SE Louisiana
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#287
Achievement Rating-5.2#236
Pace68.2#228
Improvement+1.6#70

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#331
First Shot-7.0#330
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#183
Layup/Dunks-4.4#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.2#348
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+0.2#144

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#157
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#252
Layups/Dunks+1.6#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#107
Freethrows-1.6#271
Improvement+1.3#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 6.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 26.9% 51.3% 24.6%
.500 or above in Conference 54.8% 68.8% 53.5%
Conference Champion 4.0% 7.3% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 1.7% 3.9%
First Four1.6% 1.9% 1.5%
First Round2.8% 5.6% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Neutral) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 53   @ LSU L 63-94 5%     0 - 1 -18.8 -8.0 -10.4
  Nov 11, 2018 17   @ Nebraska L 35-87 2%     0 - 2 -34.9 -31.7 -1.3
  Nov 13, 2018 12   @ Texas Tech L 40-59 2%     0 - 3 -0.4 -18.8 +17.4
  Nov 17, 2018 338   Stetson W 69-57 79%     1 - 3 -3.6 -10.5 +7.1
  Nov 20, 2018 348   @ Mississippi Valley L 59-69 73%     1 - 4 -23.3 -22.5 -0.3
  Dec 01, 2018 218   @ Tulane W 62-61 25%     2 - 4 +0.9 -10.3 +11.1
  Dec 12, 2018 65   Mississippi L 65-79 8%    
  Dec 17, 2018 237   California Baptist W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 19, 2018 288   @ Grambling St. L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 22, 2018 128   @ Bradley L 57-70 12%    
  Dec 29, 2018 126   Louisiana L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 02, 2019 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-73 18%    
  Jan 05, 2019 278   Central Arkansas W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 12, 2019 166   Abilene Christian L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 16, 2019 229   Lamar W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 19, 2019 311   @ McNeese St. L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 23, 2019 283   @ Houston Baptist L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 26, 2019 346   @ Northwestern St. W 68-62 71%    
  Jan 30, 2019 292   Sam Houston St. W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 02, 2019 250   Nicholls St. W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 06, 2019 298   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-63 42%    
  Feb 09, 2019 278   @ Central Arkansas L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 13, 2019 336   Incarnate Word W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 16, 2019 311   McNeese St. W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 20, 2019 262   @ New Orleans L 62-66 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 166   @ Abilene Christian L 59-69 19%    
  Mar 02, 2019 346   Northwestern St. W 71-59 86%    
  Mar 06, 2019 262   New Orleans W 65-63 56%    
  Mar 09, 2019 250   @ Nicholls St. L 66-71 34%    
Projected Record 12.2 - 16.8 8.9 - 9.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.0 1.0 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.3 2.0 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 2.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.5 5.9 8.7 11.5 13.3 13.7 12.5 10.6 7.9 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 74.4% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 43.9% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.1% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 31.9% 31.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 32.3% 32.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 27.8% 27.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0
14-4 3.0% 20.2% 20.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.4
13-5 5.1% 15.0% 15.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.3
12-6 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 7.2
11-7 10.6% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 10.2
10-8 12.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.2
9-9 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.5
8-10 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.2
7-11 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 8.7% 8.7
5-13 5.9% 5.9
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 96.4 0.0%