Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#228
Achievement Rating-0.3#175
Pace73.2#108
Improvement-1.0#247

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#286
First Shot-6.4#321
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#51
Layup/Dunks+4.2#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.2#350
Freethrows+0.9#125
Improvement-0.9#254

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot+2.7#91
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#325
Layups/Dunks+1.4#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#72
Freethrows-1.9#280
Improvement-0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.3% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 53.5% 59.1% 35.4%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 56.5% 44.5%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.4% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 5.9% 10.1%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 1.0%
First Round4.3% 4.8% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 76.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 309   Cal Poly W 73-65 76%    
  Nov 20, 2018 223   UC Davis W 58-55 48%     1.7633 - 0.2367 -0.6 -12.3 +11.7
  Nov 24, 2018 167   Cal St. Fullerton W 87-82 48%     2.7633 - 0.2367 +1.5 -3.1 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2018 147   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-75 22%     2.7633 - 1.2367 -13.0 -7.5 -6.7
  Dec 01, 2018 324   @ Cal St. Northridge W 88-68 64%     3.7633 - 1.2367 +12.3 +4.1 +6.8
  Dec 08, 2018 271   @ Portland L 67-76 46%     3.7633 - 2.2367 -12.1 -14.3 +3.0
  Dec 21, 2018 53   @ Washington L 62-79 6%    
  Dec 29, 2018 137   Northern Colorado L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 03, 2019 111   @ Montana L 66-78 15%    
  Jan 05, 2019 297   @ Montana St. W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 12, 2019 244   Idaho St. W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 17, 2019 318   @ Northern Arizona W 77-74 59%    
  Jan 19, 2019 253   @ Southern Utah L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 24, 2019 286   Idaho W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 26, 2019 246   Eastern Washington W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 31, 2019 244   @ Idaho St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 02, 2019 154   @ Weber St. L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 09, 2019 137   @ Northern Colorado L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 11, 2019 234   Portland St. W 80-77 62%    
  Feb 14, 2019 253   Southern Utah W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 318   Northern Arizona W 80-71 77%    
  Feb 21, 2019 154   Weber St. L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 234   @ Portland St. L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 28, 2019 246   @ Eastern Washington L 70-72 43%    
  Mar 02, 2019 286   @ Idaho L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 07, 2019 297   Montana St. W 79-73 71%    
  Mar 09, 2019 111   Montana L 69-75 32%    
Projected Record 13.6 - 13.4 9.8 - 10.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.2 4.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.9 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.4 0.9 0.1 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.8 0.7 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.3 6.5 8.8 10.6 11.7 12.3 11.6 9.8 7.5 5.6 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 97.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 82.4% 0.7    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 55.9% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 29.2% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 9.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 38.2% 38.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 33.2% 33.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.9% 26.3% 26.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.0% 22.0% 22.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-5 3.5% 17.0% 17.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.9
14-6 5.6% 12.3% 12.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 4.9
13-7 7.5% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 6.8
12-8 9.8% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 9.1
11-9 11.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.1
10-10 12.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.0
9-11 11.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.5
8-12 10.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.5
7-13 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.7
6-14 6.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-15 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-16 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-17 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.9 95.3 0.0%