SE Louisiana
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#242
Achievement Rating-5.4#243
Pace65.1#288
Improvement+8.6#1

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#289
First Shot-4.5#296
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#206
Layup/Dunks-5.5#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#212
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+7.6#3

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#169
First Shot+1.1#134
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#263
Layups/Dunks+3.3#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#25
Freethrows-1.9#295
Improvement+1.1#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 10.8% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 34.3% 55.7% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.5% 4.6% 4.4%
First Round6.5% 8.6% 4.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Away) - 44.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 22   @ LSU L 63-94 3%     0 - 1 -13.9 -5.1 -8.3
  Nov 11, 2018 35   @ Nebraska L 35-87 5%     0 - 2 -37.7 -31.2 -4.6
  Nov 13, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 40-59 2%     0 - 3 +0.7 -16.5 +16.2
  Nov 17, 2018 335   Stetson W 69-57 83%     1 - 3 -3.1 -10.3 +7.5
  Nov 20, 2018 350   @ Mississippi Valley L 59-69 83%     1 - 4 -24.9 -22.0 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2018 290   @ Tulane W 62-61 49%     2 - 4 -3.5 -10.7 +7.2
  Dec 12, 2018 38   Mississippi L 47-69 8%     2 - 5 -11.0 -15.1 +1.2
  Dec 17, 2018 217   California Baptist L 52-73 55%     2 - 6 -27.0 -24.5 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2018 284   @ Grambling St. L 68-69 48%     2 - 7 -5.2 -2.2 -3.0
  Dec 22, 2018 156   @ Bradley L 60-63 23%     2 - 8 +0.2 -0.9 +0.7
  Dec 29, 2018 185   Louisiana L 72-73 48%     2 - 9 -5.3 -11.0 +5.8
  Jan 02, 2019 274   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-65 46%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -8.7 -11.6 +2.8
  Jan 05, 2019 302   Central Arkansas L 71-73 72%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -12.8 -9.4 -3.4
  Jan 12, 2019 169   Abilene Christian L 72-75 44%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -6.1 +2.3 -8.5
  Jan 16, 2019 245   Lamar W 76-69 61%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -0.7 +2.3 -2.7
  Jan 19, 2019 324   @ McNeese St. W 74-71 62%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -4.9 +0.9 -5.5
  Jan 23, 2019 288   @ Houston Baptist W 70-67 49%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -1.4 -6.8 +5.3
  Jan 26, 2019 331   @ Northwestern St. W 69-53 65%     6 - 12 4 - 3 +7.3 -4.2 +11.9
  Jan 30, 2019 173   Sam Houston St. L 52-62 44%     6 - 13 4 - 4 -13.3 -18.0 +4.0
  Feb 02, 2019 322   Nicholls St. W 91-70 79%     7 - 13 5 - 4 +7.8 +10.9 -3.3
  Feb 06, 2019 282   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 64-58 47%     8 - 13 6 - 4 +2.0 +3.2 -0.1
  Feb 09, 2019 302   @ Central Arkansas W 75-67 52%     9 - 13 7 - 4 +2.7 +1.2 +1.7
  Feb 13, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 70-64 86%     10 - 13 8 - 4 -10.3 -9.1 -0.8
  Feb 16, 2019 324   McNeese St. W 88-52 79%     11 - 13 9 - 4 +22.6 +10.5 +14.0
  Feb 20, 2019 269   @ New Orleans L 63-64 45%    
  Feb 23, 2019 169   @ Abilene Christian L 61-68 24%    
  Mar 02, 2019 331   Northwestern St. W 70-60 82%    
  Mar 06, 2019 269   New Orleans W 65-61 66%    
  Mar 09, 2019 322   @ Nicholls St. W 70-67 60%    
Projected Record 13.8 - 15.2 11.8 - 6.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 2.5 9.4 4.1 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 9.4 28.6 11.6 49.8 3rd
4th 0.1 4.8 15.7 3.6 24.2 4th
5th 0.7 5.2 2.4 8.3 5th
6th 0.5 0.3 0.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.4 10.5 27.5 34.8 21.2 4.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 10.0% 0.5    0.0 0.3 0.1
13-5 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 4.5% 20.8% 20.8% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.6
13-5 21.2% 14.1% 14.1% 15.9 0.3 2.7 18.2
12-6 34.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.1 2.7 31.9
11-7 27.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4 26.1
10-8 10.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.2
9-9 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.9 7.6 91.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 15.5 1.1 49.6 49.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 0.7%