Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#245
Achievement Rating-6.4#262
Pace68.8#187
Improvement+0.4#173

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#285
First Shot-4.2#291
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#183
Layup/Dunks+4.6#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#352
Freethrows+0.1#168
Improvement+3.0#48

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#193
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#108
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement-2.6#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.3% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 30.1% 34.3% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.3% 28.1% 24.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.3%
First Round2.7% 2.8% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 81.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 328   Cal Poly W 70-61 81%    
  Nov 20, 2018 206   UC Davis W 58-55 41%     1 - 0 +0.3 -16.5 +16.8
  Nov 24, 2018 161   Cal St. Fullerton W 87-82 41%     2 - 0 +2.4 -2.9 +4.2
  Nov 29, 2018 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-75 24%     2 - 1 -14.5 -10.1 -5.6
  Dec 01, 2018 272   @ Cal St. Northridge W 88-68 45%     3 - 1 +16.4 +3.8 +11.2
  Dec 08, 2018 318   @ Portland L 67-76 58%     3 - 2 -16.0 -12.7 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2018 37   @ Washington L 41-57 5%     3 - 3 -2.0 -19.7 +16.4
  Dec 29, 2018 178   Northern Colorado L 65-70 44%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -8.5 -7.9 -0.6
  Jan 03, 2019 108   @ Montana L 56-87 13%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -24.1 -17.3 -5.1
  Jan 05, 2019 223   @ Montana St. L 70-84 35%     3 - 6 0 - 3 -15.0 -9.1 -5.3
  Jan 12, 2019 310   Idaho St. L 70-72 74%     3 - 7 0 - 4 -13.5 -6.5 -7.2
  Jan 17, 2019 312   @ Northern Arizona W 66-64 56%     4 - 7 1 - 4 -4.6 -4.4 +0.1
  Jan 19, 2019 280   @ Southern Utah L 71-76 46%     4 - 8 1 - 5 -9.0 -8.3 -0.3
  Jan 24, 2019 344   Idaho W 69-48 87%     5 - 8 2 - 5 +4.0 -2.1 +9.7
  Jan 26, 2019 256   Eastern Washington L 92-94 62%     5 - 9 2 - 6 -10.2 +1.9 -11.9
  Jan 31, 2019 310   @ Idaho St. W 74-58 54%     6 - 9 3 - 6 +9.9 -2.6 +13.2
  Feb 02, 2019 172   @ Weber St. L 65-75 25%     6 - 10 3 - 7 -7.7 -4.7 -3.2
  Feb 09, 2019 178   @ Northern Colorado L 59-65 25%     6 - 11 3 - 8 -4.1 -7.1 +2.5
  Feb 11, 2019 290   Portland St. W 78-67 69%     7 - 11 4 - 8 +0.9 +12.6 -10.2
  Feb 14, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 84-73 67%     8 - 11 5 - 8 +1.6 +3.6 -2.6
  Feb 16, 2019 312   Northern Arizona W 76-69 76%    
  Feb 21, 2019 172   Weber St. L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 23, 2019 290   @ Portland St. L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 28, 2019 256   @ Eastern Washington L 69-71 41%    
  Mar 02, 2019 344   @ Idaho W 71-64 72%    
  Mar 07, 2019 223   Montana St. W 75-74 56%    
  Mar 09, 2019 108   Montana L 67-73 28%    
Projected Record 12.5 - 14.5 8.7 - 11.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.7 2.8 1.1 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 6.7 4.0 0.2 11.9 4th
5th 0.2 5.9 7.8 0.7 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 10.5 2.8 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.6 8.6 7.8 0.4 17.3 7th
8th 0.3 6.0 11.8 2.1 0.0 20.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.8 6.2 2.3 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.1 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.7 4.9 14.5 25.3 27.2 18.4 7.6 1.4 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 1.4% 11.2% 11.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-9 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 7.0
10-10 18.4% 5.4% 5.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 17.4
9-11 27.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.1 0.7 26.4
8-12 25.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 24.9
7-13 14.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.4
6-14 4.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.8
5-15 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 0.8 2.4 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 14.7 30.9 64.7 4.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 0.1%