SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#332
Achievement Rating-11.8#324
Pace71.1#120
Improvement-0.8#224

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#314
First Shot-6.0#324
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks-1.5#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#317
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement-2.0#274

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#324
First Shot-5.6#326
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks-2.7#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
Freethrows-3.0#329
Improvement+1.2#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.9% 13.8% 45.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 187   Pacific L 65-74 25%     0 - 1 -13.4 -12.4 -0.5
  Nov 10, 2018 177   Winthrop L 82-94 22%     0 - 2 -15.6 -2.0 -12.4
  Nov 21, 2018 184   @ Valparaiso L 70-75 12%     0 - 3 -3.6 -1.3 -2.2
  Nov 25, 2018 339   Incarnate Word W 80-68 68%     1 - 3 -4.3 +2.9 -6.3
  Nov 28, 2018 285   @ Western Illinois L 58-83 24%     1 - 4 -29.2 -11.2 -20.3
  Dec 01, 2018 145   Southern Illinois L 61-82 16%     1 - 5 -22.2 -11.9 -10.4
  Dec 17, 2018 130   @ Drake L 66-79 6%     1 - 6 -7.5 -9.6 +3.1
  Dec 19, 2018 167   @ Washington St. L 73-89 10%     1 - 7 -13.5 -9.7 -2.0
  Dec 22, 2018 276   Cal St. Northridge L 79-85 32%     1 - 8 -12.6 -9.9 -1.9
  Dec 23, 2018 183   Northern Colorado W 82-72 17%     2 - 8 +8.6 +6.8 +1.5
  Jan 03, 2019 315   Southeast Missouri St. W 94-88 53%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -6.3 +14.0 -20.4
  Jan 05, 2019 296   @ Eastern Illinois L 81-84 26%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -7.9 -3.9 -3.8
  Jan 10, 2019 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 69-78 38%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -17.5 -10.4 -6.3
  Jan 12, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 54-90 6%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -30.2 -15.1 -14.3
  Jan 17, 2019 137   Austin Peay L 71-79 15%     3 - 12 1 - 4 -8.7 -11.7 +3.9
  Jan 19, 2019 71   Murray St. L 72-82 8%     3 - 13 1 - 5 -5.8 -3.3 -2.1
  Jan 24, 2019 315   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 87-86 32%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -5.8 -9.0 +3.0
  Jan 26, 2019 300   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-85 27%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -21.1 -4.0 -18.2
  Jan 31, 2019 268   Morehead St. W 83-76 39%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -1.8 +5.1 -6.8
  Feb 02, 2019 277   Eastern Kentucky W 88-82 42%     6 - 14 4 - 6 -3.4 -8.4 +3.6
  Feb 07, 2019 137   @ Austin Peay L 45-80 7%     6 - 15 4 - 7 -30.1 -25.1 -6.6
  Feb 09, 2019 71   @ Murray St. L 55-86 4%     6 - 16 4 - 8 -21.3 -14.5 -6.7
  Feb 14, 2019 296   Eastern Illinois L 65-79 46%     6 - 17 4 - 9 -24.5 -12.6 -12.3
  Feb 16, 2019 300   Tennessee Martin L 69-73 47%     6 - 18 4 - 10 -14.7 -10.9 -3.8
  Feb 21, 2019 312   @ Tennessee St. L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 23, 2019 69   @ Belmont L 69-90 2%    
  Feb 28, 2019 328   Tennessee Tech W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 02, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 64-76 14%    
Projected Record 7.1 - 20.9 5.1 - 12.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 1.2 1.6 0.0 2.9 6th
7th 8.1 1.4 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 4.9 11.0 0.2 16.0 8th
9th 19.6 2.9 0.0 22.5 9th
10th 3.1 20.4 0.2 23.7 10th
11th 11.2 3.5 0.0 14.7 11th
12th 10.5 0.2 10.6 12th
Total 24.8 48.5 23.4 3.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
6-12 23.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.4
5-13 48.5% 48.5
4-14 24.8% 24.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 24.8%