Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#140
Achievement Rating+0.5#159
Pace70.1#148
Improvement-4.1#323

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#214
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#69
Layup/Dunks+1.3#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#335
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement-0.5#211

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#89
First Shot+3.1#81
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#189
Layups/Dunks-0.5#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#57
Freethrows-1.5#269
Improvement-3.6#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.8% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 51.6% 80.3% 46.2%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 64.1% 22.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.5% 3.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 326   Bryant W 97-63 92%     1 - 0 +20.2 +6.6 +10.8
  Nov 13, 2018 123   @ College of Charleston L 55-66 34%     1 - 1 -5.0 -12.0 +6.1
  Nov 16, 2018 117   Harvard W 76-74 53%     2 - 1 +3.1 +5.6 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2018 170   Stony Brook L 58-68 68%     2 - 2 -13.1 -14.4 +1.5
  Nov 28, 2018 154   Brown W 71-51 65%     3 - 2 +17.8 -2.9 +19.8
  Dec 01, 2018 80   @ Providence L 50-59 25%     3 - 3 +0.0 -14.7 +14.5
  Dec 08, 2018 234   @ Holy Cross W 79-63 63%     4 - 3 +14.3 +7.1 +7.6
  Dec 16, 2018 105   West Virginia W 83-70 39%     5 - 3 +17.6 +4.3 +12.1
  Dec 22, 2018 146   Bucknell L 82-84 51%     5 - 4 -0.4 +0.6 -0.8
  Dec 23, 2018 287   Charlotte W 75-61 80%     6 - 4 +6.8 -0.6 +7.0
  Dec 25, 2018 160   @ Hawaii L 60-68 46%     6 - 5 -5.3 -7.5 +1.8
  Dec 30, 2018 244   Middle Tennessee W 72-60 81%     7 - 5 +4.4 +0.6 +4.4
  Jan 06, 2019 121   @ Saint Louis L 53-60 33%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -0.8 -10.9 +9.8
  Jan 09, 2019 179   @ Richmond W 78-67 51%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +12.6 +6.3 +6.8
  Jan 13, 2019 139   George Mason L 67-84 60%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -17.9 -5.9 -11.9
  Jan 16, 2019 133   St. Bonaventure W 75-63 59%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +11.5 +4.9 +6.6
  Jan 19, 2019 198   @ La Salle W 78-67 55%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +11.5 +3.7 +7.4
  Jan 23, 2019 47   Virginia Commonwealth W 71-65 32%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +12.6 +2.8 +9.5
  Jan 27, 2019 190   @ Massachusetts L 70-77 53%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -6.1 +4.8 -11.7
  Jan 30, 2019 152   @ Duquesne L 72-75 44%     11 - 9 4 - 4 +0.4 +2.9 -2.5
  Feb 02, 2019 121   Saint Louis W 65-54 54%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +11.7 +6.4 +7.0
  Feb 06, 2019 79   @ Davidson L 53-68 24%     12 - 10 5 - 5 -6.0 -7.1 -1.1
  Feb 09, 2019 72   Dayton L 48-77 41%     12 - 11 5 - 6 -24.9 -17.6 -11.8
  Feb 16, 2019 226   Fordham L 63-66 79%     12 - 12 5 - 7 -9.7 -14.7 +5.1
  Feb 19, 2019 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-71 16%    
  Feb 22, 2019 79   Davidson L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 26, 2019 256   George Washington W 72-62 83%    
  Mar 01, 2019 72   @ Dayton L 65-73 22%    
  Mar 05, 2019 182   @ Saint Joseph's W 72-71 50%    
  Mar 09, 2019 190   Massachusetts W 73-67 73%    
Projected Record 14.9 - 15.1 7.9 - 10.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 0.3 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 3.4 0.1 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.6 10.4 1.6 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 4.1 18.7 8.5 0.1 31.4 8th
9th 1.6 16.3 12.3 1.0 0.0 31.2 9th
10th 0.0 4.3 5.3 0.4 10.1 10th
11th 0.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.2 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 1.2 9.2 26.1 34.0 22.1 6.6 0.8 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.8% 7.7% 7.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 6.6% 5.6% 5.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.2
9-9 22.1% 3.6% 3.6% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 21.3
8-10 34.0% 2.4% 2.4% 14.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 33.2
7-11 26.1% 1.6% 1.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 25.7
6-12 9.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
5-13 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.2
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.3 1.6 13.1 47.5 31.1 6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.5%