64 25%     1 - 0 +18.0 +10.3 +7.7
  Nov 12, 2018 33   @ Baylor L 80-91 4%     1 - 1 +3.5 +11.5 -7.8
  Nov 14, 2018 186   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 57-70 25%     1 - 2 -11.8 -16.4 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2018 245   @ Lamar L 67-74 36%     1 - 3 -9.1 -6.1 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2018 110   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-74 12%     1 - 4 -1.1 -1.8 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2018 267   @ East Carolina L 64-76 40%     1 - 5 -15.2 -15.0 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2018 108   @ Georgia Tech L 54-65 12%     1 - 6 -3.9 -5.7 +1.0
  Dec 01, 2018 71   @ Murray St. L 67-83 8%     1 - 7 -6.3 -2.0 -4.5
  Dec 04, 2018 136   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-82 16%     1 - 8 -9.1 -2.7 -6.1
  Dec 11, 2018 185   @ Louisiana L 90-122 25%     1 - 9 -30.8 -7.5 -15.1
  Dec 20, 2018 193   @ Seattle L 64-102 26%     1 - 10 -37.2 -9.3 -26.1
  Dec 29, 2018 177   @ Winthrop L 62-76 23%     1 - 11 -12.0 -12.2 +0.3
  Jan 05, 2019 342   @ Southern W 82-73 71%     2 - 11 1 - 0 -2.7 +0.9 -3.9
  Jan 07, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. W 57-54 78%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -11.0 -20.0 +9.0
  Jan 12, 2019 228   Texas Southern W 79-73 54%     4 - 11 3 - 0 -0.9 -8.3 +6.7
  Jan 19, 2019 333   Jackson St. W 55-51 80%     5 - 11 4 - 0 -10.8 -14.5 +4.1
  Jan 21, 2019 284   Grambling St. W 83-66 64%     6 - 11 5 - 0 +7.3 +4.5 +1.8
  Jan 26, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley W 89-78 80%     7 - 11 6 - 0 -3.9 +2.0 -6.9
  Jan 28, 2019 330   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-63 60%     8 - 11 7 - 0 +7.4 -5.2 +11.0
  Feb 02, 2019 346   Alabama A&M W 81-65 87%     9 - 11 8 - 0 -1.8 +14.9 -14.3
  Feb 04, 2019 320   Alabama St. W 69-67 75%     10 - 11 9 - 0 -10.8 -7.7 -3.1
  Feb 09, 2019 228   @ Texas Southern L 90-95 33%     10 - 12 9 - 1 -6.4 +4.1 -9.8
  Feb 16, 2019 333   @ Jackson St. W 79-66 63%     11 - 12 10 - 1 +3.7 +5.6 -2.0
  Feb 18, 2019 284   @ Grambling St. W 92-87 43%     12 - 12 11 - 1 +0.8 +3.4 -3.5
  Feb 23, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 82-67 92%    
  Feb 25, 2019 330   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-69 79%    
  Mar 02, 2019 346   @ Alabama A&M W 73-67 72%    
  Mar 04, 2019 320   @ Alabama St. W 73-72 54%    
  Mar 07, 2019 342   Southern W 79-68 86%    
  Mar 09, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 77-63 90%    
Projected Record 16.7 - 13.3 15.7 - 2.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 7.0 26.0 39.1 23.7 96.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.9 9.1 26.0 39.1 23.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 23.7    23.7
16-2 100.0% 39.1    39.1
15-3 100.0% 26.0    20.2 5.8
14-4 77.4% 7.0    3.5 3.4 0.1
13-5 38.7% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 96.6% 96.6 86.7 9.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 23.7% 32.1% 32.1% 15.7 0.1 2.5 5.1 16.1
16-2 39.1% 28.0% 28.0% 16.0 0.3 10.7 28.2
15-3 26.0% 24.2% 24.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3 19.7
14-4 9.1% 21.4% 21.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9 7.1
13-5 1.9% 17.6% 17.6% 16.0 0.3 1.5
12-6 0.2% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 27.2% 27.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 2.8 24.3 72.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.6% 100.0% 15.7 0.7 32.4 66.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.5%