Purdue Fort Wayne
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#199
Achievement Rating-3.6#211
Pace79.2#28
Improvement+2.3#33

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#157
First Shot+1.7#129
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#239
Layup/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#45
Freethrows-1.4#255
Improvement+1.2#76

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#263
First Shot-4.2#297
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#86
Layups/Dunks-4.0#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#327
Freethrows+3.6#20
Improvement+1.1#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 10.4% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 48.4% 63.6% 39.1%
.500 or above in Conference 69.6% 75.3% 66.1%
Conference Champion 7.4% 9.3% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.9% 4.8%
First Four2.8% 2.6% 3.0%
First Round7.3% 9.3% 6.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Away) - 37.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 44   @ UCLA L 71-96 8%     0 - 1 -11.8 -7.5 +0.0
  Nov 11, 2018 14   @ Ohio St. L 61-107 4%     0 - 2 -28.4 -5.9 -19.8
  Nov 16, 2018 70   @ Dayton L 80-91 13%     0 - 3 -1.0 +6.6 -7.0
  Nov 20, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 72-68 90%     1 - 3 -12.6 -12.2 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2018 189   Samford L 66-74 59%     1 - 4 -12.7 -7.8 -5.0
  Nov 25, 2018 257   @ Cleveland St. W 82-79 50%     2 - 4 +0.7 -1.4 +1.7
  Nov 28, 2018 318   @ Eastern Illinois W 104-60 67%     3 - 4 +37.3 +22.8 +12.1
  Dec 01, 2018 267   UMKC L 73-90 74%     3 - 5 -26.0 -1.7 -24.8
  Dec 05, 2018 131   Akron W 68-65 42%     4 - 5 +2.7 -5.8 +8.5
  Dec 08, 2018 151   @ Miami (OH) L 79-85 28%     4 - 6 -2.3 +5.5 -7.8
  Dec 15, 2018 196   @ Austin Peay L 79-82 38%    
  Dec 18, 2018 182   IUPUI W 80-78 58%    
  Dec 28, 2018 292   @ North Dakota W 80-78 58%    
  Dec 30, 2018 206   @ North Dakota St. L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 03, 2019 83   South Dakota St. L 81-87 30%    
  Jan 10, 2019 319   Oral Roberts W 85-74 83%    
  Jan 13, 2019 171   @ South Dakota L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 19, 2019 268   @ Western Illinois W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 24, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 84-79 68%    
  Jan 26, 2019 251   Denver W 81-75 70%    
  Jan 30, 2019 171   South Dakota W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 02, 2019 319   @ Oral Roberts W 82-77 66%    
  Feb 07, 2019 268   Western Illinois W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 14, 2019 251   @ Denver L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 16, 2019 232   @ Nebraska Omaha L 81-82 46%    
  Feb 21, 2019 83   @ South Dakota St. L 78-90 15%    
  Feb 28, 2019 292   North Dakota W 83-75 76%    
  Mar 02, 2019 206   North Dakota St. W 80-77 62%    
Projected Record 13.7 - 14.3 8.8 - 7.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.0 7.2 4.7 1.5 0.2 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.9 7.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 19.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.8 6.4 1.7 0.1 16.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.4 5.4 1.1 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.5 0.9 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.3 8.8 12.2 14.8 15.8 14.5 11.3 7.3 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 88.2% 1.3    1.0 0.3
13-3 60.5% 2.4    1.4 0.9 0.1
12-4 28.9% 2.1    0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 8.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 3.8 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 42.3% 42.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 28.3% 28.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.5% 26.2% 26.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1
13-3 3.9% 22.7% 22.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 3.0
12-4 7.3% 17.1% 17.1% 15.3 0.1 0.8 0.4 6.0
11-5 11.3% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5 0.0 0.6 0.8 9.7
10-6 14.5% 10.2% 10.2% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 13.0
9-7 15.8% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 14.7
8-8 14.8% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 14.0
7-9 12.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 11.8
6-10 8.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
5-11 5.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.2
4-12 2.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 5.1 91.5 0.0%