SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#328
Achievement Rating-15.8#334
Pace71.1#153
Improvement-1.2#266

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#298
First Shot-8.7#342
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#17
Layup/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#333
Freethrows-1.2#232
Improvement+0.3#150

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#336
First Shot-5.6#324
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#238
Layups/Dunks-2.0#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#258
Freethrows-1.6#265
Improvement-1.5#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 5.1% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 17.1% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.9% 17.5% 32.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Away) - 7.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 163   Pacific L 65-74 22%     0 - 1 -12.0 -13.2 +1.6
  Nov 10, 2018 184   Winthrop L 82-94 26%     0 - 2 -16.5 -1.6 -13.7
  Nov 21, 2018 157   @ Valparaiso L 70-75 9%     0 - 3 -1.7 -2.1 +0.5
  Nov 25, 2018 339   Incarnate Word W 80-68 68%     1 - 3 -4.1 +3.3 -6.5
  Nov 28, 2018 272   @ Western Illinois L 58-83 22%     1 - 4 -28.3 -10.3 -20.2
  Dec 01, 2018 122   Southern Illinois L 61-82 14%     1 - 5 -20.4 -10.3 -10.3
  Dec 17, 2018 151   @ Drake L 70-85 7%    
  Dec 19, 2018 177   @ Washington St. L 73-86 11%    
  Dec 22, 2018 327   Cal St. Northridge L 79-80 49%    
  Jan 03, 2019 280   Southeast Missouri St. L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 05, 2019 310   @ Eastern Illinois L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 10, 2019 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 143   @ Jacksonville St. L 66-82 8%    
  Jan 17, 2019 169   Austin Peay L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 19, 2019 66   Murray St. L 62-78 8%    
  Jan 24, 2019 280   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 26, 2019 301   @ Tennessee Martin L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 31, 2019 278   Morehead St. L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 02, 2019 267   Eastern Kentucky L 84-86 42%    
  Feb 07, 2019 169   @ Austin Peay L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 09, 2019 66   @ Murray St. L 59-81 2%    
  Feb 14, 2019 310   Eastern Illinois W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 16, 2019 301   Tennessee Martin L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 21, 2019 292   @ Tennessee St. L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 23, 2019 79   @ Belmont L 70-91 3%    
  Feb 28, 2019 334   Tennessee Tech W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 143   Jacksonville St. L 69-79 20%    
Projected Record 6.9 - 20.1 5.2 - 12.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.7 4.2 0.8 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.6 4.7 6.3 1.2 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.9 7.1 2.1 0.1 15.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 5.6 7.4 2.8 0.3 17.6 11th
12th 1.0 3.8 6.7 6.0 2.3 0.3 20.0 12th
Total 1.0 3.9 8.1 12.4 15.3 15.9 14.7 11.0 8.1 5.1 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 25.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.2% 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.6% 0.6
11-7 1.3% 1.3
10-8 2.7% 2.7
9-9 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.1
8-10 8.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 11.0% 11.0
6-12 14.7% 14.7
5-13 15.9% 15.9
4-14 15.3% 15.3
3-15 12.4% 12.4
2-16 8.1% 8.1
1-17 3.9% 3.9
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%