Robert Morris
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#272
Achievement Rating-7.1#276
Pace67.8#207
Improvement+2.1#88

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#325
First Shot-5.8#320
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#237
Layup/Dunks-3.0#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#256
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement+1.8#93

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#161
First Shot-0.3#181
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#109
Layups/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#68
Freethrows-1.9#299
Improvement+0.3#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 12.9% 10.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 17.5% 24.7% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 92.9% 100.0% 81.9%
Conference Champion 7.3% 10.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.7% 11.3% 9.8%
First Round6.6% 7.4% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 78   @ USC L 62-83 8%     0 - 1 -12.0 -10.5 -0.2
  Nov 09, 2018 148   @ Missouri St. L 60-74 17%     0 - 2 -10.0 -16.4 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 68-59 90%     1 - 2 -11.4 -10.3 -0.8
  Nov 19, 2018 335   @ Stetson W 81-72 63%     2 - 2 -0.6 +3.8 -4.2
  Nov 23, 2018 10   @ Purdue L 46-84 2%     2 - 3 -18.6 -19.2 -0.7
  Nov 28, 2018 283   Youngstown St. W 76-56 63%     3 - 3 +10.4 +0.1 +11.4
  Dec 01, 2018 243   @ Drexel L 69-82 34%     3 - 4 -15.1 -8.8 -6.2
  Dec 05, 2018 247   @ Canisius L 62-68 35%     3 - 5 -8.3 -13.7 +5.5
  Dec 08, 2018 251   Siena L 71-74 57%     3 - 6 -11.1 +4.4 -16.0
  Dec 15, 2018 195   @ Rider L 50-69 25%     3 - 7 -18.3 -26.4 +9.9
  Dec 21, 2018 16   @ Louisville L 59-73 2%     3 - 8 +4.2 -0.2 +3.5
  Jan 03, 2019 250   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-62 57%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -1.1 -13.1 +11.8
  Jan 05, 2019 327   Mount St. Mary's W 62-59 77%     5 - 8 2 - 0 -11.0 -10.8 +0.0
  Jan 10, 2019 262   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 52-49 38%     6 - 8 3 - 0 -0.1 -11.7 +12.0
  Jan 12, 2019 270   @ LIU Brooklyn L 73-80 39%     6 - 9 3 - 1 -10.5 -4.6 -5.6
  Jan 19, 2019 326   @ Bryant W 79-65 58%     7 - 9 4 - 1 +5.7 +1.8 +4.3
  Jan 21, 2019 305   @ Central Connecticut St. W 70-59 47%     8 - 9 5 - 1 +5.4 -3.6 +9.4
  Jan 24, 2019 255   Sacred Heart W 72-64 58%     9 - 9 6 - 1 -0.3 -9.0 +8.5
  Jan 26, 2019 275   Wagner W 57-51 61%     10 - 9 7 - 1 -3.3 -8.1 +5.8
  Jan 31, 2019 240   St. Francis (PA) L 73-76 54%     10 - 10 7 - 2 -10.4 -3.5 -7.0
  Feb 02, 2019 250   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 94-97 36%     10 - 11 7 - 3 -5.5 +2.4 -7.5
  Feb 07, 2019 326   Bryant W 72-59 76%     11 - 11 8 - 3 -0.8 -4.6 +4.9
  Feb 09, 2019 305   Central Connecticut St. L 68-77 68%     11 - 12 8 - 4 -20.1 -12.2 -7.7
  Feb 14, 2019 327   @ Mount St. Mary's L 62-76 59%     11 - 13 8 - 5 -22.5 -13.2 -9.4
  Feb 16, 2019 240   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-72 33%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -4.9 -7.3 +2.4
  Feb 21, 2019 270   LIU Brooklyn W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 23, 2019 262   St. Francis Brooklyn W 66-64 60%    
  Feb 28, 2019 255   @ Sacred Heart L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 02, 2019 275   @ Wagner L 59-62 40%    
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 3.7 3.5 7.3 1st
2nd 3.3 16.0 2.6 21.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 14.7 4.3 19.1 3rd
4th 2.5 14.8 0.1 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 10.6 4.0 14.6 5th
6th 2.0 11.5 0.2 13.6 6th
7th 4.9 1.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 7.1 25.8 36.9 24.1 6.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 57.4% 3.5    1.2 2.1 0.3
11-7 15.4% 3.7    0.0 0.5 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 1.2 2.5 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 6.2% 18.1% 18.1% 15.9 0.1 1.0 5.0
11-7 24.1% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0 0.0 3.5 20.5
10-8 36.9% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 4.2 32.7
9-9 25.8% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 2.4 23.4
8-10 7.1% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.5 6.5
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 11.7 88.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 15.9 9.5 90.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 4.3%